JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Milton

4:18

Man Paul is it good to have you back! I'm already sweating my last 2 keeper in a keep 6 OBP league. I need 2 of these 4: Edwin Diaz, Eugenio Suarez, Javier Baez and JT Realmuto. Who should I keep? And I should give Carlos Correa another year, right?

Paul Sporer

4:21

Glad to be back! With fantasy football done, it's officially time for fantasy baseball (though we never stop the fantasy baseball here!) -- As for your keeper, I'd go w/Suarez and Baez.

I do have some reservations about Baez as a 2nd round pick, but as a standard keeper w/out specific round or dollar costs, you gotta hang onto him. I am still on board with Correa overall, but don't prefer him to the other options

Bill's Brother Josh

4:21

Have you seen my brother's show? Also do you think we're nearing a point where RPs give more value and/or predictability to starters?

Paul Sporer

4:23

What show? They don't necessarily give more value, but we are at a point where non closer stud RPs are growing more and more valuable and taking them over guys like Mike Leake or Tanner Roark

King Donko of Punchstania

4:23

Do you have any insight/opinion on using Quality Appearance as a replacement for QS?

Paul Sporer

4:24

What's a quality appearance?

Chris

4:24

Hey Paul - Head to head pts league where you can keep players for up to 4 more years. I need to decide my last two keepers from the following options: Taillon in Rnd 11, Bichette in rnd 18, Urias in rnd 20, Whitley in Rnd 22, and M Brantley in Rnd 23. All would be first year keepers. Thanks!

Paul Sporer

4:24

I gotta go with Taillon and Brantley. The prospects are fair costs, but I think Taillon has a good shot at taking an ace jump this year and Brantley's cost is just too good to pass up

Confirmation Baez

4:25

Do you take the over or under on 25 HR for Voit in 2019?

Paul Sporer

4:25

Fantastic handle... I'll go under on Voit. More like 18-21.

4:25

Guy in my dynasty league traded Aaron Nola for Brendon Rodgers, Nick Senzel, a 2020 1st round pick and 2021 2nd round pick. Who wins?

Paul Sporer

4:27

It's not always about a win/loss, it's about whether the trade is fair and passes the smell test... and it does. An ace arm for two prospects and two picks works. Assuming the person who traded Nola is looking forward a bit more whereas the person who acquired him is targeting the short term to contend.

kala

4:27

In an AL-only 2 catcher league, would you target Astudillo even if he is not guaranteed a starting role? Hoping it'll bring down his auction price

Paul Sporer

4:28

Yes, I'm preferring him more in AL Only now w/his likely ticket to Triple-A to start being punch and I'll reserve him for a bit in hopes that he's up within a few weeks and gives me some nice late round AVG

OddBall Herrera

4:28

Top minor leaguer to stash has to be Hiura, right? No reason to call up Guerrero/Eloy right away...Senzel super blocked and could do with a few weeks of PAs without getting hurt...Tucker seems blocked (again). Hiura on the other hand is coming off of AFL MVP, NL Central will be tight, and he only has to be better than one Cornelius Spangenberger

Paul Sporer

4:32

No, it's Guerrero by a landslide. And then Eloy behind him. Don't get hung up on Senzel being blocked, teams make room when the talent is ready (remember how "blocked" Cody Bellinger was?). Bummed about Tucker seemingly getting blocked off again, but I reiterate - trust the talent. I like Hiura, was impressed by the handle of PAs I saw at AFL, and even drafted him in the 50-round draft & hold that took place at AFL, but he has just 73 games at Double-A so I think he needs a bit more seasoning.

4:32

Is there a good rule of thumb for valuing prospects compared to MLB players in a dynasty league? How do you compare say a top 50 prospect vs. a 2nd round draft pick vs. a good 30-year old MLB player?

Paul Sporer

4:33

I think it primarily depends on your team construct. Some folks go into a dynasty league building for the future immediately and the late-20s, early-30s players drop and become major values so decide what you want your team to be and go from there

Glooboo

4:33

What should we expect from Bo Bichette this year from a fantasy persepective?

Paul Sporer

4:36

He's a great prospect, but not on Vlad's level so I would temper expectations for a 21-year old who hasn't hit Triple-A yet. I think we could get a month or so late in season. I don't know how legit the 32 SBs from last year were so I'm reluctant to tab him as a true speed option, but he seems like a do-a-bit-of-everything in the counting categories with the chance to deliver big AVG. I'd target 2020 more, though.

Dizzy Trout

4:36

In an AL-only $250 keeper, Would you keep a $12 Voit, assuming the yanks don't acquire anyone? That #1 barrrel% makes it tempting.

Paul Sporer

4:37

Ya $12 is fine in AL. Like I said earlier, I'm thinking 18-21 HR. Also a .265ish AVG and solid R/RBI as part of that good lineup

Nick

4:38

When would you be comfortable taking Victor Robles in a 12 team points league?

Paul Sporer

4:39

His primary asset - the SBs - aren't as valuable in pts league so I'm not going any earlier than a double-digit round... ideally 12th-13th area

Dizzy Trout

4:39

Is Texas still that bad a pitching environment for Shelby? I mean I remembered hearing Arlington nowadays is much closer to neutral but don't know if my info is outdated

Paul Sporer

4:42

The park isn't as much of a launching pad as it used to be thanks to an architectural change that cutoff a jetstream, but it's still a plus environment for hitters, likely due to the remarkably warm weather. I'm a Shelby Miller fan in general, but I still try to avoid Texas where I can

4:42

Who, if any guy, has the 2019 Buehler potential?

Couple guys I like for this are Puk + Honeywell.

Paul Sporer

4:43

I love both of those arms in general, but more for 2020 as this is their return year from TJ so I'd be looking more at Jesus Luzardo, Forest Whitley, and Mitch Keller

Scott TINSTAAPP

4:43

yea boi we chatting in 2019!!!

Paul Sporer

4:43

Heck yes we are!!!

Brett

4:43

Keeper league who would you rather have D Jansen or L Urias? Catcher spot is thin.

Paul Sporer

4:44

Catcher is thin, but i'm a big Urias stan so I'm leaning toward him

4:44

Who would you rather have in a keeper, Taillon or Matt Olson?

Paul Sporer

4:44

Damn, another one where I like both players, but I'm going Taillon pretty easily as I think he's got an ace season in him

A live Astudillo Audience

4:45

A team in my league is open to trading a $15 Gary Sanchez. Is it worth taking on an undroppable $10 Mullins and $15 Sanchez for my $7 Welington Castillo?

Paul Sporer

4:46

Hmmm is it an AL-Only? That'd make it somewhat intriguing with Mullins' speed, but it's a pass in any mixed league

The old Professor

4:46

Daniel Murphy , Cano or Dozier in a keep 7 h2h points league?

Paul Sporer

4:46

Murph in Cors

Coors even

Michael

4:46

Hey Paul, been waiting for people to talk about JBJ's offensive improvement, so it was nice to see your shoutout/Petriello's piece the other day. What would you give as an upside projection if everything clicks?

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