JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat | 3/20/2024

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Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

1:03

Welcome, thanks for coming out!!

Kyle

1:03

Looks like Justin's Elly-to-AAA call is looking pretty rough so far after all of these injuries

Paul Sporer

1:04

He never said he was definitely going to Triple-A.. suggested that if he played poorly enough (like his 2H last yr), then he could get sent back down

Sucks about Matt McLain getting

Guest

1:04

Hi Paul. Over under 130 games for Royce?

Paul Sporer

1:05

The safe bet is under, but I'm willing to take the shot on his skills because the upside is rich

The Doctor is In

1:05

Rough estimate but, with the McLain news, 17 of top 100 by ADP have been injured so far during draft season. Happen every year and we forget or legitimately something going on?

Paul Sporer

1:06

The former much more likely

Joe

1:06

Thoughts on Trevor Story this year? Obv a health risk, but a potential 20/20 guy hitting in the heart of a decent lineup seems like great value at SS #18?

Paul Sporer

1:07

He's definitely priced to buy so if you still believe in him, I have no issue investing. I have him in 1 lg so far

Insert Witty Name Here

1:08

Marathon chat!!! Is this the year to fade J-Ram? His ISO has been dropping the last three years but the projections have him back over .200 and I’m not buying it as a first rounder. Agree or no?

peanut-gallery

1

Paul Sporer

1:09

Great plate skills, 20/25 seems safe, and 3 straight 150+ gm seasons keeps me invested in him. I'm still open to taking him

Günter

1:09

What is the current pod cast schedule? Sunday is the only one I can usually remember.

Paul Sporer

1:11

A little disjointed in late-March w/draft season as one or both of us are usually travelling. Justin was out last week. But it's usually Monday, Thursday, Friday and then Justin & Jason on Sundays.

Insert Witty Name Here

1:11

How much helium is Oneil Cruz worth right now in a standard 12 team?

Paul Sporer

1:12

He's now inside the Top 60 in the early Main Events. I loved him in that 80-90 range where he spent most of the winter. I'm not out at the surge, but not as aggressively seeking. Although I will say McLain was usually my pivot off Cruz's new price and now McLain is hurt

Orioles sale

1:15

This needs to be finalized today so the Orioles can still get Montgomery lol. Makes too much sense for him to go there, 2 yr 50 million with opt out with their clear

Paul Sporer

1:16

He's an excellent fit in a handful of spots, including Baltimore. I really hope he lands soon. Stinks that he's still unsigned at this point

Sabey Sabes

1:16

What's too high (price or pick) on Yamamoto? I'm not concerned about him in the season-long context. Thinking worst-case might be the Senga success arc of last year, only better, naturally

Paul Sporer

1:18

Feels like you have to be comfortable with Top 50 if you want him (Top 30ish in Main Events and I'd imagine at least within 20 picks of that in standard lgs at ESPN/Y!/etc...) which is a little spicy, but I'm not against going out and getting my guys especially when it comes to pitchers. Valuing them has so much more variance than hitters and if you think he's that dude, pony up the price.

1:21

Like Glasnow has a career high of 120 IP, but he's SO good on a per inning basis and if you're comfortable betting on him setting a new high this year, then his Top 25-30 ADP is possible. That said, you'll never really go broke by fading these pop-up guys and playing it a bit safer. So I'm fence-sitting a bit, but I totally see both sides of it, particularly on the pitching side

Kate

1:21

Best guess at who's getting saves in the White Sox pen to start the year?

Paul Sporer

1:21

Bobby Thigpen

1:22

(Jokes aside, I'd probably take a flier on Kopech if I dare to get into that pen)

Guest

1:22

I know spring stats should be taken with a grain of salt. With that said, has the performance of any young players this spring changed your valuation of them. Big so, who? Specifically position players. Thanks

peanut-gallery

1

Kate

1:22

How much are you buying into a possible Ryan Weather breakout after such a dope spring training? Has Miami tweaked something there?

Paul Sporer

1:24

Paired these together because Weathers is definitely one of the guys who stood out in Spring. Along w/teammate AJ Puk, who my friend Nick Pollack sold me on a bit yesterday in a discussion we had. I generally look at Ks and BBs -- very basic -- but a guy is doing much better than his normal levels in those categories, it stands out to me. For hitters, Ks and BBs also matter as well as power output and their SB attempts. Even if they aren't always successful, just seeing more volume of attempts can be an indicator they will run more in the coming season

Yuni B

1:24

Over/under 14.5 saves for the Phillies saves leader this year?

Paul Sporer

1:26

Over for my boy Jeff Hoffman!!! That's at least partially wishcasting as I'm a big fan. I'm not anti-Alvarado, either, just kinda hoping the Phillies play into the lefty bias a lot of teams do w/their closer and let him handle the big lefty(or lefties) in the lineup before the 9th. Now they do have Soto to help w/that so Alvarado will certainly get saves, but I like speculating on some of their other studs, Hoffman chief among them

Guest

1:26

Why aren't you on twitter much anymore?

Paul Sporer

1:26

Mostly time, but been popping up more w/the season coming up

B'ryce Hammer Destroyer of Baseballs

1:26

... Will hit __ bombs to pace the Phillies and lead them to (checks notes) second in the NL east...

Paul Sporer

1:29

38, big jump up this year w/some health leading him to 140+ gms!

Peter

1:29

As a fellow tigers fan, how excited should I be about this team and specifically rotation?? Haven’t been this invested since the JV/Price/Scherzer era

Paul Sporer

1:30

Was just saying the exact same thing on some pod appearances yesterday. Feels great to have some legit pitching depth and a potential frontline ace in Skubal!!

Kate

1:31

Are the Brewers really going to run Frelick out there at third most days?

Paul Sporer

1:32

I think so! Defense might not be better than Monasterio's, but bat potential is certainly much higher

The Kid

1:32

Seems like the Jackson trifecta are all going to make their respective teams. What's your outlook on them this year? I managed to get all 3 in a 12T points league draft a few days ago

Paul Sporer

1:32

Chourio, Holliday, and who?

Oh Merrill!!

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