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Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

1:00

Welcome everyone, thanks for coming out! Tomorrow is February... we are so close to pitchers & catchers reporting, y'all!!!!

Too Many Mooks

1:03

How has Acuna not been on the cover of The Show?

Paul Sporer

1:03

Not sure, but a lotttt goes into that stuff, so maybe they've tried? Thankfully for someone like him, he's got time. I imagine he'll have many more great seasons that merit a cover

Matt W.

1:08

Does Sam Huff get a majority of the DH ab's for at least the first half of the season?

Paul Sporer

1:10

I think he'll have a chance. He's C-eligible again and while I don't think he's a great catcher, I love a non-catching catcher for fantasy. Huff has some big time power that he can tap into, especially if he can improve his plate skills a little and cut down the whiffs. I've speculated on him in a couple 50-round leagues over the winter bc of that catcher eligibility and the departure of Garver

Pedro

1:10

Hi Paul. Thoughts on Eflin? I can keep at $15 in an AL only 5x5 league, but odds for a repeat seem long, Rays wont have Franco etc. Thanks

Paul Sporer

1:12

I believe in the skills a good bit, even with a new SS in the lineup. Repeating the 178 IP will probably be a bigger hurdle for him to clear, IMO. That said, I like $15 in an AL Only and would lean toward keeping him

Ma na Manoah

1:12

Does Manoah ever regain his ace form? And if so, will it be this year?

Paul Sporer

1:13

That is SO hard to say as an outsider. It's not off the table as we've seen guys resurrect themselves from as bad a situation or worse, but it's just impossible predict outside of a blind guess. I could see going for him in a deeeep league just in case bc the price is nothing, but I'm not super optimistic right now

Quoc

1:13

Paul, I always look forward to your SP lists! Thank you for crafting. I noticed Ricky Tiedemann was omitted in your latest while other prospects like Kyle Harrison and AJSS. Was this intentional and if not, where would you place him?

Paul Sporer

1:15

Thanks so much! Tiedemann could certainly be in the On the Radar tier. That could be a REALLYYY lengthy list tbh, I just had to cut it somewhere knowing I'd be adding over the offseason, so I'll put Ricky on to-do list. Stay tuned

Salty

1:15

Hey Paul! Noticed the Tigers are like +300/+400 to win the division. First, it's a positive sign that your team may be playing some meaningful Sept baseball, so that's good news.
Do you think they will need a vintage season from Baez to get there? And is he potentially a nice deep sleeper considering he should play a ton in a potentially better lineup?

Paul Sporer

1:17

I don't think he needs to get back to peak for them to be successful, but a solid 90-95 wRC+ w/premium defense at SS would be a major help. He can generate 3-4 WAR w/that kind of outlook, depending on how good the defense ends up being. I don't mind taking a longshot spec on him bc he's priced to buy, but I might prefer to do it in waiver leagues so I can cut him if he flops again as opposed to the 50 rd draft & hold where you'd be stuck w/him all year

TIB

1:17

Thoughts on Ketel Marte in a keeper/dynasty points format? Great production the last couple years, and the projections like him, but age 30 may imply his best years are behind him?

Paul Sporer

1:20

Good player who can age gracefully but I agree that his best is likely in the rearview at this point. I don't mind expecting another strong year in 2024, but I wouldn't want to be committed to him for more than maybe 2 yrs

Keith

1:20

Royce Lewis for Cole Ragans a fair swap?

Paul Sporer

1:21

Yep, both carry risk of the unknown while having incredible upside... two of my faves, too!

Mike

1:21

Positions aside, Royce or CJ in a keeper? Love the idea of Royce but those injuries...and love the idea of CJ but that offense...

Paul Sporer

1:22

Yeah I just love Royce's skills so much that I'd rather take on his health risk than having to bet on Abrams learning to hit more. Abrams was awesome down the stretch, but he wasn't exactly ripping the cover off the ball, it was more that he was just stealing alllll the time

Grover

1:22

What would your strategy be with SP if keeping Strider and Bobby Miller in an auction league (12 tm)? Should I get another SP in the back half of your top 10 that are higher volume and solid studs? I always draft too much pitching because I like to watch their starts

Paul Sporer

1:23

Yes, I'd love to rock someone like Webb or Framber w/those 2 to get some stability. Maybe 1 of the top 3 Mariners guys. Plenty of options, but definitely want someone seen as more of a workhorse

Fernando Tatis

1:25

40-40 possible this year?

Paul Sporer

1:26

Definitely on the table for someone w/his talent

Luke

1:26

What trade package would you prefer? Gavin Williams and Matt McLain or Brayan Bello and Royce Lewis?

Paul Sporer

1:31

Oh maaaannnn, really got me torn here w/McLain & Lewis being 2 of my faves so it comes down to the pitchers and they're ranked pretty close for me. Bello is higher ranked, so I'm gonna lean on my rankings and go w/Bello & Lewis, but that's a really close call for the duos

Keith

1:31

Do you see Ben Brown entering your SP rankings this year?

Paul Sporer

1:32

Brown can absolutely get in the On The Radar tier. Putting him on the list for the following update

Insert Witty Name Here

1:33

How many leagues have you won in your life? How would you grade your fantasy skills on the 20-80 scale?

Paul Sporer

1:33

I honestly don't know and it's not because it's SOOOOO many that I can't possibly count, but I've had a fair bit of success lo these many years. On the 20-80, I'd say like a 60? I think I'm above average but far from the absolute best

PingPongPang

1:34

I feel like Garver is getting no respect. Sure, he's never gotten >400 PAs — but he finally got semi-full-time DH duty in Texas and seems destined for it in Seattle. If he gets 500 PAs, isn't 30/90 a distinct possibility?

Paul Sporer

1:36

There's just no reason to expect anywhere near 500 PA, though. It's not impossible and it'd be a huge payoff given his draft price, but I think he's being fairly judged as a 33-yr old DH who's yet to reach 360 PA in a single season. Having C-eligibility is awesome this year and I love that he's going around pick 180. It leaves plenty of room for upside without crushing you if things don't pan out that well

Owen

1:36

Who wins this deal: Yordan Alvarez for Royce Lewis and Brayan Bello? 30 teamer…

Paul Sporer

1:37

I don't think it's a clear win on either side and frankly I prefer that in trades. Both teams should be happy getting what they got and feeling a little sting for having to give up something good. That definitely checks out w/this trade. I know this is inadvertently becoming the Royce Lewis Hour, but his mix of elite skills and terrifying health profile makes him tough to figure out

Mike

1:37

Thoughts on Lodolo this year? Do you think injuries played a role in his performance last year or the HR issue real?

Paul Sporer

1:40

Not trying to copout, but both. His park will fuel some extra HRs but injury and an insane 27% HR/FB rate last year drove the crazy 2.6 HR9. I want to love him and Hunter Greene, but that park just terrifies me and I've been leaning away from both.

Guest

1:42

How do you distinguish the following 3 young 3b--Paredes, Burger and Jung?

Paul Sporer

1:50

Parades is power, multi-elig guy | Burger is power masher | Jung brings power w/some AVG upside. Then I consider their team outlooks which pushes Parades and Jung over Burger (I know he raked in Miami, but I don't think he does that ALL year). So now it's Parades v. Jung and while I am a big Jung fan, he's not 70 picks better than Paredes even if you don't really care much about Paredes's 1B elig.

1:51

Burger is in the middle of 'em ADP-wise, leaning toward Paredes -- ADPs as of Jan 1st -- JJ: 114, JB: 160, IP: 184

Tim

1:51

shortstop got really shallow again. Are Correa and Edman still starters in 12 team OPS leagues?

Paul Sporer

1:53

Eeek, I'm not so sure. I think there are 15+ better SS than both of them. Now some of those guys will be deployed elsewhere (3B, 2B for the multi-elig guys in that top 15), but not enough to really bring Correa & Edman up to starting SS in a 12. Edman's speed and triple-elig. is intriguing, but I'd rather him as my 3rd-4th OF or ideally my MI if your league uses that spot

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