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Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

1:02

Hey y'all, thanks for coming out!!

Bums

1:03

Is Matt McLain now a boring accumulator? At least that’s what the ROS projections say. But yet 2B options are so weak. How much longer should I keep stepping on this rake in a 12 team roto. Apologies if this went thru a lot getting an error on the phone

12T H2H 6x6 OBP,SLG

1:03

Hi Paul! I finally gave up on McLain for Bazzana. Keaschall, Semien, Stott, and Angel Martinez are on the wire, would you move off of Bazzana for any of these guys?

Paul Sporer

1:03

Crazy coincidence that the very first two Qs both involve McLain!!!

1:08

Boring accumulation does appear to be on deck with him. I was among those who bought the spring power surge. But it has completely evaporated in season outside of his 2-HR game v. DET. He has 5 SBs so still viable in deeper formats. I think he's starting to straddle the cut line in 12s and lower.

Bums: Depends who's available, but if it's some of the names shared by the next Q, then I think there's merit to moving on as he's just bludgeoning the AVG for only a bit of HR/SB juice

12T H2H: With those options, you can probably try to play some hot hand stuff. That can be a tricky game if you're always catching the tail end of a hot streak and missing most of the juice, but I guess it's just more that I wouldn't wait toooo long on guys before moving on. Give Bazz another 7-10 days and if it's not turning, you can look elsewhere, but he doesn't appear overmatched and a tiny BABIP is holding back a lot.

Charlotte

1:08

Shane-o-Mac looks so good after getting through his first 3 starts. Is he back-back??!!

Paul Sporer

1:10

Definitely manipulating me putting Charlotte as your name, ain't no damn way someone named Charlotte is in my chat looool -- anyway, I love Shano and was hyped for a big bounce back this year but let's not be too quick to say back-back. I got there with Sandy earlier bc I so badly wanted him to be back and it was preemptive. For now, McClanahan is just a set it and forget guy in all formats short of a legit ace just yet

12T H2H 6x6 OBP,SLG

1:10

projections are still pretty high on McLain but eye test (and the production) just looks so brutal!

Paul Sporer

1:11

Yeah and his plate skills are way better, but he's not hitting the ball with ANY authority. If that turns, he could really catch fire. Just hard to eat .188 too long in ANY format, let alone shallower ones where the bar for AVG is much higher

Stubbs

1:11

Austin Riley - fixable, or is this heading in a very very bad direction?

Paul Sporer

1:16

Looks fixable but his power output is down big under the hood right now. His 18% infield flyball rate is 2x his career mark and could be a sign of just being off. We've all seen those pop-ups where the guy barely missed tattooing it. Still has 5 HRs and he's thrown in a sneaky 3 SB to help soften the AVG blow. I'm holding for now.

Kevin

1:16

At what point do we give up on Austin Riley in shallow leagues?

Paul Sporer

1:17

Should've posted those together. I'm waiting a bit longer in shallow lgs.

Maris

1:17

Troy Melton worth a pickup in AL only?

Paul Sporer

1:19

Yes, all of a sudden the rotation is decimated and instead of being help and he might be needed. I loooved Melton coming into the season before the injury so while my excitement is dimmed a bit bc of the injury, I'm still down to stash and see what he can do once healthy. He started his rehab this past wknd for those who didn't see it and he'll likely work his way through the minors and pile up a handful of starts given when his injury occurred so it can function as a pseudo-spring for him

Mr Redlegs

1:20

Need a Correa replacement for SS/3B. Options are Andujar, Norby, Mead, Rocchio or Ezequiel Duran. Thoughts?

Paul Sporer

1:22

At least some OK names there. I'd lean toward Andujar and Rocchio.

Jane

1:22

Hi Paul, who should replace Yainer? Realmuto, Mack or Dingler? Thank you.

Paul Sporer

1:22

Gimme Dilly Ding

Mike

1:22

Is there any chance that the Martian sticks and plays when Stanton is back. It seems like Belli, Judge, Grisham, and Stanton would prevent him from having an impact.

Paul Sporer

1:27

Ya he could lose some PT when Stanton returns, but Stanton hasn't been cleared for running yet and I'll worry about that when it becomes an issue. I'm among those who paid a pretty penny for Dominguez so obv I want him to do enough to earn that back so to speak, but we can only plan so far out, especially with waiver pickups. This is still an old team, too, so things can happen

AAAstros

1:27

AL only: any interest in these new AAAstros, Whitcomb, Shewmake, Allen? Or should I stick with Schneemann?

Paul Sporer

1:27

I'd roll with Schnee

I just Cantillo

1:27

Cantillo makes me nervous, especially as weather warms. Should I be looking to trade in an AL only?

Paul Sporer

1:28

I'm a big fan so I get the nerves and share them. If you think you can improve your team trading him, I say do it. A 1.40 WHIP is reallyyy rough and will eventually push that ERA up if he doesn't fix it so I don't mind trying to move on before that bill comes due

Chucky

1:28

You think Caminerio’s breakout performance was in a large part due to playing half his games in a minor league park? I know it’s still April, oops can’t use that anymore, but nonetheless he hasn’t impressed me.

Paul Sporer

1:30

I think you might be selling him short. He has 9 HRs and a 131 wRC+, both are pretty good!! He was better at home last year for sure but how much of that was a .197 road BABIP? His power output was still the same on the road. I think Cami is the truth!

1:31

Do you ever hold onto a guy just because he's fun to watch? I don't think I could ever drop Tolle for this reason alone

Paul Sporer

1:34

Oh yeah, I definitely hold onto my guys a bit more. After all, I believe in the talent and while not all my faves are inherently fun to watch, plenty are. So yeah, I'm with you. And your example is a great one, I love Tolle. He's definitely the kind of guy I'm going to extend more leeway to if/when struggles crop up bc I believe in the talent a lot.

Kumar Rocker in the House Tonight

1:34

Is it worth holding my $1 Kumar Rocker in AL Only? He's been a possum this year: often lifeless and killed on the road.

Paul Sporer

1:34

LOOOOOOOOOOL I don't think we can get Nick Pollack to incorporate that into his glossary of terms for pitchers, but holy crap that's funny

1:36

As for holding, I think a buck is still probablyyyy worth it in AL

Cold Corner

1:36

Is Royce Lewis still worth holding on to in a shallow OBP league? Does he have anything left or have injuries cooked him?

Paul Sporer

1:40

Justin just brought up on yesterday's pod that he was close to chopping Royce. I do understand if you have to move, sometimes you just need more production in a shallower league. But I'd at least advocate shifting him to your watch list for when things come loose bc I still think he could pop off. Ks are up a decent bit to a bad 30% but at least he's countered it with a BB gain to 10%. Hard Hit and Barrel rates are both UP. It's still a 20/13 full season pace despite a .208 BABIP holding him down. IF - the biggest of big ifs possible but IFFFF he can stay healthy, I believe there will be a surge here so stay dialed in on him to pounce if you decide to go ahead and cut until it comes

1:41

Cut is plenty viable, though is the takeaway. Sometimes - espec. in shallower lgs where the bars are higher - you just can't wait for the under the hood stats to come to the surface results

1:41

Thoughts on whether Roki will ever figure it out? Should they send him to the minors to work on expanding his arsenal?

Paul Sporer

1:42

Eventually yes, but I'm talkin years, not necessarily within this season. He was literally off my board this year. I just haven't seen anything yet to buy into. Raw talent is still there to become something long-term, remember he's just 24 so he's still a bit of a project for the Dodgers

Man-o-manoah!

1:43

Is Manoah saving the halos?

Paul Sporer

1:44

No.

Nick

1:44

Thanks for chatting! Matt Chapman has been dreadful, and the advanced metrics look grim too. Droppable in a 12-team mixed league?

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