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Paul Sporer

1:35

At some point, ya almost assuredly, but don't forget this is his first go in AAA so I understand them wanting him to get some burn at AAA before a call-up

Nonnie

1:35

Is this a mirage by Soderstrom?

Paul Sporer

1:40

A mirage in that he won't hit 75 HRs, yes... but he won't maintain a 46% HR/FB or .379 BABIP. I am curious if that 20% K rate can stick. He was down to a palatable 25% last yr which we can absolutely live w/given his power upside. I was/sorta still am worried he could be a 30% K rate guy which would put his AVG in major risk. Perhaps the park will give him some AVG cushion even if the K rate is more 25-27%. He's not a mirage in terms of the massive power output!

Ryan

1:40

Any concern with sale? Underlying stuff such as FIP, XFIP look good, but velo hasn’t been there and he got knocked around pretty hard last night.

Paul Sporer

1:45

Nah... velo matters, but his SwStr is actually slightly up v. last yr and is 24% K-BB is still fantastic (27% last yr). Schedule has been terribly unkind so far w/trips to SDP & LAD and then a home start v. PHI. It hasn't gone super well, but he should be fine and I'm hoping/expecting that his ratios dip w/these TBR & MIN starts coming up next

1:45

Sugano or Fitts in a 12 team roto with QS? Both are equally meh

Paul Sporer

1:45

Fitts, especially w/B2B starts v. CWS coming up

Loren

1:45

Is Jose Soriano breaking out this year?

Paul Sporer

1:47

I think last yr was probably more the breakout while this year can hopefully be a continuation of that w/more innings! I'm a big believer in Sori!

Paul Loves Eno

1:47

Kristian Campbell top 20 dynasty player?

Paul Sporer

1:47

Yeah that sounds fine to me

Walker Texas Ranger

1:47

Is Marcus Semien cooked? I know it's early but his numbers are ghastly across the board. How long am I holding him?

Paul Sporer

1:50

Too early to go there, IMO. I'm giving at leeeeaaasssttt a month! My biggest concern at this juncture is the 25% K rate bc even last yr w/his modest season, his K & BB rates were still in line w/his career marks. But 25% K/6% BB carries a tinge of concern... I'm gonna let the .125 BABIP play out a bit, though

Candyman

1:50

Hey Paul I know it’s early but Candelario is looking suuuper cooked right now. Options on the wire are gross but would you roll with Lamonte Wade over him or do you think I should hold out hope?

Paul Sporer

1:53

I'm OK going for Wade if you wanna make the move, though he of course isn't doing much himself. I do like that he's the leadoff vR for a solid team so I can see leaning toward Wade in this poopy coinflip

Age of Casparius

1:53

is Pablo ok then? i tried getting zebby last night, not enough fab

Paul Sporer

1:54

Oh right right right, Zebby could be up for Lopez if this is a bigger deal. I'd forgotten about his injury among the 900 that happened the last 2 days!

Re:zebby

1:54

Pablo Lopez seems like a likely IL, fwiw. Though maybe it's Festa first

Paul Sporer

1:55

So yeah it comes down to Zebby v. Festa. I do like both, but lean Zebby. They're both already on the 40 but Zebby has been brilliant in his 2 MiLB starts, so I think he shoooould get the first look

roberts

1:56

Christian Walker has 0 walks and a 37% strikeout rate. How long can Houston keep sending him out before admitting his spring training oblique never actually healed?

Paul Sporer

1:56

It depends if that's actually the reason. It makes logical sense that it's the oblique, but we don't actually know yet. If it is, they should just IL him and let him get right. If he's fully healthy, then he'll get some time to play through this

Guest

1:57

Dingler or Endy as my 2C in a 15 team 5x5?

Paul Sporer

1:58

Endy, love a C-elig. guy who gets extra burn elsewhere when he's not catching and most of Endy's gms have come at 1B so far

Matt W.

1:58

15 team 2 catcher Jeffers or Dingler?

Paul Sporer

1:59

This one is really close and I think I lean Dingler. Jeffers appears to be in a straight 50-50 split whereas I think Dingler can be more of a 60-70% share with Rogers out and Tomas Nido backing him up

Dos Muncys

2:00

Any value to Kochanowicz in deep AL only?

Paul Sporer

2:00

Yeah someone in a rotation probably has some intrigue in a deep AL Only but I'm keeping expectations tempered w/Koch

Bog

2:00

I have an IL crunch. Would you drop Eflin for Jose Soriano, Michael Wacha or Mathew Boyd?

Paul Sporer

2:01

I think it's Wacha in that group

Bido

2:01

Does starting Bido become more reasonable with Jackson Merrill out or still a hard pass?

Paul Sporer

2:03

Ya I mean Merrill and Tatis are out so that makes it more doable and I do like Bido, but that park does still keep it risky. Not a hard pass, just risky so make sure you go in eyes wide open if you take the shot

Kevvvin

2:03

Meta-question. Somehow I got stuck with the all-brutal start team (Willson, Joc, Correa, Yandy, Sale, etc., etc., and then some). I still really like the roster and am willing to give it a long leash; but this is certainly not helping with my acid reflux. When does last-place-by-a-country-mile become a real, actual concern for you?

Paul Sporer

2:04

With the established studs you have that are just off to a slow start, I'm not even blinking until Memorial Day. It can be painful and it's not fun to just sit there and wait, but it's the right move w/a crew like that. Should still have some backend of the roster pieces you can churn to try & jumpstart the team, but don't cut those established studs

roberts

2:04

What am I supposed to think when Charlie Morton loses his command and gets tattooed on everything despite maintaining velocity and lots of K's. Mostly bad luck or mostly cooked?

Paul Sporer

2:04

I'm leaning cooked given his age and last year's #s. I'm not super keen on Morton rn

Misner

2:04

Langford replacement, obp league: misner, ty France, ed Julien, Dezenzo? Or quit now...

Paul Sporer

2:04

LOL don't quit! I lean Misner there

Paulie_Eff

2:05

With Lopez taken out of the game yesterday, is it a good proactive move to grab Zebby even though Pablo hasn't been sent to the IL...(yet)?

Paul Sporer

2:05

Yes, go for Zebby where you can

fan of tigers #1 picks

2:05

will you join me in driving the casey mize hype train off the rails? i see some places say theyre not seeing major differences but his arsenal -- especially what looks to be a legit 80-grade splitter -- seems meaningfully different. and he dominated the yankees. he's for real ...... right?

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