JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

1:20

Ya Minny really got him in the 4th inning... it happens. I think I'd roll him v. HOU, though

Parts + Gleyber

1:20

Really liked the bit about pitcher volatility. It's amazing how those single outings can ruin your view of a pitcher when you own him, but really just represent a small bump in the road overall. Hard not to go crazy in the moment.

Paul Sporer

1:21

Thanks, totally agree that it's so hard in the moment to breathe and just relax but that's why phrases like Small Sample Size exist and get said so often when trying to keep people in check from overreacting to a start or three

Manny's Stylist

1:21

Turns out Maeda didn't need to be added to August SP ranks after all...

Paul Sporer

1:21

Right? Really surprising that they've jettisoned him to the pen

Whambo

1:21

What are the odds that Dylan Cease gets a mid-summer promotion to the bigs next season?

Paul Sporer

1:21

11%

Cool

1:23

What is your assessment of the job Avila has done for the Tigs rebuild? I'm personally pretty happy with a majority of the moves.

Paul Sporer

1:24

Ya I think it's been pretty solid so far. Surprised we didn't see more at the deadline, but there also weren't pieces that were going to fundamentally alter the rebuild short of Casty or Fulmer (neither of whom NEED to be dealt)

Asking for a friend

1:25

Unsolicited opinion/feedback: I get the idea behind re-ranking SP each month, but I still find value in viewing ranks on a ROS basis, or a better term might be "true talent". It's hard to rely on monthly ranks for decision making when a hot month can bump a guy up or down 50 spots (in extreme cases).

Paul Sporer

1:27

Meanwhile I feel the opposite.. trying to view the SP market in a ROS scope just doesn't have a lot of value, IMO. With injuries, there are just so few leagues where you truly set it and forget it so you have to play to the volatility, espec. w/The Glob

Ken

1:27

Kendrys Morales worth a test drive given the recent streak?

Paul Sporer

1:28

Ya I think he's had solid underlying metrics all year and now his results are starting to come

Ronald Acuna

1:28

Who is your NL ROY? Me or that Juan Soto kid?

Paul Sporer

1:29

:flips coin: Ah, it landed Acuña this time - https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0...

Tim

1:30

Shallow league, need an all-around UTIL bat, who do you like most of Hosmer, Schwarber, Gardner, Inciarte?

Paul Sporer

1:30

Lemme get Schwarbs

brouhaha

1:30

Thoughts on Fulmer returning? Like him better than Ryu or Velazquez? Need ratios but also can't take a hit in net wins.

Paul Sporer

1:31

I like Fulmer and think he'll be solid in Sept., but if you can't take a hit in Net Ws, then you gotta stick w/Ryu & VV

Ted

1:31

Is stashing Eloy for the last 3+ weeks going to be worth it?

Paul Sporer

1:32

Really don't know... I'll lean 55-45 that they give him the call

Jon

1:32

Expanding on your catcher point too: outside of like 2-3 guys, every other team in your league is rostering a catcher with a poor BA, so you're hurt relatively less than having an outfielder with a bad batting average.

Paul Sporer

1:33

What do you mean? You can't play that extra OF in the C spot. You're just ceding 40-50 R/RBI to the rest of the league to save a little AVG pain. It's a bad strategy

HappyFunBall

1:35

Which late season suddenly alive veteran bat do I bet on? Cano or Sano? Positional need is negligible.

Paul Sporer

1:36

What about category need? Sano if you need pop, Cano if you need AVG; Cano if it's points

Dave

1:38

Is Mazara a worthwhile hold for the rest of the season (12-team, mixed roto league) or are you using that roster spot for a streaming SP/multi-position guy to catch up on innings/GP?

Paul Sporer

1:38

I'm good streaming a bat, but I'd keep an eye on Maz himself to possibly get into the mix if he catches fire again

1:39

Any hope for Dozier going forward? Is he playing through injury or just lost bat speed for good like Jose Bautista last year? Out of all everyday position players (>200 batted balls), only Billy Hamilton and Dee Gordon have a lower maximum exit velocity (104 mph). I would cut him but only holding on since Dodgers placed their faith in a bounce-back and they're much smarter than I am.

Paul Sporer

1:41

I'm hanging on. Despite the max exit velo thing you cite, his batted ball profile is very much in line with the last couples year. He certainly hasn't been peak Dozier, but still someone I'm keeping around

Dan

1:42

How does your threshold for holding/dropping your hitters change down the stretch? I don't want to chuck my regulars just to chase the hot hand, but I also figure dudes like Inciarte are much more expendable at this point.

Paul Sporer

1:42

Really depends on category setup, but ya I'm not ditching the core studs for a some 2-week flash in the pan

zurzles

1:42

Can CMart be a great multi-inning reliever ROS?

Paul Sporer

1:42

He *can* if he's at-all healthy

Phyllis

1:43

Paul, thanks as always. I'm in the lucky position of being solidly in the top 3 in my league but also have some great keeper options. In my 12-team mixed roto w/a $260 budget, I'm locked in with Juan Soto $10 and Walker Buehler $10. For the third, what do you think: Miles Mikolas $7, Scooter Gennett $9, Dereck Rodriguez $10, or none of the above?

Paul Sporer

1:43

I'm going Scoots! Like a lot of what Mikolas & D-Rod have done, but really prefer the bat

Ryan

1:44

Hey, going back to that Paxton question, last I heard he wasn't coming back until the A's serires next week. Did I miss something?

Paul Sporer

1:44

Word, I was just going off the chatter's question as I wasn't up on his latest - http://www.rotoworld.com/player/mlb/5938/james-paxton

Dan

1:45

McHugh has been beaten up a bit lately - time to move on, or you think he'll continue to be a solid half-SP down the stretch?