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Chucky

1:40

Elly’s May numbers look worse than his awful 2023 second half numbers. Is it time to re-evaluate? Beginning to think this is who the real Elly is. The EV and sprint speed work well at the combine. Not so much on the diamond. Why am I getting a Billy Hamilton vibe?

Paul Sporer

1:42

This is just the volatility of his skills. Even hitting as poorly as he is this month, he leads MLB in SBs!! He's WAY better than Billy Hamilton, but definitely a volatile player who I imagine frustrates those who have him on the roster in H2H leagues

The Governor

1:42

When do you think the Toronto Blue Jays are going to start all over and rebuild?

Paul Sporer

1:44

I don't know if they're gonna start over or try to retool and keep a particular core. It's a tough lineup right now. Could be a fun rebuild project in OOTP

Froyo Rope

1:44

Can Albert Suarez provide legit fantasy value for the foreseeable future?

Paul Sporer

1:46

If you can post decent ratios w/a strong Win chance every time out, you have fantasy value! He has an avenue in all formats. He won't fit on all 10 team rosters, but there's probably a team or 2 in each 10-teamer that could use him and then 12s and up, I'd be surprised if there many rosters who couldn't find any space for him in the short-term

Günter Hreene

1:49

Still think Hunter Greene has a homer problem, or have you given up on that yet?

Paul Sporer

1:51

If I thought he was doing something to earn that 6% HR/FB rate, I'd be more excited. He's been great almost exclusively because of the HR suppression. Maybe it'll last all year, but I'd still bet on his 13% HR/FB rate, especially since he's still a heavy flyball pitcher

Beano

1:51

Sell R Lopez based on his hot start — which I don’t trust?

Paul Sporer

1:52

If you don't trust him, it's a great time to sell. You should be able to get a nice return for him. Strong performance on a great squad should find a buyer

Guest

1:52

Carroll just struck out swinging at a 90 mph 4 seamer right down the middle AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA

Paul Sporer

1:52

Oof.

Joe

1:53

Are Seiya and Hoerner droppable in ten team leagues? Seiya in particular is just doing nothing.

Paul Sporer

1:55

Seiya I can see. He hasn't done anything since coming off the IL. Hoerner has turned things around in May so I'm inclined to hold, but I guess it'd depend who was available for him

Mike

1:59

Evan Carter worth an IL stash? Switch out him for Eloy?

Paul Sporer

1:59

Yes, I prefer Carter to Eloy by a little

Musgrove

1:59

Am I still a #2 or am I now a streamer, now that the deadened ball — I mean decrease in home runs — have lowered era’s leaguewide?

Paul Sporer

2:03

Yeah I dropped him in the May rankings, but not enough. He has perplexed me all year. I never felt comfortable slotting him during draft season. I'm still reluctant to cut him, but I don't mind sitting him

Mike

2:03

Are you holding James Wood through a minor league IL stint?

Paul Sporer

2:03

No, probably not. Roster size and league settings of course play a role, but not many spots where I'm holding

Pants

2:04

12 team Roto 5x5 dynasty. Saw Mac Gore is available, do you like him more long term than pfaddt, k Harrison, or Ben brown?

Paul Sporer

2:04

Yeah I like Gore over the group in terms of pure upside. If he's truly figuring it out, he can be a legit stud

Charlie

2:04

thanks for the chat. In a vacuum, start Ober vs. KC? I’m gun shy because of the season opening strafing!

Paul Sporer

2:05

Understand the trepidation, but I'm running him. He has a 3.30 ERA since then. KC is good but I don't think they've got him on auto-sit mode just yet

Baby Goat

2:05

Are we buying into Megill's impressive 16 innings this season or is it just a typical Megill mini-hot streak?

Paul Sporer

2:09

Yes but also maybe yes to the second question, too. The thing is, in today's fantasy game you have to jump quickly when a pitcher shows anything so it might just be another solid run by Megill, but I'm willing to see where it goes.

Darth Sabean

2:09

How much of Pfaadt's ERA/FIP mismatch is low-key flaw in his skills, and how much is bad mojo? He's got the peripherals of a top-30 starter but ERA gonna ERA.

Paul Sporer

2:13

Perhaps even more frustrating is that he's curbed the HRs, too! He has modest 61% LOB rate which seems to be the only real issue in his profile. I haven't seen enough starts to know if that's been some bad luck or something he is struggling with specifically. He doesn't have any sort of major third time through the order issues so that isn't where the LOB% issues are coming from, either.

Bottom line is I'm inclined to stay the course w/him and bet on these skills bringing the LOB% rate back toward 70% mark from last yr and hopefully he keeps the HRs in check. The downside would be the LOB% issues continuing AND the HRs returning, so it's not risk-free to and we'll just keep tabs on him every 2-4 starts to see what's up

Guest

2:13

With Murphy back do I drop Jeffers? Or try to hold on to both for the time being.

Paul Sporer

2:14

Seems like a 1-C league and while I generally try to roster just 1 in those leagues w/no reserve, I will hold a replacement for someone returning from the IL and given how well Jeffers has been playing, he's easy to hang onto, too!

Salty

2:14

JD Mart or Noot for all cats ROS?

Paul Sporer

2:14

Noot for me

Tim

2:14

How concerned are you about Josh Jung and his wrist? I’m hoping it doesn’t turn him from my long term 3B to something like Matt Dominguez

Paul Sporer

2:15

Wrist injuries always give me some concern about power, so I'll be keeping an eye out

Rotation

2:15

How would you rank Grayson, Ragans, and Sonny Gray ROS? Trying to gauge their respective values for trades.

Paul Sporer

2:15

https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/2024-in-season-starting-pitcher-rankings...

Guest

2:15

How much more time do we give before Carroll is simply droppable?

Paul Sporer

2:17

For me, he's a long way from being droppable. I know he doesn't have a lengthy track record, but I don't think you fake 25/50 seasons and I'm just going to ride it out w/Carroll as long as he's playing. Even if it's going to be a down year, it's very unlikely he will post just a .547 OPS.

18 team league

2:17

Cal Quantrill has had 5 solid starts in a row and is seeming to hit his stride. Is he worth a roster spot in an 18 team format?

Paul Sporer

2:17

Sure in deep leagues, I think he can merit a spot for sure

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