JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

2:41

Interesting group. I'm keen on Folty and not ready to completely give up on Giolito, but I don't think I can keep either in a 12-teamer. Love Norris and could really see some advancement this year, but his 69 IP last yr are MLB-high so it's Ray and Ross for me. I'm not as hyped on Ray as most, but 200 Ks doesn't just happen.

Guest

2:41

FanGraphs as a whole is really down on the A's and the direction they're going. If you could make 2 or 3 moves right now to get them "on track" what would they be?

Paul Sporer

2:41

Sign Josh Donaldson to a long ter.... oh wait

2:42

Rebuild Sonny Gray's value then trade him, don't waste ABs on Yonder Alonso, and trade every solid piece in that bullpen this July.

Arj

2:42

Considering Nomar Mazara's 2nd half lull, what would you need to see from him this year in order to comfortably confirm he is the advanced hitter that initial sample projected him to be?

Paul Sporer

2:45

Some improvements vL and working his way back out of pitcher's counts vR&L. It was an impressive age-21 season and growth isn't linear so we won't necessarily see a surge, but the I'm still investing in case he does take 2-3 steps

Chaco Chicken

2:45

Of the ended the season injured pitcher crowd, who do you think looks best to take a step forward; Nola, Matz, Velasqeuz, Walker, or McCullers?

Paul Sporer

2:46

I have them all ranked within about a 10 pitcher range so it's hard to be definitive on one. I'd say Matz if pressed

Don't Romine Me

2:46

Good place to do mock drafts this early in the year?

Paul Sporer

2:47

Fantrax.com, Couchmanagers.com

Arj

2:47

Do you think you'll have more shares of Keon Broxton or Domingo Santana this year?

Paul Sporer

2:48

Probably Broxton, but if my speed is good at that point in the draft, I'll go Dom

Brad

2:48

12 team NL only dynasty. Add a year but adds $5 in salary for these Cinci pitchers - Desclafani $8 and/or Finnegan $2 or let it ride for 2017?

Paul Sporer

2:48

Let it ride!

These are the exact kind of guys I'm vehemently against giving contracts to in auction leagues. Their value is the low price so adding $5 cuts it substantially

Pedro Cerrano

2:49

Over/Under 150 IP for Daniel Norris this year?

Paul Sporer

2:49

I'm going to say over, though admittedly there's some hope baked into the answer. I really like Norris and think we could see some advancement. Needs to stay healthy

Maxamuz

2:49

2017 Baseball Survey - https://goo.gl/forms/Mtk733D28jkjnlzB3

Paul Sporer

2:49

^^ If yall wanna participate ^^

Lima Time

2:49

Do you play OOTP?

Paul Sporer

2:50

I do. I didn't play as much this year bc a lot of my gaming time went to MLB The Show, but OOTP is awesome, too

Pedro Cerrano

2:52

Why does Steamer seem to assume a league-wide power drop this year? Isn't it more prudent to assume this is the new norm? Is that excluded from the algorithm or something?

Paul Sporer

2:53

I think assuming it's the new norm based on one year (or 1+ years as it kinda got going in the 2H of '15) kinda goes against projections which focus on recent history in bigger chunks (2-3 years)

Dago

2:54

Sullivan wrote Daniel Norris up. Drew comparisons to Paxton Are you in on him?

Paul Sporer

2:54

I think we've found our "Guy of the Chat". Every week we have one guy who gets several inquiries. I know you asked before you saw what I was saying, but yes I'm in

Guy Incognito

2:55

Paul - I'm genuinely curious - why does FG ignore QS stats? And do you personally find it more or less useful than Wins?

Paul Sporer

2:55

What do you mean ignore? It's infinitely more useful than Ws only because Ws are entirely useless

Lunch

2:55

20 reamer....Odubel $15 or Quintana $16 as my last keeper?

Paul Sporer

2:55

Odie!

Chaco Chicken

2:55

How much do you know about Thoracic outlet surgery and what does that mean for Harvey's value this season?

Paul Sporer

2:56

Not much, it's still relatively new and the results thus far haven't been great which has me scared for Harvey. We could be in the nascent stages of this where it soon becomes as common at TJ, but until then I'm worried. I'm playing wait and see with Harvey

Mat

2:56

10 team $260 only league. Can keep for this year only, need to drop 1. $32 Bryant, $32 Rizzo, $14 Pederson, $13 Piscotty, $1 Dahl, $4 Turner, $4 Baez, $21 Cueto, $1 Oh

Paul Sporer

2:57

Few lobby harder for Joc than myself, but I'm throwing him back. I think worst case is you pay $15 at auction

hungryG

2:57

Ronald Acuna, Leody Taveras or Luis Robert in a dynasty prospect draft?

Paul Sporer

2:57

Acuna, though I'm admittedly barely familiar with this group

2:58

Deeeeep prospects aren't my strongest area

Dabo Dabo Sweeney

2:58

Do you see Alex Reyes starting the year out in the Red Birds rotation? What type of line do you see him putting up this year if you had to guess? and you HAVE too...

Paul Sporer

3:00

I haven't heard anything to the contrary so I think they do, but I could see him getting a midseason break in the bullpen so he's ready for a postseason push as StL no doubt expects to compete this year. I see a 3.75ish ERA/1.40ish WHIP with tons of Ks.

Hector

3:01

If you had to choose from drafting Harper or Machado (in my league we consider OBP/BB in addition to the other general offensive categories) for your first pick who would it be, and why? I am going for a 4-peat, if that makes any difference. My second pick would be Joey Votto.

Paul Sporer

3:01

It's Harper for me. That upside of '15 wasn't a fluke. Ya he fell back last year, but I think '15 type numbers still remain very plausible in any given year

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