JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

3:09

Yes you can. Like I mentioned in an earlier Q, the bulk of league members are gonna be without one of the bona fide 4 and many of them will still win leagues. Yu & Ray are still a pair of top 20 guys (top 15 for many in fact) so you're in good shape.

Rich

3:10

Would you trade Carrasco for Jose Abreu? I need a 1B and would still have C-Mart, Castillo, and Fulmer as SP keepers going into the draft

Paul Sporer

3:12

Yes I'd definitely do that in your case.

Big Tuna

3:12

How are you handling Domingo in drafts/rankings right now? It's so hard to know how that playing time will shake out.

Paul Sporer

3:15

I'm kinda fading him right now. I'd just like to have more certainty. I can't pay the premium of his pre-Cain/Yelich price (top 80 pick). He's not going to be some scrub 4th OF, but we can't feel good about 600 PA right now, either

Big Tuna

3:15

Do you think the Angels lowering the OF fence has a noticeable impact on Kole? Where would you slot him among OFs now?

Paul Sporer

3:15

No. Maybe a couple HRs

JSC

3:15

Keep White Merrifield for 2 years or Daniel Murphy for 1 in Shallow head to head league? Both cost the same to keep

Paul Sporer

3:15

Murphy for me

Colby

3:16

My league has k/9 and whip as ratio stats for roto. Thus in my rankings Andrew Miller have criminally undervalued with an adp of 200ish. Any reason to stay away?

Paul Sporer

3:16

No reason I can think of. Adding K9 certainly helps him!

Jake

3:17

What are your thoughts on Rhys Hoskins and his move to LF. I know his offensive numbers were much worse in LF as compared to 1B last year. Do you think it effects him?

Paul Sporer

3:19

I put less than zero stock in his 1B/LF splits from last yr given that we're parsing an already tiny sample of 50 gms. It could impact his health playing LF v. 1B over 162 and thus ding his bat a little, but I'm not sure I'd greatly change my outlook on him bc of it. That said, I'm already a little lower than the market as I can't justify the 47th overall pick. Your ADP cannot be lower than your MLB games played for a hitter.

3:20

Pitching comp would be IP v. ADP and my boy Luis Castillo is close, but pitchers are a different animal altogether

Erik

3:20

What's a reasonable amount of inflation to expect in a dynasty league? I tried to calculate it for my dynasty league based on the guys I expected to be kept, and it came out to north of 80%. Is that a plausible amount or did I mess up?

Paul Sporer

3:20

80% feels pretty high, but if you have a ton of single-digit guys who should be much higher than I could see it getting there. Did you follow this guide? https://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/how-to-account-for-keeper-inflation-...

Maris

3:21

points league trade. Wil Myes for Roberto Osuna. I get Osuna. What you think?

Paul Sporer

3:21

Fair

Jack

3:22

Miguel Andujar ($4, minor league keeper does not effect budget) for $1 Jake Junis and $2 Chad Green (both in majors) who says no? It's a 12 team AL only roto w/ $260 budget and 9 keepers (as well as 9 minor league keepers)

Paul Sporer

3:23

I mean, there's no need for either said to aggressively say no. That's super fair

3:23

Do you have any suggestions of the best site for mock drafts that have the same format of NFBC leagues (12 or 15 teamers)?

Paul Sporer

3:23

Fantrax. Or use the Fantasypros Mock Draft Simulator with your own settings. It's really good! It varies things up very nicely

MarinerDan

3:23

Rank 'em: Paxton, Stroman, Darvish, and Hamels

Paul Sporer

3:24

https://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/2018-top-100-starting-pitchers-janua...

Colby

3:24

Through some off-season trading I have 3 picks in the 10th Round. Who are you targeting in there? 6x6 10 Team Roto

Paul Sporer

3:24

lolwut? I don't have targets in the 10th round. Get the players that best fit your team at the time

Boom Boom

3:26

My league switched to auction for the first time ever this year, and I want to read everything I possibly can about auction behavior - typical dynamics, how to budget, strategies for behavior during the auction, etc. (the valuation stuff I find less interesting but obviously goes hand in hand). Do you have suggestions on books or other materials that are particularly good on this? Also generally any other 2018 fantasy baseball publications you'd recommend (in addition to the Forecaster and the Black Book, of course)

Paul Sporer

3:27

As far as books, give Larry Schecter's book a look - https://www.amazon.com/Winning-Fantasy-Baseball-Strategies-Nine-Time/d...

Dennis

3:27

Is CJ Cron now a viable staring 1B in a 20 team mixed head to head 5x5 categories (OBP instead of BA) league? (Already spending a lot of money keeping Trout, McCutchen, Odor, and Sano so looking to keep CJ at $6 rather than Matt Carpenter at $30 with a $260 budget.)

Paul Sporer

3:28

Ya I can get behind that now that he has a bigger role. I'm not a HUGE Cron fan, but we're not being super picky in 20-teamers. I might consider ditching Sano in favor of Carp, btw.

Oddball Herrera

3:32

Keep 10 h2h league, where I have a glut of guys with OF eligibility. Is Acuna so good that I'd regret keeping Gallo over him, even if I don't *really* need another outfielder? (p.s. I think Gallo's potential is underappreciated)

Paul Sporer

3:33

ya I think you really could wind up regretting that. I'd go with Acuna even in a 10 team and not knowing exactly when he's gonna be up. he's not just a run of the mill #1 prospect, he's generational

Hebrew

3:37

I'm currently in an NFBC draft champions league , 12th round. The vast majority of my offense is set (all starters save 2b and MI) but I only have 3 pitchers (Archer, Rich Hill, Ken Giles). It's a traditional 5x5 roto. Do I start drafting as many pitchers as I can now, or do I stick to my offense first strategy and start filling my bench, or do I beef my pitching roster now?

For some context, I have the lowest number of pitchers taken so far in the draft (15 teams.) 2 Teams have taken 6 pitchers, and the rest 4 or 5.

Is this question too long?

Paul Sporer

3:38

Q isn't too long, no. I do think it's time to start pumping pitching. I'm not averse to starting off this way, but I don't think you can let it go much longer otherwise you're going to put too much burden on your sleepers and reserve picks to come through. Espec. bc some of your picks are gonna be TOTAL busts and you can't replace them as you could in a normal lg with pickups

Erik

3:38

$1 Eugenio Suarez for a $13 Knebel and Sandy Alcantara in a deep dynasty league. Which side do you take?

Paul Sporer

3:39

Suarez. He's quietly been really solid in Cincy

Dennis

3:39

Do you think Shelby Miller might be a decent stash in a dynasty league? Guy is only 27...

Paul Sporer

3:40

I do, but I'm also a Miller stan so keep that bias in mind lol. I still think there's real stuff there and once he's back, I think he can be v good again. He was looking much better last yr after that disastrous '16

Matt Klentak

3:40

What have you seen done to Miguel Sano's draft day value with suspension looming? Is he a keep forever, no cost dynasty keeper? (10 team AL ONLY Scoresheet)

Paul Sporer

3:41

He's off my list. I'm not taking him anywhere. I've never been a fan and now he's super out of shape and facing a suspension for his legal issues. Probably have to keep in your situation, but I might sell for 50 cents on the dollar

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