JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat | 8/16/2023

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

1:01

Welcome everyone, thanks for coming out!!

MochiBetts

1:03

So are we in the rock bottoming of Jarren Duran and he'll regress more to the mean in time for playoffs or is this all she wrote for the Cinderella story this season?

Paul Sporer

1:05

Looks like some standard BABIP regression so far this month and it just haaad to come as he was toting a greater than .400 mark for a good bit of time. I think he's done enough to hold a bit longer and see if he emerges out of this... and i say that as someone who was skeptical on him initially

TORKS DORKS STAND UP!!!! #20!!!

peanut-gallery

1

(after a Riley Greene bomb 2 batters earlier, too!)

chris

1:05

grayson rodriguez has looked great since coming back. is he getting close to auto start territory?

Paul Sporer

1:06

He's there for me! Basically only the toughest of matchups would I consider sitting (ATL, LAD, Coors maybe)

Insert Witty Name Here

1:06

Which Williams(on) do you prefer? Gavin Williams or Brandon Williamson?

Paul Sporer

1:06

Gavin by a healthy margin. More bankable core skills

Guest

1:06

Do you still believe in Cristian Javier? It seems to me that his stuff has regressed due to fatigue.

Paul Sporer

1:07

Very concerned and definitely sitting him in a lot of spots. Still having a hard time cutting him in anything but maybe a 10, but can't start him consistently anywhere right now. Just doesn't look like himself at all

chris

1:07

hi paul. keibert ruiz has been rolling lately. in a 1C h2h ops league, would you grab him over will smith for the stretch run if batting average is a need?

Paul Sporer

1:08

Even with Ruiz rolling, gotta stick w/Will Smith. Just definitely better overall

Insert Witty Name Here

1:08

Last week you mentioned something about not wanting to be the guy ripping people off in trades. However, what if I’m just good at negotiating and able to convince the other team the trade is good for them too? I should be able to sleep well at night, right?

Paul Sporer

1:09

I mean if you're negotiating in good faith and "winning" the trades, that's fine. But purposely trying to get over on people is where I don't feel great. Try to improve your team and give your trade partner players to improve their team

Farhandrew Zaidman

1:09

Little bit of a weird question, but should we consider 2023 a win for the Nats? Good development from Gray, Gore, Keibert, and Abrams, got some prospects for Candy, looks like Thomas and Meneses can absolutely play...

Paul Sporer

1:11

Not weird at all, love this Q and do believe the Nats have plenty to feel good about. Think some of the Gray/Gore growth has faded a bit, but both reaching 162+ IP would be a win just so show they can make it the 30+ starts. But yeah, I think you outline why they have plenty of reasons to feel good about this season despite the record (which they knew would stink)

GettinRowdy

1:12

Is Luzardo wearing down? A couple clunkers following an excellent stretch. Also, just want to pity myself after stomaching last weeks pitching performances of Luzardo, Taillon, Oviedo and Nelson

Paul Sporer

1:14

Feels like a lot of younger arms are hitting that dog days wall here in August. Like Javier, I'm not cutting him, but benching him in spots makes some sense to see him work through these struggles

Guest

1:14

Thanks for the chat. Dynasty league question, 16 teams...
Who is the one to keep long-term: Anthony Volpe or Max Fried? And how close is it?

Paul Sporer

1:15

I'm going Volpe there! Generally lean hitter in dynasty leagues when it's close like this and while I've always been a Fried guy, I gotta go the young power-speed stud up the middle!

dc

1:16

who are your top 10 fantasy baseball picks for 2024?

Paul Sporer

1:18

We'll either have a podcast or article outlining a Top 25 or something for next yr but I don't have a Top 10 off the dome. We did discuss Elly as a 1st rounder and highlighted some other guys we're considering next yr, too - https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/the-sleeper-and-the-bust-episode-1203-is...

Alex

1:19

The people have spoken, Paul. We want Ty Blech.

Paul Sporer

1:19

as long as I don't forget, it shall be done bc it's perfect!

chris

1:19

which combo would you prefer going forward for the playoffs (all needs equal)? mclain + friedl or maikel garcia + melendez? i dont love friedls inconsistent PT vs lefties and mclain has slowed a bit

Paul Sporer

1:22

I lean to the double Cincy!

Farhandrew Zaidman

1:24

Any explanation why the Tigers are so good in division, but dog shit out of division?

Paul Sporer

1:24

Mostly due to a dogshit division

Guest

1:24

Paul, Paul, Paul. I'm spinning. I dropped J. Walker but can't tell if he's coming alive or it's just Oakland. Which two would you rather have for general Util between Walker, CES, Varsho and Royce Lewis?

Paul Sporer

1:30

I think it's mostly just OAK with Jordan Walker. I'm doing Lewis for sure but then I'm torn on the 2nd one. I like Varsho's pwr/spd but that AVG is a nightmare... yet I still gravitate toward him. I think CES is 4th on the list with Walker 3rd and pretty close to Varsho for me

JB

1:30

I’m stuck with both Tovar and Adames in a 6x6 OPS dynasty league, with J. Merrill waiting in the wings. Worth cutting bait and selling for pennies on the dollar for either, or do I ride it out and keep one or both?

Paul Sporer

1:31

I'm inclined to ride it out. SS depth isn't bad to have, either

Farhandrew Zaidman

1:31

Buehler came out with a take that the league should give a Rookie cy young award, and call it the Fernando Valenzuela. Let's make it happen!

Paul Sporer

1:31

Fantastic idea!

Ed Figuringitouta

1:31

Do we think that Bryce Harper will have 20+ appearances at 1b by seasons end.

Paul Sporer

1:33

Ooh, probably not unless there's an injury that takes someone like Bohm or Hall out of the 1B mix

Ted

1:33

Lance Lynn back to set and forget?

Paul Sporer

1:34

Yep, the Dodgers seem to have executed the fix we were hoping for!

dc

1:34

messi in philly yesterday, springsteen tonight. little leaguers from the area in williamsport tonight. Philly is the hub of the world.

which one do you go to?

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