JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat | 11/3/2017

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

2:36

Can't believe the season is officially done, but the Hot Stove is already heating up. Let's talk about it!!

love

1

Sox

2:38

Would a Rusney Castillo-Matt Kemp trade make sense for the teams?

Paul Sporer

2:41

I think the Sox want to do something else at DH so while in theory it might line up, I don't think it's plays in practice

Curious if we ever see Rusney get a real shot, though

Wes

2:41

Former Austinite here. Better Taco, Torchy's or TacoDeli? For baseball purposes: Do you think Otani ditches the bat for pitching full time in a few years or could he be the first legit two way player we have seen in a long time?

Paul Sporer

2:42

I'm ride or die with Torchy's. I just love it. The tacos I had at Galaxy Taco in San Diego were amazing and better than Torchy's, but for local, I'm Torchy's all day. All I've read re: Ohtani is that he wants to be somewhere he can hit. Obv can't play the field every day he's not pitching, but maybe 1-2x plus his ABs as SP

Jay

2:42

Other than the 2 1/2 year age gap, please explain to me why everyone is drawing up 100 million deals for Eric Hosmer and projecting Carlos Santana to get 60-80. Is it strictly just age?

Paul Sporer

2:44

it's more of a 4 year gap, but ya, just age & hype. http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&...

2:45

Santana played his age-31 season, Hosmer age-27

Roxhead

2:45

What are the chances Cargo re-inks with the Rox? Or, do they spend the $ on Lucroy and/or Holland?

Paul Sporer

2:46

I'd say low. I realize he's a legacy there, but it just doesn't make sense for where they are right now

Connor

2:46

Is Jorge Soler done?

Paul Sporer

2:47

No, just 26 years old next year. Ceiling is lowered, but hardly toast IMO

ksmille2

2:47

I am in a dynasty league and can keep 10 of: J. Abreu, D. Gordon, C. Correa, E. Andrus, J. Turner, Harper, Stanton, JD, N. Cruz, Kershaw, CMart, and Yu. Would it be crazy to try and trade Abreu, Cruz, and Yu to get someone like Bellinger? I know it's a lot to give up but I can't keep them all anyway.

Paul Sporer

2:48

No, it wouldn't be crazy especially since you're dealing some age with someone like Cruz. And like you said, you can't keep 'em anyway so might as well make the assets work for you. I like it

ChicagoCardinal

2:49

Any tips for Ottoneu Allocation? Target absolute surplus, surplus relative to salary or stars with decent surplus? I will have ton of money for auction if that makes any difference

Paul Sporer

2:50

I'm actually about to go through the process for the first time myself this weekend so I don't have any great tips rn. Trey Baughn on Twitter @fazeorange could be of service, though!

Tommy Lasordid

2:50

Do the Dodgers maintain their two-headed catching monster for Grandal's last year of control, or trade him for a prospect? I say keep him.

Paul Sporer

2:50

I think they keep him, too, and Barnes gets burn at 2B as well as C

Matt

2:50

Keeper league. Jv 9th darvish 8th kluber 2nd. Pick 1 thanks bruddha

Paul Sporer

2:52

that's pretty tough. Kluber is the best, but I don't think he's 6-7 rds better. I think I'd just keep JV at the lowest cost

Tommy Lasordid

2:52

Would a Joc Pederson /Brock Stewart package be reasonable to get Stanton assuming Dodgers pick up bulk of Stanton's salary?

Paul Sporer

2:52

I doubt it. I feel like a premium prospect has to go even if the team picks up major dollars on the deal

DrunkPatrickKane88

2:52

yo paul

Paul Sporer

2:52

Kaaannneee

Bronx Bombers

2:52

You're like the fourth person this week to get asked that Castillo-Kemp question. People who spam the chats with the same question are the worst. Especially such an uninteresting question. That is all.

Paul Sporer

2:52

loooooooool, roasted af

Moltar

2:53

I was all set to keep a market-rate Jansen under the belief that true #1 closers are extra valuable these days and that I'd have to pay at least as much if not more to replace him at auction. Should I be worried about his heavy usage in the postseason possibly affecting him next year? Or am I overreacting?

Paul Sporer

2:54

I don't think you're overreacting. I think it's a worthy consideration. I, too, like the elite RPs, but I think I'm fading Jansen a little. Not that he'll meltdown or anything, but just that he might not be the overwhelming best. If you have other options, I'd entertain it. Again, not necessarily seeing a skills meltdown, but perhaps a DL breather or 2

cheap-o

2:54

what are draft and hold options for somebody cheap that doesn't want to drop $100+ for nbfc?

Paul Sporer

2:55

I'm not sure of any other D&H league formats out there outside perhaps starting your own. Fantrax is already hosting leagues so you could probably start one up there with some friends and make it a $10-20 thing?

Tommy Lasordid

2:55

How much did Yu's World Series meltdown impact the chances of him signing with LA?

Paul Sporer

2:55

Almost zero, IMO

he was elite before the World Series. bad time to have 2 colossally awful starts, but it doesn't cloud the Dodgers into thinking he's a markedly worse player

2:58

Which Royal would you most like to sign at their likely cost?

Eric Hosmer (~$22 mil/yr) (10.3% | 6 votes)

Lorenzo Cain (~$18 mil) (44.8% | 26 votes)

Mike Moustakas (~$18 mil) (44.8% | 26 votes)

Total Votes: 58

SSS

2:59

Best guess on where Jose Berrios ends ranked next year? You had him 30’s in your October rankings but Jeff’s auction calculator didn’t have him in the top 50?

Paul Sporer

3:00

I think his range is wide, but I obviously think he'll be top 40ish. I'm going to bet on the skills.

Scott

3:01

Keeper league, $270 budget. I have a $1 Bellinger that would cost $3/$7/$13/$21/$31 the next 5 years. If my best SP is Archer, and all above him are kept, crazy to trade Bellinger for Kluber who would cost $17/$25/$35/$47/$61 next 5? (Kershaw will be kept at $61 next year)

Paul Sporer

3:02

You shouldn't plan on keeping either for 5 years, way too uncertain to commit to that, espec. w/Kluber. Although as I'm typing this, I'm thinking it's not something where you have to sign the contract head of time, they just go up yearly. At any rate, I'm keeping Belly. If you need to move him in-season for pitching, then so be it. But build your rotation and take a few months to see where you're at before moving such a key young piece

Alastar

3:03

Who do you prefer in a dynasty league, Price or Verlander? Verlander has the better health right now but is 3 years older.

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