JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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ha-seong him

1:45

is triston casas a stud now? same wRC+ as matt olson since 5/1! trying to decide between him, steer and starling marte in roto

Paul Sporer

1:48

Big fan of his coming into the season and glad to see him come through the brutal April (.576 OPS). He has a .289/.379/.525 with 11 HR since May 1st (235 PA)! He's on a major heater in July, but was a solid contributor in May (3 HR/.766 OPS) and June (3/.851). He's a pickup where available and I'm taking him over Marte unless you desperately need the SBs

Uncle Baby Billy

1:48

Is Jarren Duran for real? .414 BABIP, but great underlying metrics. Would you trade a Matt Chapman for him if you needed SB/AVG/R?

Paul Sporer

1:54

I was skeptical initially bc I thought it was all the BABIP (.487 in April) and while he has maintained a pretty crazy BABIP since (.396), it has been supported by a 9 pt. surge in HardHit rate up to 46%. He also has a blistering 19-for-20 SB rate in 67 games. I still see the BABIP coming down, but speedsters can maintain well above average marks for long periods of time and the SBs are too good to pass up, I'd take the trade given your needs

Phil

1:54

Which side you prefer in a Moniak + Paxton for Snell?

Paul Sporer

1:55

League size would likely play a role and I'd lean toward Snell in 12s and lower where you want to consolidate talent, but I'm more open to the Moniak/Paxton in deeper formats, especially if you need to fill the OF and SP spots

Sho

1:55

Would you start Braxton Garrett against the tigers in a GS cap QS league?

Paul Sporer

1:58

Ooh that's close. He is being limited to 90 or fewer pitches and has only gone 6+ in 3 starts (all QS). DET obviously gives him a good shot for his 4th but it's always tough to spend a start on a cap. I'm gonna lean yes, let's do it!

Nestor

1:59

Is Nestor cortes is a top 30 SP? Or where would you rank him when he comes back?

Paul Sporer

2:00

Not top 30, more like 60-75 range off the top of my head

https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/paul-sporers-july-starting-pitcher-ranki...

It's the Singer not the Song

2:00

Sounded on the Pod like you weren't buying in on Singer. What about AL Only vs. a Silseth type?

Paul Sporer

2:01

I'd go with Silseth. Big fan of his so I'll bet on the upside. I don't think Singer is going to "get back" to last yr or anything bc he just wasn't that different from 2020-21 in last year's run. It was just the best of what this kind of skillset delivers and now he's showing closer to the worst of it. Silseth could bust, too, but he has a brighter upside for me

Guest

2:01

Do yo believe in Matz' comeback?

Paul Sporer

2:02

I believe he can be a useful 4th starter for a team down the stretch which makes him streamable in fantasy but always risky

Greg

2:02

Hey Paul, you buying the Pivetta breakout? Would you drop Gavin Williams for him?

Paul Sporer

2:03

I am, yes! I did sit him v. ATL yesterday and I have no regrets missing the gem (though I'm soooo thirsty for a W, it was tough to watch one on the bench), but it adds to my confidence. We've seen him be good before and he's settling beautifully into the follower role! There's still risk, but right now he's no worse than a team streamer!

Maris9

2:03

Is David Fry worth a pick up? He's playing multiple positions.

Paul Sporer

2:05

Just popped another HR! I'm down to ride the hot streak in a 2-catcher league. Gotta be at least 12 teams and preferably 15+

Re: Tigers

2:05

Is it worth speccing on a Lange/Foley backup, or better to just wait?

Paul Sporer

2:05

Better to wait!

FantasyNut2007

2:07

Hey Paul, I’m about to give Elder ($13) and India ($3) for Devers ($41) and Swanson ($14) (all next yr prices). I need tons of help in the hitting categories across the board. This is a no brainer for the Devers/Swanson side, right???

Paul Sporer

2:07

Hell yessss! That's a great move!

RGM

2:09

What am I supposed to do with Bo bichette in an obp league?

Paul Sporer

2:09

He's still a Top 60, just play him daily

KTP

2:09

Paul, thanks for doing these. Always a big help, really. What's your philo in a keeper league where things don't look very good coming into the trade deadline. Try to trade expensive studs for cheap (potential) studs?

Paul Sporer

2:09

Yeah I start assessing for next year and hoping to pick up some potential keepers. If the standings points just aren't there, definitely want to start selling some guys

Michael

2:10

what are your go to metrics for evaluating pitchers and hitters?

Paul Sporer

2:11

K%, BB%, SwStr% are the first things I look at for both hitters & pitchers and then dive deeper from there

Pat G

2:11

Elijah Green is running a near 50% K% in A ball. That's pretty much a death knell to a players prospect status right?

Paul Sporer

2:12

It's still super early, but that's devastating!!

Closer Choice

2:12

Who do better for saves ROS: Clay Holmes or Kenley Jansen?

Paul Sporer

2:12

I lean toward Kenley

Mason Storm

2:13

Would Ohtani for Strider/Arozarena in a keeper league where Ohtani is a 1:1 pick, but Strider can be kept at a 4th next year, and Randy a 7th an overpay?

Paul Sporer

2:13

Not an overpay, gotta pay big to get Shohei!!

2:14

OK y'all, gotta end it here! Next week we'll go long if there's a big deadline to assess! Thanks so much for coming out! Follow me on Twitter (@sporer), Twitch (sporer), and Instagram (p_sporer). Have a good one, y’all!

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