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Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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The Duda Abides

2:00

Does Jordan Lawler's disappointing debut lower his stock at all for next year? Will he start the season in the majors?

Paul Sporer

2:01

Absolutely. Tiny sample, but very ugly and will help depress his price a bit, especially in fall/winter drafts. He could get spring buzz but even with helium, I can't envision him being too cost prohibitive

Guest

2:01

"I'm still gonna ride w/Royce" - missed opportunity there to say that you're "still gonna roll w/Royce". Keep that in mind going forward.

Paul Sporer

2:01

OMG yesss, total miss by me, but appreciate the heads up

Please

2:01

Can Kerry Carpenter improve in 2024 or was this a fluke career year?

Paul Sporer

2:02

Not sure he necessarily improves, but definitely not a fluke IMO. I think he can maintain around this level. I'll probably tamp down the AVG a bit but I thought there was 30 HRs in that bat coming into the season and pretty much only injury prevented that this year.

bRADish

2:02

Where are you thinking Bradish is ranked next year? Top 30 SP? I have him and Bibee both as potential keepers

Paul Sporer

2:03

Definitely Top 30. I'll be deep diving him to make sure it's not just confirmation bias since I was on him coming into the season (like I slid that in? lol) but I really think he's a great pitcher and has a chance to maintain this excellence

KC Pain

2:04

Granted they are bad currently, how come FA hitters dont flock to Coors the opposite of how FA pitchers avoid it? Youd think they could easily add bats and try to out hit everyone ala the Braves.

Paul Sporer

2:04

Maybe they don't offer enough? Also their general dysfunction can be a turnoff even if they are throwing big bucks around

Guest

2:04

Is Snell's Cy Young going to be legit or is he just a BABIP and LOB% merchant?

Paul Sporer

2:05

I don't think that'd make it un-legit. Obviously he ran a tightrope to this success given his walks, but he also has a 32% K rate and kept the ball in the park. I think it'd be wrong to chalk it up to just good luck, he's a great pitcher

Ron

2:05

Ragans a good stream tomorrow, with a need for a W? Thanks for all the chats during the season.

Paul Sporer

2:05

Absolutely. Love my Tigers, but I'll gladly run Ragans v. them

KC Pain

2:06

Why doesnt Phil Niekro get more love? I see people talking about Nolan Ryan for longevity, and yeah sure K are sexy, but Niekro had like 1/2 his walk rate....as a knuckleballer lol. Numbers for career are similar but outside of K, I think Niekro wins the rest. Sorry for more of a rant than a question.

Paul Sporer

2:07

We were discussing his excellence on my stream over the weekend. I think part of it is the knuckleball... it's too often dismissed as a gimmick, which sure it is on some level, but also takes a ton of skill to master like he did. Also his presence in the era when W-L record drove so much of the discussion hurts him a bit since he piled up decisions on bad teams despite being a GREAT pitcher

Farhandrew Zaidman

2:07

The single most value pitch this year by Statcast's run value is Logan Webb's changeup (with Cole, Gallen, and Bassitt's fastballs right on his tail). Don't really have a question, just wanted to throw a stat out there.

Paul Sporer

2:07

Wooow that's impressive. I wouldn't have guessed that off hand

KC Pain

2:07

DJ Stewart, Wallner, or Rooker? Who is the best of the bunch?

Paul Sporer

2:07

I'm a Wallner guy

And I think his PT opens up next year for a chance at full year burn

HappyFunBall

2:08

Locked up HRs last week, thanks to TJ Freidl and Nelson Velasquez, just like I expected all along...

Paul Sporer

2:08

LOLOLOL September is when fandoms of random players are born as they lead us to fantasy titles!

Bob

2:08

Pick one to keep next year: Spencer Steer, Mike Trout, Corbin Burnes

Paul Sporer

2:08

All things even, it's Burnes.

JadedAF

2:09

Preliminary question for next year in a keep 8 league. Which 2 of these would you keep from this list.

Bo Naylor, Andrew Vaughn, Zack Geloff, Rafaela, Kwan, Westburg, Royce Lewis, R Greene, J Duran, E Clase, Woo, Gavin Williams, Bryce Miller, Mayo,

I'm intending to keep B Witt Jr, Casas, Vinnie P, PLopez, Skubal, Kirby already but interested to see your professional on if that's a good idea with 3 starters and an injured Italian breakfast

Paul Sporer

2:11

I'm gonna roll with Royce (just made that up off the top of my head, wow I'm clever!!) along with one of Greene, Gelof, Woo, or Williams. Greene is expected to be good to go for 2024 but stay tuned on news there until your keeper deadline. Duran might also be in the mix depending how many closers you expect to be kept assuming you play 5x5. In fact, as I'm typing this, I'm leaning his way more and more so you can add an ace closer to your keeper stock. If your league doesn't really keep closers, you can pivot to one of the first 4 I mentioned

JadedAF

2:14

Thank you for answering! I don't tune into chats often but I've always enjoyed yours and just recently subscribed so I can in the future. Finally getting out of the basement into a 5th place finish out of 9 and your help on fangraphs has been instrumental. Have a good off season and streams!

Paul Sporer

2:14

Thanks so much, and good luck nailing down those keepers!

GettinRowdy

2:14

Thoughts on Vientos for next year? I may be crazy, but for years I've been saying he will be Pete Alonso lite when he gets a shot in the majors. The only thing I see holding him back is the groundball rate.

Paul Sporer

2:16

Yesss I'm right there with you! He was a late dart throw for me in Draft Champions leagues this year and while it didn't quite pan out entirely, I'm not off him for '24. He's probably gonna be my Kerry Carpenter for '24 as a late-round target who can hit mid-20s w/legit 30+ upside

Thanks Paul

2:16

Thanks for the chats and twitch streams all season Paul! I have snuck into 3rd in my roto (which means $) by half a point. So pray for me

Paul Sporer

2:16

Let's hold for a few more days!!!

Princess Leia

2:17

Is Acuña gonna get those last two SBs? Not if he keeps jacking dongs and ripping bombs! P.s. How many innuendos can we make with home run lingo?

Paul Sporer

2:17

LOL, I'd be really surprised if he didn't try once on base. 40/70 is so cool

Ben

2:17

What's your take on Michael King's 2024 outlook? Do you think the Yankees give him a rotation spot and how interested are you if they do?

Paul Sporer

2:19

I'd be surprised if they don't! He has been so impressive down the stretch here and they've flirted w/him as a starer before. I think he gets a full go and he'll be an interesting riser coming into '24.

Jung Bong Jovi

2:19

No question today. Thank you for everything you do and for all of your help. I'm going up against my brother in the finals this week.

Paul Sporer

2:19

A family affair! That's so cool, best of luck to you and thank you so much for the kind words

Hillsdale

2:19

Hey Paul! Christopher Sanchez or Kyle Hendricks as my last SP in a 10 team points league? Thanks for the help all year!

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