JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

3:18

Rarely. I usually have enough lower-priced guys to fill the max keepers without crushing the budget

OddBall Herrera

3:19

Re: differences between h2h and roto, welcome to streaming two start pitchers.

Paul Sporer

3:19

Yes, that's another aspect. Streaming is much more commonplace and as such, outlawed in some H2H just to make ppl try something different

Byron Buxton

3:19

What do you think of me?

Paul Sporer

3:19

https://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/byron-buxtons-second-half-surge/

Steve

3:19

Think we're most likely to see Forrest Whitley, Vlad Jr, Tatis Jr, or more than one of them for even a September call up?

Paul Sporer

3:22

I'd rank them in that order of likelihood. I just don't see Vlad and Tatis even getting a Sept. call. But they could be Acuna-like in terms of blitzing through several levels en route to the AFL. Whitley might have a better chance if he's involved in some deal as the Astros have a lot of options that will likely get a shot before him, but once you're in Double-A, you're a call away... espec. as a pitcher

3:22

I picked up Acuna mid season last year for $1, and can extend him for as long as I want starting in 2018. His yearly inflation corresponds to the number of years I extend him for (e.g. a 4 year deal would be $5-$9-$13-$17). How many years do I go??

Paul Sporer

3:24

I'd probably go about 4-5. He's obviously an amazing prospect who has a shot to contribute immediately, but there are no guarantees and I'd be reluctant to just go all in an do some sort of 7+ year deal

Slamboni

3:24

I'm trying a new strategy in my points league where I grab one bona fide ace, a few middling round guys and then go hard in the paint after some streamers. Do I need to go get a second bona fide ace to really make this work?

Paul Sporer

3:25

You do not. It can definitely work with just the one ace. Also, if you invest too much in frontline pitching, you won't get the hitting advantages that streaming is supposed to afford. The beauty of a streaming plan to bypass most of the aces and load up with big time hitters

Rick James

3:25

What kind of year can we realistically expect from Luis Castillo? I get that he has the skills to succeed but the hype seems to be really high on him early

Paul Sporer

3:28

It is high for sure, but he's electric. It's hard to say what's "realistic" because pitching is just so volatile, but I think if you're in a mindset of 3.60 ERA, 1.20 WHIP with a K per inning over 185 innings, you're Gucci.

Dan

3:29

Got any recommendations for fantasy baseball podcasts (non-TSTB division)?

Paul Sporer

3:30

Off the top of the dome, I'd say: In This League, Rotowire, On the Corner, Baseballholics Anonymous, and Statcast

Clarkie G

3:30

Keep forever league. I got Domingo Santana, gave up Willie Calhoun. I win right?!?

Paul Sporer

3:30

You didn't lose, but I don't think it's a slamdunk win. Seems like a fair trade

Estevao

3:32

Chase Utley better career player than Robinson Cano, not debatable.

Comparing Omar Visquel to Ozzie Smith is morronic.

Larry Walker's road hitting is equal to Carlos Beltran's career numbers.

Derek Jeter's offensive value
Off= 332.5
Adrian Beltre's
Off= 213.1

Beltre superb D

Paul Sporer

3:32

This is an interesting non sequitur, I dig it

Greg

3:33

Does Mallex Smith start in TB? Could be a nice source of cheap SB in AL-Only.

Paul Sporer

3:34

Nah, I think Span stars with KK and Souza. But speedsters don't need a starting role to contribute, at least in AL-only. Unfortunately he just can't hit at all.

Estevao

3:34

Here is all you need to know about how far away the Padres are and why they should not pursue Hosmer.
They are now a 200/1 shot to win the WS, tied for worst with the Tigers and Reds, the White Sox have a 100/1 and Marlins 125/1.
Think about that

Paul Sporer

3:36

That doesn't really tell anything about how far away they are long-term. First off, it's a bad number if they're truly lower than the Marlins. But these numbers don't factor in anything but the upcoming. They have a fantastic system and while I'm not a huge Hosmer fan, I do buy a signing of him in the same vein of the Werth-to-WAS deal years ago. Or Pudge-to-DET.

Sterling Malory Chris Archer

3:38

Paul Sporers ZIPs projection as the Giants LF? .010/.020/.000?

Paul Sporer

3:39

I'm getting a hit but it's still 0 slg?!?

WormsleyCommonGang

3:39

Paul I need a new fantasy league to join. Any openings?

Paul Sporer

3:39

I don't have any right now, but perhaps someone else in the chat does

Sandy Ravage

3:40

I asked Eno yesterday about Maikel Franco, but now I want your opinion fantasy wise: will he be ok in a points league this year? I have him as a back up/UTIL guy

Paul Sporer

3:41

I'm a Francophile! I keep seeing this power/contact approach as a great foundation for more with him. He hasn't had the full on studly season, but he's just entering age-25. Solid post-hype investment for sure

Big Bill

3:41

Any fruit left on the Robert Gsellman tree?

Paul Sporer

3:43

Ya, a little. NL-only flavor if anything, but I'm not seeing the next big thing

Jon

3:43

Keeping Blackmon, Stanton. need 3 more from this group: Carrasco, Darvish, KDavis, Andrus, Posey, Odor

Paul Sporer

3:46

League context is definitely important here, but in a vacuum I'll go Carrasco, Andrus, and I guess Posey. Essentially you've got 1st, 1st, 3rd, 4th, and 4th rounders there by 15-team ADP.

Big Bill

3:46

In a league where outfielders have the specific positions, L C R, I have JBJ and Buxton. Is it worth shopping JBJ and should I expect something good in return? Can only play one, daily

Paul Sporer

3:49

Is CF the deepest of the three? I know in recent years, the Top 10 LF shows on MLB Network have been underwhelming, so I'd imagine it's the thinnest. JBJ should return something, but obviously Buxton would be the prize

Ken

3:49

Think Xander is primed for a breakout, or is this what he is?

Paul Sporer

3:55

I'm kinda digging Xander Bogaerts at a 50+ pick discount from last year. A 2H wrist injury from a HBP might've played a role in some of his struggles (.442 OPS in 26 gms immediately after the HBP), but he finished with a .297 AVG and .836 OPS in September.

3:56

Prospect growth isn't linear and Bogaets has been a shining example of that adage. I think we could see a .290-20-20 season.

Carson

3:56

Rank these keepers for me, please: $14 Aaron Nola, $13 Billy Hamilton, $4 Domingo Santana (standard roto league)

Paul Sporer

4:00

Hamilton's rank almost depends on what kind of fantasy manager you are. If you're more hands off and don't trade a lot, you probably shouldn't keep Hamilton. I think he's best used as someone to collect steals for the first 3-4 months and then flipped for big value down the stretch. He's arguably the easiest guy to trade as there's almost always a steals-starved contender who can really benefit from the bulk speed of Hamilton. This would of course depend on your other speed, too, but I often see Hamilton managers just ride out the season with him and win steals by 25+ as if that excess does them any good.

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