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Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

1:06

Hello thank you for coming out!!

Darren

1:06

What’s your take on the closer situations in KC and Arizona? Do you think anyone runs away with the job or will they be committees for the rest of the year?

Paul Sporer

1:08

In fluid situations like that, someone can always grab hold of the job by catching fire. Just tough to know who it'll be, of course. My bets are on Erceg and Puk.

Fant’sy Feast

1:08

Is Will Smith a huge upgrade over Ben Rice in a 1C, 12-team H2H with OBP and Slugging instead of Avg? Maybe I am so used to waiting to draft catchers and then using non-catching Cs that I just don’t recognize the big boost?

Paul Sporer

1:14

I know Will Smith has been sputtering pretty much since May with a .198/.292/.387 line, but it has still come with 12 HRs and 35 RBIs which are 29 and 86 full season paces. I see a .215 BABIP over this time and have to think there is some bad luck in there. He is K'ing more than normal at 23% during this period (16% the last 2 yrs) and he is hitting more flyballs than normal which will also curb BABIP. Bottom line is that I'm staying the course w/Smith here. Rice is interesting, but not I can't take him over Smith

DatDudeJG

1:14

Is something wrong with Luis Castillo? He used to be a must start all the time but he's been so up and down this year. Reminds me of him in his early years. Thanks for the chat!

Paul Sporer

1:17

Yeah he's a bit off from 2022-23 but still within his normal range of outcomes. I still have him locked in rotations across virtually all formats (maybe some 10-team and shallower rotations could be deep enough to skip him on occasion).

Drew

1:17

Whats the prospect value I should be looking for, for Ben Joyce?

Paul Sporer

1:18

Probably depends how SVs desperate your trade partner is and are we talking keeper or dynasty (the difference essentially being the total # of keepers for those not familiar w/the distinction!)

I'll find your response, so just let me know!

Nova Knicks

1:18

Nardi should the Miami closer, right? Not the other guy.

Paul Sporer

1:20

Love Nard Dog! Admittedly my love is born from him being a Fireman god for me in my OOTP Marlins franchise

but still, it put him on my IRL radar and he is indeed a great RP. I'm fine betting on him, but it's probably gonna be a split job for a team that isn't gonna get many SVs rest of way

The Shart Tank

1:20

I just traded for Maikel Garcia. Planning to drop Gleyber. Smart trade?

Paul Sporer

1:20

I don't mind that, it's August and Gleyber just isn't delivering. Probably only AL-Onlys and super deep mixers need to hold Gleybs

BKrogman33

1:21

Do you think Cano will unseat Kimbrel? Thank you Paul.

Paul Sporer

1:22

Maybe, but I'm on the Seranthony spec train! The only thing is the HRs w/Dominguez. You can'tttt give up HRs late. So that does work against him. Bottom line is you can and should spec against Kimbrel so whether you like Cano or someone else, I'm here for it

Uncle Rico

1:23

Who would you rather have? Ryan Mountcastle or Michael Toglia in a standard 5x5 league?

Paul Sporer

1:24

Toglia for me, but it's really close. Coors and gtd PT v. being on a great team and playing most days

Nick

1:28

Should I expect Isaac Paredes to be a valuable fantasy contributor for the rest of the season?

Paul Sporer

1:29

Yeah he should still be a solid player. I know he's sputtering to start in CHC and he was a nice fit for TBR's park, but there's no reason to think he just collapses here in the 2H

Soar or Sink Like A...?

1:30

Do Gavin Stone's recent struggles impact his long-term upside? Is there long-term upside?

Paul Sporer

1:33

I think they underscore the limits of his upside. He probably tops out as a mid-rotation barring some improvements to better put away batters. I don't know why his SwStr doesn't really translate to Ks bc he seems to use the Changeup consistently in 2-strike counts and it's far and away his best whiff pitch. So I don't know. I wouldn't count out LAD extracting the most out of him, but I don't think there's ace upside whereas I can see a path for River Ryan to reach that kinda height

John W

1:33

Do we live dangerously and ride with Bello for a two step next week? Looks like he's trying to make some changes, adding a four-seam back to his arsenal. It's Texas & @Bal

Paul Sporer

1:37

I'll have a decent rank on him. He is looking better and more consistent of late. I am worried about the persistent homers, but at least at BAL helps that a bit w/the wall (of course their lineup can still rake)

Guest

1:37

Start Musgrove against Mia first start back? Will they limit him?

Paul Sporer

1:37

Hopefully they announce if there are limits, but I'm inclined to start him

Insert Witty Name Here

1:37

in a league where category winners get a quarter of the entry fee back. An owner offered me a lopsided trade that would probably get vetoed by the league. Is it gentlemanly to reject an offer that is too lopsided in my favor?

Paul Sporer

1:37

Very gentlemanly and just better for the league overall. Might be a short-term for you but will be a long-term negative. I say pass and come by it honestly!

Down by the River Ryan

1:38

Do you think we get more than 2 more starts out of River Ryan? Should I prep to find someone to replace him once he inevitably gets sent down?

Paul Sporer

1:38

Be prepared to replace him but DO NOT cut him until it's CLEAR he is gonna be out. He is just too good to try and be preemptive and possibly get merked bc someone else gets hurt and then he stays only to get picked up by someone else

1:39

(out of the rotation that is, he isn't hurt... just so we don't scare anyone)

Playoff bound

1:39

Can't figure out whether DeGrom is worth the risk for a team that will make the h2h playoffs, which start in early Sept. Would you move Webb for deGrom in that scenario?

Paul Sporer

1:41

Logan Webb? No. I tend to stand by guys like Webb and Framber even during their lulls bc I feel confident they'll find it again and they both have. I think sometimes we use today's trove of data to over-diagnose pitchers and what's "wrong" w/them after a couple crummy starts. There's just ups and downs in a season and they aren't always indicative of trouble (nor are highs always indicative of a step forward)

tumtum

1:41

The scratch last night over Grayson's Lat, is there every a time you remember where the player isn't out for months?

Paul Sporer

1:42

No, it's not good for Baltimore... or fantasy folks

Guest

1:42

If you could be given the world class athletic ability, what Olympic event would you want to compete in?

Paul Sporer

1:43

This is an amazing question. I can't decide if I want it to just be pure skill like sprinting or something more obscure like an elite fencist (fencer? nah, gotta be fencist!)... I'll go with speed, I wanna be the fastest man in the world!!

Big fan of Graphs

1:43

Can’t we create a fantasy baseball hall of fame so we can put the steroid users in.
Unlike MLB teams, I think the players should be recognized for the wins they gave me.

Paul Sporer

1:44

Right??? Not only will we not hold it against them, we loooove them for all those amazing numbers!!!

Chip

1:44

James Wood is doing it. A super-size combo meal last night. Looked at a rolling graph of his GB% and it's falling off a cliff. Dropped him and got him back in a 12-team!

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