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Paul Sporer

1:59

I do not, but IIRC it's usually late-Jan/early-Feb, but don't quote me on that

1:59

I feel like Bo Bichette is just a small batting average upgrade from Xander Bogaerts, who seems way more likely to steal 10+ more bases that Bichette in a given year. Are we not overestimating Bichette off of one great stolen base year and underestimating Bogaerts because he doesn't have that big standout tool, but just finds a way to be solid across the board year-in and year-out? I feel like we see the demise of Bogaerts articles every single year. Am I way off here?

Paul Sporer

2:04

I don't think you're off! I only have them 2 spots apart. They didn't make the same tier but I have no problem seeing them similarly. And given the price disparity, I have no issue eschewing Bichette for Bogy at a post-100 pick

Us Fantasy Dweebs

2:05

Paul Sporer

2:05

I say that lovingly! I, too, am a fantasy dweeb

Guest

2:05

"and I totally see a baby Carroll in Thomas" -- are we not doing phrasing anymore??

Baby Carrol in Thomas

2:05

Paul Sporer

2:05

NTTAWWT

2:06

Interesting view of Imanaga v Manaea, I can't imagine Cubs fans would be happy if it were the other way around, but they seem pretty excited for the Imanaga move. I've read where it might be a 2 year deal with what sounds like vesting options that could bring it up to $80mil (which sounds like 4 years to me)

Paul Sporer

2:08

I think it's just because Imanaga is an unknown so they can dream on him whereas we have a good idea of who Manaea is. At the same time, we often miss out on the upside that veterans have. Would it be that shocking if Manaea found some health and posted a 2021-esque season?

Insert Witty Name Here

2:08

Where did you refill your water from? The arctic?

Paul Sporer

2:09

LOOOOL I was hoping someone would wonder what the hell took so long. Charlotte followed me which meant she wanted outside real quick so I did that, too

Chip

2:09

Woah, where did you go to get that water?

Paul Sporer

2:09

lol

Guest

2:09

ATC is getting released January 18th according to Ariel Cohen, who is a vetted source for this information.

Paul Sporer

2:09

Not suuuure if we can trust that source, but we'll tentatively go with it lol

Fat Tub of Goo

2:09

Wyatt Langford or Evan Carter in a keeper league?

Paul Sporer

2:12

I'm a Carter stan. Hard not to love both, so I don't really argue against Langford but instead for Carter. I just love the plate skills for Carter, I think he will definitely shave down that 32% MLB K rate as he gains experience to go with his plus speed and solid pop.

Ryan

2:13

Can Civale be a steady deep league SP this year?

Paul Sporer

2:16

For sure! I think there is reason to believe in the results we saw this year. They're in line with 2021's but with a 3 pt boost in K-BB rate. Health has been a persistent issue, but I don't mind taking his skillset around pick-200 and hoping to spike some health

NotWittstanding

2:16

Do you see Rodon going into the season as ace-like? I was offered Imanaga for him and I am wondering if I should accept. 12 Team points league with standard stats.

Paul Sporer

2:19

Yeah it all comes down to his health which has been a nightmare throughout his career, but if he has a normal Spring Training and we don't have any reason to think he's going to miss time at the outset of the season, then I'm open to paying his post-150 ADP. Of course, a good Spring Training will likely raise that price, but I'm not running away from him even in the 110-125 range.

Tiger blood

2:19

Please share your projected SP rotation for the Tigers on Opening Day.

Paul Sporer

2:21

I don't veer from the RosterResource outlook right now: Skubal, Maeda, Flaherty, Manning, and Olson. Casey Mize could certainly push his way in and move Olson to the pen while the signings of Maeda and Flaherty definitely put Sawyer Gipson-Long on the outside looking in. It's nice to have some depth, though, with those guys plus Wilmer Flores, Joey Wentz, and Alex Faedo.

Sean

2:21

How many innings can Tarik Skubal manage this year? His numbers in the second half of last year were phenomenal.

Paul Sporer

2:23

I didn't go searching for this question, it came in 1 comment after the rotation Q. At 27 yrs old with a full season on his ledger (2021), I don't think the Tigers hold him back much if he's dominating like we've seen since 2022. He has a good chance to set a new career high (currently 149) and might even push toward 180.

Ryan

2:23

How confident are you in Yu Darvish? It's nice to have a non-age related explanation for his 2nd half slide, but will he be healthy and hold up in 2024?

Paul Sporer

2:24

I can't know for sure if he will hold up, but I have zero problems paying his post-200 ADP to find out. A spring rise could push him to something like the 150s area and that would still be affordable enough for me to bet on such a high end talent, even at age-37.

Jung Bong Jovi

2:25

Hi Paul! Merry New Year! Beef jerky time! Trying to determine my last keeper. Already keeping Will Smith (C), Albies, Riley, Tatis Jr, Carroll, T Turner, L Castillo, Gallen, Wheeler, Valdez, E Diaz. So it's down to Bellinger, L Gilbert and Verlander. No rush here, so I can wait to see where Bellinger lands, if that sways you either way. What do you think?

Paul Sporer

2:25

I think I'm leaning Gilbert right now but a great landing spot for Bellinger could push me that way. They're close enough for that.

Insert Witty Name Here

2:25

What are you hoping for in The Show 24?

Paul Sporer

2:25

More time to play it! I didn't play nearly as much 23 as I'd have liked. But I still enjoy the hell outta that game

Salty

2:26

Putting health for both aside, what are the % chances Mize outpoints Skubal this year? I know it's probably miniscule, but I'm wondering that if he's finally truly, truly healthy for the first time in awhile, what if his splitter comes back and he becomes the ace the Tigers were hoping when they drafted him?

Paul Sporer

2:26

It's just such a small chance because I don't think even a breakout Casey Mize really drops the kind of strikeout rate that someone like Skubal will have this year

Chip

2:26

What do you make of the Yankees allegedly talking to Stroman. Just due diligence, or something more?

Paul Sporer

2:29

They need a starter so he'd be a nice fit in that rotation. I certainly think he can handle the NY scene (he's from NY and not some shrinking violet when it comes to the spotlight) which seems to always be the first thing we blame if someone doesn't play well for the Yankees as if that's the only possible reason! I'm probably only penciling in 140-150 IP, but getting back to his 180 days is on the table and gives him some nice upside.

Porcho Villa

2:30

Tough keeper decision coming. Pick just 3 and assume all cost same (12 team 5x5 OBP): Strider, Skubal, Gray-Rod, Casas, Nolan Jones, Tork, Royce Lewis, Y. Diaz, Gelof, Heim, and Jarren Duran. Strider a no-brainer but gets tougher after that.

Paul Sporer

2:30

That is a tough choice, but I think I bring Skubal and Lewis along with Strider. Lewis is a gamble w/his health profile, but the upside remains colossal and I'm looking for guys who can be foundational pieces in 12-teamers, especially with my keepers.

2:31

Ok y'all, back to these SP rankings. Feel free to bring all your SP questions next week!

Thanks so much for coming out, have a good one, y’all!

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