JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

2:38

Baseball is finally back!!!

Tom

2:39

I have 5 picks between 7th and 19th in a redraft league with a small keeper feature (no one drafted top 70 can be kept). any strategic suggestions on how to tackle my first 5 picks?

Paul Sporer

2:39

Need a lot more context for any real answer, but just get the best players you can!

Jay

2:42

Can I win a 12 team H2H league with Carlos Martinez as my ace? Would like one of the big 4 but with all but Sale having some injury history (and heavy workloads) was thinking of spending more on hitters and trying to go for one really good arm and some steady/upside plays. Thoughts?

Paul Sporer

2:44

Not sure I'd say Sale has any substantial injury history. And Jeff Zimmerman has found that age, not workloads is the bigger concern. That said, you can win with C Mart as ace. It'd be great to get one of the big 4, but it's not like only 4 teams have a chance to win bc of those pitchers... this isn't the NBA!

2:44

Should I be worried if my top 3 pitchers are Morton, Keuchel, and Paxton in a 6x6 H2H league? It seems like a pretty volatile group.

Paul Sporer

2:45

A lot of folks are going to have a super volatile group. Just gotta be diligent during the year and hopefully some of your later picks click, too

MarinerDan

2:45

Seeing Kershaw slipping to second, or even third, pitcher off the board. I know there have been injury issues, but that is a little absurd, isn't i?

Paul Sporer

2:47

No, not really. Sub-200 IP in 3 of last 4 years and back injuries are chronic. Don't think it's at all out of bounds to see LAD essentially treat him like Popovich does with the San Antonio Spurs where he rests his guys at times bc it's the playoffs that matter. The Dodgers have no real need/reason to push Kershaw for much beyond 200, assuming he even gets to 200. He's still amazing pitch for pitch, but volume matters. I have Max 1, Kersh 2, and then the 2 AL guys

MarinerDan

2:47

How much will you factor in the AZ humidor issue into your evaluation of AZ hitters and pitchers?

2:47

How are you feeling about Souza after the trade to Arizona? Do you think he gets more steals to offset the homers he's expected to lose?

Paul Sporer

2:48

Great stuff from Derek Carty on the topic -

/THREAD

MUST READ: Everything you need to know about the Chase Field humidor and why Chase will become a pitchers' park in 2018

and we also discussed it on the pod yesterday. It will matter, but I'm not going to wildly change outlooks on players.

Jake

2:48

How can I get my 10 bold predictions published by fangraphs this year

Paul Sporer

2:48

You'd have to work for FG

2:49

Or submit to the Community side - https://www.fangraphs.com/community/

Dungeon Master

2:49

5x5 H2H league, I can keep Ken Giles pretty cheap but need to commit a roster spot for 2 years to do so. Worth it? I am solidly in the middle of a contention window.

Paul Sporer

2:49

Eeek, no thanks. I'm not committing 2 yrs to any closer, let alone one who seems to lose his job at least once a year

RuPaul Sporer

2:49

I have the 2nd pick in a 12-team league with OBP/SLG. Steamer auction values have Stanton ranked 2nd. Is it nuts to take him there?

Paul Sporer

2:50

Not nuts, no. The added categories certainly favor him greatly.

Wendy Peffercorn

2:50

Do you think Ryan McMahon gets a real shot for a full time role in Coors this year? What could an upside line for him look like if so?

Paul Sporer

2:55

I don't see him winning the job out of camp, but if the job opens and he gets a shot, but I could see a solid line with strong batting average and decent pop

2:55

Please tell us you’re not going to follow Eno out the door!

Paul Sporer

2:56

I'm not goin anywhere!

Moltar

2:56

Paul! it is time! My keepers are due tonight. 12tm h2h points, keeping six. Already settled on GSanchez ($), Lindor ($), Freeman($$), Kershaw ($$$$), and Jansen ($$). Need to decide between Fulmer($), Godley ($), or another bat in Upton ($). Points league so pitchers rule all. I'm leaning Fulmer but so stumped!

Paul Sporer

2:57

I'd definitely go with one of the arms. I love Fulmer, but I might lean Godley with the humidor and better team context

Erik

2:57

If Senzel gets SS or 2b eligibility, that’s a big plus right? How would he compare to the best at those positions like Gleyber, Moncada, or Albies for a dynasty?

Paul Sporer

2:59

Always helpful when you add eligibility. I think he's right in line with those prospects. Big bat, some speed, good park

Dennis

2:59

Thank you for the chat, Paul. 12 team mixed keeper Roto 5x5 (with OBP instead of BA and starting 5 OF), $260 auction budget. Would you keep your doppelganger Christian Yelich for the next two years at $29 or just this season at $26? I'm leaning towards the former, though it might be a bit risky. FWIW, I've got Bellinger and Gary Sanchez as cheap keepers for the next four years who can provide power...

Paul Sporer

3:00

I'm not a huge fan of contracts, but Yelich has been so solid for his entire career and now moves to a much better park with a solid lineup and I think I can get behind the $29 for 2 yrs

Oddball Herrera

3:00

So, the first day of spring training is meaningless but I was still less than enthused to see a 0-3 with 2K start for Buxton

Paul Sporer

3:01

I'm sure there will be many more

Jack

3:01

Hey Paul, your thoughts on Mallex Smith this year? I have two shares of him both in AL--Only 12 team roto leagues.

Paul Sporer

3:01

That's the best league format to have him in! I think he gets a shot and if he holds his OBP gains from last yr, he'll be a solid speed option!!

Dennis

3:05

Would you spend $22 (out of $260) and one of eight keeper slots in a 12 team mixed roto league to keep Craig Kimbrel this year and next? Closers are very expensive in this league... average-ish closers can go for around $15.

Paul Sporer

3:06

I have a hard time keeping closers for 2 yrs as I mentioned in the Giles question, but at least it's one the very best here. Based on your context, it's definitely viable

Drew

3:06

Which side of Goldy, Paxton, Kingery or Arenado, Javy Baez, Colin Moran do you like in 12 team dynasty? Thanks!

Paul Sporer

3:07

Pretty fair deal, but I think I'd go with side B

Big Tuna

3:07

Need help choosing a final keeper for a 12 tm OPS league: E. Diaz (8th round), Fulmer (13th round), Margot (17th round). Thanks!

Paul Sporer

3:07

I'll take Margot. OPS isn't a great category for him, but the speed plus being the cheapest sells it for me

Christian

3:08

10 team, keep 7 (no limit on years) standard H2H Categories and I'm considering keeping 2 SP (I haven't kept a pitcher in years). Can I build a good squad behind Yu and Robbie Ray?

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