JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

1:38

I think they're mostly set with those two, but is Rodgers fully healthy heading into spring?

Bill

1:38

Merrifield seems to be moving up ADP. Whats a realistic SB estimate for him? I worry it’s more 12-15, which is just not that valuable over guys who get chip-in 8-10.

Paul Sporer

1:40

The annoyance of SBs... it's really hard to pin down. He could shave more off of last year's 20 or push back up to 30+. The thing is, even with the major SB falloff, he was still a top 40 player so I'm still open to taking him. I think the 12-15 projection is the least likely between that, another season of 20, and a return to 30+

Cory

1:40

Paul, I want to trade for a top pitcher to supplement Nola, Ryu and Buehler. Would you trade 5 years of Soler or Moose for 3 years of Clevinger?

Paul Sporer

1:41

Ya I'd be down to move either. I favor Moose with 2B/3B elig., but if your trade partner will take either, just give him your least fave

Fresh Basil

1:41

Must cut one Laureano or Kepler?

Paul Sporer

1:41

Assuming standard 5x5, gotta be Kepdog

Joe E

1:41

Keep 1 in an nl only: darvish $17, dahl $13 or smith (la Catcher) $8?

Paul Sporer

1:42

I'm gonna take Darvish. I'm a huge fan of last year's command improvements. Meanwhile, Dahl's health track record is problematic and I'm not super hot on young catchers

tacopocket

1:42

Hey paul. missed your chats. need keeper advice. 5X5 12 man roto league with $300 at auction. I need to pick 5 of these: $4 robles, $10 meadows, $12 olson, $14 suarez,$19 villar, $37 verlander, $32 rendon. i was locked into olson, suarez, robles, and verlander (the top 4 aces usually go for $50+) but willing to listen to other opinions. Help?

Paul Sporer

1:43

Suarez out even at $14 with the injury. It's a good price, but we're splitting hairs here so a bum shoulder pushes him out for me. JV at that price seems worth it and I'd take Robles/Meadows/Olson to go with him.

Dave

1:43

How bullish are you on Luke Voit?

Paul Sporer

1:44

Remarkably so. I know there is some playing time concern with Andujar lingering, but I think he plays when healthy and he absolutely rakes. I think he's 35 HR waiting to happen with plenty of R/RBI as part of that lineup. And there's even some AVG upside as I could see him hitting .280+ given how well he strikes the ball

Matt W.

1:44

Opinion on McCutchen his projects seem a little light in runs?

Paul Sporer

1:45

Coming off an ACL and being 33 y/o, I get why the projections might be a bit light, but I'm buying back in for sure. I'm a huge fan.

CB Slider

1:45

Roto keep forever. Would you rather keep J.Jimenez and his immediate saves or Karinchak? RPs are sketchy, but is Karinichak potentially something special?

Paul Sporer

1:47

RP are sketchy and annoying and I like Karinchak, but I'll take Jimenez. He's pretty nasty, too: 32% K and 15% SwStr. Tigers are obv a bad team again, but I think he'll get 25-30 saves. Plus, they could be one of the more viable low level teams in the 2H if and when the likes of Manning/Mize/Skubal are called up

BarryBondsJuicedForOurSins

1:47

Spencer Howard and Nate Pearson for Jose Berrios...who says yes quicker?

Paul Sporer

1:47

Really depends on format -- y'all please make sure you're including format and pertinent league info or else it's hard to give a concrete answer on stuff. If this a standard 15-tm 5x5, I want Berrios

Waiting for Verdugo

1:48

Does Maeda's road numbers worry you now that he's out of LA?

Paul Sporer

1:49

Not really, no. Virtually all players are better at home. Just taking their road numbers as a projection when they're traded is faulty. Target Field isn't worrisome and he gets to face KC and DET. I think he'll be good wit MIN... if the trade even goes through

Scott TINSTAAPP

1:49

Listened to the LABR draft pod, good times! Laughed hard when Mason said "always love those injury stashes", lol. Yea no kidding. I guess he doesn't learn!

Paul Sporer

1:49

lolololol thanks for listening!!

James

1:50

Keeper question: 6x6, $260, 18 teamer. Keep 4: Villar $19, Arenado $36, Meadows $6, Robles $6, Yordan $6

Paul Sporer

1:51

Robles/Meadows/Alvarez/Arenado... I'll take the savings on the first 3 and get Arenado. Robles and Villar are a bit redundant (outside of position eligbility, but I don't think infield v. outfield is worth $13)

rainmaker

1:51

Is there any method to the madness of ranking Severino, Kluber, and Carrasco?

Paul Sporer

1:53

Spring will offer a lot more clarity on the trio, tbh. For now here's where I've got em: https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/top-125-sp-for-2020

Biggy

1:53

I'm in 10 team H2H roto keeper. (I won last year!) I don't want to keep a pitcher usually. Would you keep Flaherty or Kershaw over Albies?

Paul Sporer

1:53

All costs being equal, no I'd keep Albies personally.

Bilbo

1:53

Thoughts on Danny Santana this year? I'm sure he won't put up 2019 numbers, but how close will he get? His power-speed combo and positional eligibility make me want to value him higher than I'm seeing on rankings...

Paul Sporer

1:57

I definitely have concerns with his 30% K and 5% BB plate skills. I think he'll get some substantial playing time so he'll be a speed component of some note, but I'm seeing more of a 18-20 HR/22-25 SB if he gets 600+ PA

Biggy

1:57

I disagree on your Kris Bryant take. He's been hurt! Do you think he's just done, injury prone, or possible big bounceback?

Paul Sporer

1:58

Disagree on what take exactly? I think he's fine. He already bounced back last year (135 wRC+). He's good, but not a premium fantasy asset.

dbrewster

1:58

How many innings does Stripling get now that he is away from LA? Was he restrictions due to the team or does he have actual health concerns that makes it worth limiting his usage?

Paul Sporer

1:59

Well he's not locked into LAA yet... the Joc/Strip deal would fall through if the Mookie part doesn't get done, but if he does go to LAA, I think he'll get 130-150 IP

Pat

1:59

Can you elaborate on what it means to be a Driveline guy? Thanks.

Paul Sporer

2:00

He works with Driveline baseball, the pitching academy that uses cutting edge data to improve pitchers - https://www.drivelinebaseball.com/

rainmaker

2:00

Do you think we'll be able to tell if the ball is juiced by pre-season results?

Paul Sporer

2:00

No, not really... unfortunately