JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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3:30

You seem like you would like disc golf.

Paul Sporer

3:30

You're really bad at assessing people then

Hack Wilson

3:31

H2H Categories, drop one of the following (rd-years): Machado-9-1, Nola-8-3, Rendon-5-3, Berrios-28-3

Paul Sporer

3:33

Probably Nola and I love Nola, but he seems closest to his ADP. Actually Rendon is probably closer, but I'd rather bet on the hitter between those two. As much as I love Nola, he's yet to put up a 30-start season

Oddball Herrera

3:34

Is Hoskins special enough to overcome the fact that there are a LOT of home runs to be found late round at his eligible position(s)?

Paul Sporer

3:37

The later HRs are usually flawed, though. Projections have him at mid-30s with ~100 RBI, ~90 R, and a .260 AVG. And projections are often conservative. I understand waiting in the 1B pool, but I'm fine with Hoskins' upper tier price

Dennis

3:37

Thanks for the chat, Paul! Would you roll with Matt Carpenter as your starting 1B in a 20 team mixed, 5 x 5 head to head OBP league?

Paul Sporer

3:38

No problem, thanks for coming! I'm still a little nervous about his shoulder so I'd like to see him in ST, but in a 20 tm'r I'm OK gambling, espec. OBP

Kooter

3:38

Does Nomar Mazara start crushing this year?

Paul Sporer

3:38

I think so. I'm very excited about his '18

Dave

3:40

Keep 5 league. Have Trea at SS; would you use a last keeper on Bogaerts (who would have to play UT) or Wil Myers, assuming equal cost?

Paul Sporer

3:43

Hmmmmmmmmm. I kinda dig Bogy, but I gotta go Myers. His SB success has me thinking he'll continue to run

Sim

3:43

How do you feel about Ozuna this year? His BABIP was inflated so do you think he can eclipse .300 again?

Paul Sporer

3:47

I don't think it was over the top given how hard he hits the ball, but he probably won't hit .338 on groundballs again so I'd have him around .280-.290

Quadrangular

3:47

do you like this move for Yelich? seems like this could contribute to some HRs regardless of his low flyball%

Paul Sporer

3:48

It's impossible not to like it. Just moving lineups in a similar park would be huge let alone the fact that he's moving to best left-handed power park out there. I stupidly said he was right-handed on the pod yesterday, but he of course isn't so this move is even better

3:48

How many more good years (~3 WAR or better) does Verlander have in him?

Paul Sporer

3:48

Guest

3:48

If you had Kershaw & deGrom in a k/bb, h/ip & era pitching league.. would you muck it up with Sean Newcomb?

Paul Sporer

3:49

I mean, ya gotta muck it up with somebody in those later rounds and they certainly give you cushion to gamble on someone like him. While Newk walks too many, he does at least get Ks, too.

Chad

3:49

Hey Paul! Love your chats and articles man! Anything good to say on Dillon Peters? Will he stay in the awful MIA rotation and have any success this year? Weird pitcher

Paul Sporer

3:51

Thanks so much! The only good thing I can really say at this point is that he should get a chance. I can't imagine putting him on any team this year, though. We discussed him on the pod late last season - http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/the-sleeper-and-the-bust-episode-494-...

Dennis

3:51

How valuable is Andrew Miller in a 20 team head to head mixed league that has Saves Plus 0.5 Holds as a category in addition to W+QS, ERA, WHIP, and K? I have him for the next two years and I'm thinking he has some extra value because he might sign as a closer this coming off-season.

Paul Sporer

3:56

He's pretty valuable w/that Hold inclusion plus as you mention perhaps moving into a closer's role next year. The thing is, he's so good that he's valuable in all leagues

Devil's Advocate

3:56

There's an awful lot of Bogaerts hate for a 25 yr old with a high BA floor in a good lineup, no? What if Alex Cora helps his power return to form?

Paul Sporer

3:56

Fulllllyyyy agree. Wanted to pick him in that Bogy/Myers question, but think Myers is better at UT.

Dilly Dilly

3:56

How highly would you rank Luis Castillo of the Reds and no more pitchers guide from you?

Paul Sporer

3:58

I've got him early-30s. And no SPG this year, but I did write up the pitchers for the Fantasy Black Book!

Have you gotten your FANTASY BASEBALL BLACK BOOK 2018 yet? It's available on Amazon with RPV & articles by… twitter.com/i/web/status/9…

Morbo

3:59

Hi Paul

Paul Sporer

3:59

Hi Morbo

Luke

3:59

Estevao comes into every single chat and tries to pump out his articles, go home bro

Paul Sporer

3:59

I know, he's been doing it for a while. He's the literal worst. A guide on what NOT to do as someone starting to write about baseball

Daniel Castro

4:00

Have you come around on me yet? No foolsy, I'm so toolsy! I'll make Rockies fans ask, "DJ LeMa-who?"

Paul Sporer

4:00

lol

Zock Jr.

4:02

Hey, Paul! Hearing your phone receive the lorenzo cain news was the highlight of the offseason.

Paul Sporer

4:03

LOL, that was so nuts! For those unaware, check out the first few minutes of the latest pod - https://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/the-sleeper-and-the-bust-episode-518...

4:03

Any chance Tyler Lyons gets to close in STL this year?

Paul Sporer

4:04

It's possible. Gregerson never really seems to get full on confidence of teams so maybe Lyons get a look.

4:04

Is Cole Hamels done? Traded for him in an 18 team mixed dynasty in 2nd half of 2015. K% last year was garbage but velo seemed fine enough.

Paul Sporer

4:08

Ya I'm reluctant to completely write him off. 2017 is the clear outlier right now, but he's also turning 34. I won't project a full bounce back to low-to-mid 20s%, but I think he'll at least add a couple ticks back to ~19%

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