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Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

1:03

Hey y'all, thanks for coming out!!

Tim

1:03

Are we calling Miguel Vargas’ recent run run a hot streak or was there enough there to think he’s clicking in the majors?

Paul Sporer

1:10

I think he's starting to put some things together. Full disclosure: I've been a long-time Vargas mega-fan but I don't think I'm just being blinded by fandom here. Simple fact is he deserved better than his .204 BABIP over 591 PA coming into this year and then he was even worse thru 20 gms this yr at .196 BABIP!! Things are finally coming around lately and it's not even an exorbitant BABIP (.304) as he's hitting .316/.383/.568 w/6 HR in his last 107 PA. So all that to say, I buy this and think we can see some sustained success from Vargas

Adenolith

1:10

Looking for 1 more pitcher in my h2h league. Are you feeling Rasmussen, Warren, or L. Henderson the most?

Paul Sporer

1:10

Playing the matchups is likely the best move here, but on talent alone, I lean Rasmussen

Slay, Slade

1:10

Cecconi seems like an interesting arm but gets DET, LAD, @NYY next… Should I hold in a deep league? Start vs. DET?

Paul Sporer

1:11

I'm cool to hold despite the brutal schedule. Very intriguing arm and they gave a good bat in Josh Naylor to get him. I know 1B don't have huge trade value so they were never gonna get a mint for Naylor, but Cecconi was a pretty solid return in what I saw as a win-win deal when it took place.

Trader’s Remorse

1:11

Dealt Morel for Baz in my AL Only. Will I regret it?

Paul Sporer

1:11

No that seems like a fair 1:1

Guest

1:12

How are you feeling about McLain at this point in the season? It's tough to let him keep sinking my BA every week. Are you still holding or is T. Fitzgerald an upgrade?

Paul Sporer

1:17

Ugh comparing one of my faves coming into the year v. one of my least faves in Fitz, but I don't think it's a crazy switch. McLain should improve his .233 BABIP but ya he is bludgeoning our AVG weekly at .176 and there's only so much the 6 HR/10 SB can do to soften that damage. Is there any way you can hold McLain but still grab & run Fitz for the time being? I'm still really reluctant to cut McLain outright even in medium & shallow lgs, but I understand that it's on the table in those formats after 6+ wks of sub-.200 AVG

Guest

1:18

I have space to grab and hold another player. Currently looking for an upgrade on Adames at MI. Would you be most interested in Winn or Tovar?

Paul Sporer

1:20

I like Tovar overall, espec. w/half his games in Coors. They are headed on the road next wk, though, so I have a slight lean toward Winn in the short-term. Maybe run him a week-10 days and then shift to Tovar once they head back to Coors?

Baz

1:20

Which buy low would you buy (AL only, OBP league) - Christian Walker or Shane Baz?

Paul Sporer

1:21

I think Walker is mostly fine and should get his numbers back up as the season goes on. I've admittedly always been a Baz skeptic and that dangerous home park doesn't make me feel all that much better about him these days, either

Spherical House Plants

1:22

Paul! I need some help at catcher in my 14-team, one-catcher league. It's also a keep forever league. I have Francisco Alvarez who has kinda sucked this year. Drake Baldwin is available on the ww, and O'Hoppe was just dropped. Who should I prioritize? I thought Alvarez coming into this season, but should I cut him and add O'Hoppe? Or maybe hold both? What about Baldwin, keeping in mind that future years matter also? Help. Thanks!

Paul Sporer

1:23

I'm going for O'Hoppe out of that trio! In a 1-C league, I'm probably not messing with a second one but I like O'Hoppe both short- and long-term so he can be your one guy

Guest

1:23

How much pepiot do you still have in your stepiot for Ryan this season?

Paul Sporer

1:25

ughhh I'd have so much Pepiot in my Stepiot if not for that damn home park! That said, I still have plenty and enough to at least run him as a team streamer. Unfortunately the schedule is not terribly friendly coming up as his road games are tough spots at HOU and at BOS in the coming weeks. Just too much talent to move on, even w/the issues at home

Chip

1:26

Paul, thanks for chatting. Do you prefer Leiter or Will Warren ROS? Is Warren a must-add in 12-teams?

Paul Sporer

1:29

I like Warren a decent bit over Leiter ROS, buuuuutttt he gets at COL/at LAD for his next 2! I'll take the plunge in Coors, but sitting for the Dodgers. A 21% K-BB makes him pretty close to must-scoop in 12s so even if you're benching for one or both of at COL/at LAD, I'd still go for him over Leiter (not anti-Leiter, more of a pro-Warren take). Anyyyyy chance you could roster both in the short-term bc Leiter gets at CHW on the weekend, so I'd love to get that start

Medium Rare

1:29

Are you in on Addison Barger? Will he get on base enough to help in an OBP league? His hard hit rate has me interested

Paul Sporer

1:31

Share your interest in Barger for the same reason as he's really tattooing the ball, but unless he dials up his BB% to match his MiLB totals, he could be a bit of an OBP drag. I think the power trade-off is worth going for, but just keep your expectations tempered on the OBP front in case the BB% remains modest

Peter

1:31

Hi Paul, thoughts on Luis Mey as the future closer in Cincy?

Paul Sporer

1:36

He's my long-term favorite right now, of course RPs can change on a dime so I try not to plan too far in advance on closers. I've been stridently against Emilio Pagán as a closer in recent yrs bc of his HR allowance but in a desperate situation, I picked him up early this yr and the results have been fantastic! He is still a total HR machine which does give me pause about how long he can hold up, but for now I think Francona gives him some wiggle room and doesn't immediately move off him w/a bad outing.

He allowed runs in 3 of 4 incl. a 4 run meltdown v. CHW, but Francona stuck w/him and he has 3 scoreless app. since then w/4 Ks, 0 BB, 2 H. So while I'm perpetually nervous about Pagán, I think he has the job firmly enough to not chase Mey everywhere.

bcubs

1:36

is caballero worth keeping in a 20 team league due to his positional flexibility?

Paul Sporer

1:37

Ya and he plays quite a bit. Hard to get rid of a contributing starter in a 20-teamer

Josh

1:38

Any reason to hang on to K. Campbell in a 10tm 5x5 with OPS instead of avg? Guys like Barger and Shaw on the wire that I would think are best options. ROS outlook lead you to choose one of those two?

Paul Sporer

1:45

Oh wow, I don't have Campbell anywhere sometimes guys aren't prominently on your radar if you don't have 'em or in my case, if they aren't an SP since I write SPs up daily... I hadn't realized the cold spell Campbell was in the midst of rn. He's hitting .074 in his last 55 PA! I realize you gotta have a quicker trigger in 10s so I get moving on. I'd probably go for Barger over him right now. I'd also keep tabs on Campbell for if/when he heats back up bc I still think he's someone who can be a 10-team contributor

RP Strategy

1:45

Would you rather spec on a terrible save chance (White Sox) or roster a better RP (Varland, Matt Brash)?

Paul Sporer

1:45

Depends how badly you need the SVs. If you're not desperate, I probably go for the better RP innings

Saul Sporer

1:45

You think this Lawlar situation is trending towards him getting sent back down soon? Never seen a team handle a top prospect like this

Paul Sporer

1:47

In fairness, they told us he wasn't coming up to play daily. There's just no room for him rn which is an enviable position for ARI. Who you takin outta that infield? But ya I could see him being sent out if they want him playing daily and nothing opens up in the bigs

Matt

1:47

Polanco has cooled off. Is he still a rosterable 2B in roto (OBP/TB)

Paul Sporer

1:47

Yes in 15s, debatable in 12s, and cuttable in 10s

And I ran, Aranda far away

1:47

Is Aranda regressing to the mean or slumping?

Paul Sporer

1:49

I'm not trying to be flippant, but is there any real difference? It usually is a slump that regresses a guy back to his mean. And it's really only a rough wk so I'm not even sure it's a full scale slump. He's hitting .167 the last wk, but .297 the last 2 wks! Hold the line w/Aranda even if the slump extends beyond this week

Army of Arms

1:49

Any favorites in this list of ww arms? Any team streamers or are all cuttable? Noah Cameron, Dobbins, Cannon, Logan Evans, Kochanowitz. Thank you!

Paul Sporer

1:51

Cameron and Dobbins stand out as my faves. I see both as team streamers so I'd like to hold on even when I'm not starting them

ross

1:53

Would you drop Salvy for Moreno?

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