JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

1:04

Hello everyone, thanks for coming out!

Air Horn

1:05

BWAOW WOW WOW OWWWWWWWW

Paul Sporer

1:05

That's a pretty good imitation!

Guest

1:05

rank for ROS homers: Santana Moore Suwinski Aranda

Paul Sporer

1:05

Is that Dylan Moore?

1:09

Santana/Suwinski are pretty close for #1, I'd look and try to estimate what kinda lefty SP load PIT might have that would hurt Suwinski. Moore is surging but still comes 3rd and Aranda just doesn't play enough, so while he carries some intrigue, I'm not really buying into we see him carve out a real role

Alex

1:09

Thanks for the Blach comment. It made my day 😂

Paul Sporer

1:09

You're welcome!!

Nukes Laloosh

1:09

What probability do you place on CES as an elite power bat?

Paul Sporer

1:11

Elite meaning like 35+ HR threat for several years I'd say as a shorthand, 15-20% which might feel light but it's probably on the high end for prospects. Just needs to make enough contact consistently

DANImal

1:11

Hi Paul. With the recent prospect call ups is there any you think has ros value in h2h categories league? Talking mainly meadows, pereira, kieboom.

Paul Sporer

1:11

I can see Meadows maybe having some if they let him run

wyatt

1:11

seiya suzuki seems to quietly be surging the past 30 days. think he can be an asset even in shallow leagues ROS?

Paul Sporer

1:12

Yeah I was huge on him coming into the year until the oblique injury in spring took me off him for last few drafts (including my Main Event). Looks healthy and ready to rock. Definitely in down the stretch

Insert Witty Name Here

1:12

Any worries that Acuña will slow down on the base paths due to their NL East lead?

Paul Sporer

1:13

Not really, no

Crews/Skenes

1:13

Will both be up next season and who would you rather target?

Paul Sporer

1:14

Might get a look in September, tbh. I lean toward Crews given the more volatile nature of rookie SPs

Oddball Herrera

1:14

I was shocked yesterday to find out Jasson Dominguez has gone 15/37 and is now in AAA as a 20 year old, and all relatively quietly. Should The Martian go into 2024 as a top 10 dynasty asset?

Paul Sporer

1:16

He's definitely up high for me, not sure quite Top 10, though. It is crazy that the market has kinda quieted on him likely due to some prospect fatigue even though he just reached AAA. It's just that he was so hyped immediately that he's slipped down some lists prematurely IMO

Freddy Peralta

1:16

Freddy P is a top __ SP the rest of the way and will be drafted like a top __ next season? Been super encouraged by him doing all this while also throwing a career high in IP.

Paul Sporer

1:17

25 and hard to say for next yr bc his finish will be SO instrumental in where he goes. Probably 30-35 off the top of my head right now

New SP ranks still coming this week, btw

Taillon

1:19

Has there been any adjustments made by him or has his luck turned?

Paul Sporer

1:19

Think he's mostly just running well. Still a 12% K-BB during this run (3.69 ERA/1.17 WHIP in his last 46 IP)

Stroman

1:19

With his season likely done, how do you think he’ll be valued next season? Will people explain his bad month-ish with the injury? Nobody knows when it officially occurred.

Paul Sporer

1:20

I imagine he'll basically go where he always does. He was always going to regress from those heights and instead of just steady regression back to the mean, there was a harsh downshift w/a handful of duds, but he essentially found his level (mid-to-high 3.00s)

1:21

Insert Witty Name Here

1:21

Other than the A’s, what teams are you looking to stream pitchers against?

Paul Sporer

1:22

Cover that daily in the SP chart! Handedness matters so we break it down M-F: https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/category/sp-chart/

wyatt

1:22

skubal has been oftly frustrating including getting hit around by the cubs already. is he someone to trust (at least for Ks and solid ratios)? his ERA estimators are great but he doesnt seem to be pitching to them

Paul Sporer

1:23

The Cubs are really good, this was always a risky run. I'm not cutting him, but he's not an Auto Start. I am OK sitting him v. stud teams in medium and shallow formats

LlewellynMoss

1:23

Is Spencer Torkleson's recent production legit? Should he be valued differently next year?

Paul Sporer

1:26

Oh for sure. You can't fake a power run like this. Huge steps forward for him in the power department and he'll be a solid riser in the rankings for 2024. There were obviously far too swift of negative judgments on Tork after 400 PA. BTW, don't go the other way and take this recent surge as who he is 100% now, either, but seeing him find some real success is very encouraging for his development

Paulie Eff

1:26

Jake Fraley is going to play with a broken toe that will need surgery in the off season. I have him mostly for a decent power/SB combo. Would it be reasonable to assume that he will not be any use for SB’s ROS?

Paul Sporer

1:28

Yes it would. I ran that calculus this weekend during pickups and decided he was still worth trying to stash as a power-only play, but I ended up missing out. But yeah, if you need SBs, you can move on. (Also, he was more than a decent pwr/spd combo -- he's like a Top 25 OF!!)

Willy Adames

1:29

Thanks for not answering my question last week about whether I'm droppable in 12's... I'm heatin' up, Sporer!

Paul Sporer

1:29

I know it's easy to say this now, but I'd have advocated holding. I'm a pretty big Adames fan

Guest

1:29

why hasn't my Bednar Munoz Sewald Leiter Scott bullpen been better for K/BB and WHIP?

Paul Sporer

1:29

Ah the vagaries of RP samples!

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