JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

3:04

Hellloooo!!! Early chat this week (Thur instead of Fri), how's it goin?

Good Steve

3:05

Ketel Marte or Paul DeJong ROS?

Paul Sporer

3:06

I'm going DeJong. I know Marte's had a power surge, but I still prefer DeJong's power

Eldridge Cleaver

3:06

Hello Dr. Paul!!! Can you diagnose the monthly trend in Stanton's flyball %? He's gone from ~38% to ~29% from May through July. His career average is 40%! Should we expect less home runs from him ROS? Or are monthly swings like this normal and we should expect him to revert back to his career norms? Seems like a fairly material change for a power hitter like him.

Paul Sporer

3:09

It is a difference, but I'm not sure it's one that's going to impact him *greatly* because he also doesn't need as many flyballs for HR success given his park change

Larry Hutz

3:09

This time of year is the worst for closers, almost none are safe, fear strikes the heart of every owner. Which of these closers are most likely to be traded still: Kela, Greene, Yates, Rodney?

Paul Sporer

3:09

And I think this year is as bad as any in recent memory as far being unsettled, a trend I expect to continue as teams realize that they don't HAVE to name a capital C closer

3:10

I think all four should be good as gone, tbh. However, at some point, the market will dry up and it may not be worth it for the team moving them. I'd rank them Rodney, Kela, Greene, Yates in terms of likeliness to move

Sandy Ravage

3:10

H2H points dynasty, what would I need to add to 5 years of Soto to get years of Betts? A top 150 player?

Paul Sporer

3:11

This is a good question for the person with Betts, tbh. Bc I could say a price and it might be nowhere near what the person with Betts believes is fair

Mike

3:11

Pham or Matt Chapman rest of the way?

Paul Sporer

3:12

I was going to say Pham bc of the speed, but it's dried up with 2 SB since June 1st. I'll go Chap

RMR

3:13

Jesse Winker = Austin Kearns 2.0. So sad.

Paul Sporer

3:14

Haha, nice throwback name, but Winker's plate skills are already better than anything Kearns showed. I guess that's a 2.0 in essence since it's a better version, but hopefully Winker has better health, too

Slamboni

3:14

In win now mode, in a dynasty league. With Gary Sanchez down for the next month or so, should I move him for a guy like Contreras or JT Realmuto?

Paul Sporer

3:15

Yes, plus I don't think you'll hate yourself over it in future years

Mike

3:15

Posey going to wake from his coma?

Paul Sporer

3:16

I mean, he's not THAT far off his normal production. This is the lower end of his outcome range, but it's within reason, so this just might who he is this season

New article live while chatting! http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/the-cutting-room-floor-from-the-top-3...

James

3:17

Activating Eflin from the DL, so have to drop Bieber, Buehler, Pivetta or Cahill. Who should it be?

Paul Sporer

3:18

I think I'm gonna go Bieber. It's looking like more control than command at this juncture which just leaves him prone to getting thrashed

Jedd

3:18

Pham is killing me, hold or look to deal for replacement? Any names come to mind?

Paul Sporer

3:19

Who's available? I don't even know what kinda league you're in. Get Mookie Betts, I guess

Adam

3:21

Wait for Justin turner and lamehieu or Matt Chapman?

Paul Sporer

3:21

So cut one for Chap? I'd be OK cutting DJLM

3:22

Ohhhhh, just saw Winker hurt his shoulder hence the Kearns comp. Dammit.

HappyFunBall

3:22

Cervelli activated. Trust him? Or is he going to be stuck in a 50/50 with Diaz the rest of the way?

Paul Sporer

3:23

If he's clear of these concussion issues (scary stuff), he's the #1. His power breakout is believable, too

Pat G

3:23

Should trades be vetoed if they probably arent collusion, have a weak reasoning, and massively shift the current season? We have a keeper where we get them 3 rounds earlier than their previous season. This creates the scenario where a non-competitive team has 3 players they cant keep. A team just acquired Lindor and Altuve to shore up his two weakest holes and it makes his team the massive favorite. Even though it's not collusion, shouldnt the spirit of fair competitive playing field be upheld?

Paul Sporer

3:24

But what did he get back? If he didn't get anything worthwhile back, it's hard not to see it as collusion bc otherwise what's the point?

Kevin

3:24

Any thoughts on Yefry Ramirez? The change up seems legit.

Paul Sporer

3:24

Agreed! http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/five-arms-of-interest/

Saul Pporer

3:24

Just lost Winker. Believe in Kole Calhoun or Kepler ROS?

Paul Sporer

3:25

Go for Calhoun. Pulling out his horrific slump and lookin like himself of late

Frank

3:25

Can you rank these guys in dynasty: Albies, Altuve, J. Baez??

Paul Sporer

3:25

I think you just did

Saul Pporer

3:25

Btw. Love when kyle comes to weed whack-so funny. Also Justin’s laugh cracks me up! Great podcast

Paul Sporer

3:26

Thanks!! I'm sure Kyle will be back weed-whackin tomorrow when we record

Matt S

3:26

Would you start Guerra @ SF or Musgrove at home vs the Mets on Sunday? I know the Mets offense is bad but they have a 101 WRC+ on the road (tied for 9th) vs 78 at home (30th). Is that actionable info or just SSS?

Paul Sporer

3:28

Kind of a coin flip, but I'll go Musgrove here

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