JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

1:35

I'm still taking him in the first round, but I totally understand moving him down within the 1st as he does seem near-certain to take time off and given how short the season, a week off would be very impactful

Quarantino Martinez

1:37

BASEBALL!!!!!

Paul Sporer

1:37

Yesssssssss

Guest

1:37

Thoughts on Brendan McKay? Mine are that he gets all innings he can handle, so he can contribute in 2021. Also, Yarbrough/Chironis can are proven "openers", so can more easily be slid out of the rotation.

Paul Sporer

1:38

I think the three of them and Trevor Richards are 3-5 inning guys and paired together often

\__O__/

1:39

What are your favorite NL bats that have jumped in value based on DH? Edman?

Paul Sporer

1:41

Here are my guesses at NL DHs from a while back: https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/potential-national-league-dhs/ -- and yes I think the DH boosts Edman and makes him a full-timer player

though I was already on the "Edman will play a lot" train

Lorenzo

1:41

In general, should we put a premium on guys who hit for high average like we do for SB guys? I understand there is no guarantee that a player who hit .300 last season will do it again. But guys like Jeff McNeil, D.J. LeMahieu, and Bryan Reynolds seem way under-ranked.

Paul Sporer

1:42

Do you mean bc it'll be a short season and they might be less prone to the volatility of those samples given then penchant for contact? I agree that they're underrated in general and I've been targeting McNeil & DJLM even before the shortened season bc of their skills & positional flexibility

Matt W.

1:42

Don't think there will be any spring training games. Each MLB team is training in home cities. Travel and exposure would be risky.

Paul Sporer

1:43

That's kinda what I was thinking. Scrimmages only. No sense adding to the other already massive risk with games that don't even count

Quarantino Martinez

1:43

As an AL only player, I wonder what I have to do now that AL west teams are going to visit coors, etc.

Paul Sporer

1:43

There's more work to be done with regards to what you're talking about specifically, but I did put together a breakdown of the SP handedness for each mega division - https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/sp-handedness-breakdown-by-division/

1:44

If you had to set the over/under for # of fantasy roster-worthy players who will opt out of 2020, whats the number?

Paul Sporer

1:44

Opt-outs, I'd say like 6. Guys out bc they get COVID, I'd think there will be 10s of players in that realm as we ramp up

Guest

1:48

That makes sense. Thoughts on Fulmer?

Paul Sporer

1:51

It looks like he could be ready from jump street. I'm always nervous about guys coming back from TJ so I'm not going alllll in this year, but I've always been a fan so I'll be moving up the rankings and keeping a close eye on him

RMR

1:51

Will we be able to glean anything from the 60 man rosters that get announced Sunday? Or is that just going to tell us what we already know (i.e. any prospect in the upper minors is in play, but no one knows when they'll be up)? Like will any team just elect to leave some of those guys off and do something else with them like an instructional league or something?

Paul Sporer

1:52

I imagine there will be some surprising/interesting inclusions so we'll get some useful info

Martin

1:52

Think Yahoo will make it easy to switch scoring (H2H->Roto for example) for leagues that have already drafted?

Paul Sporer

1:53

Ooh I'm not sure, especially with already-drafted leagues. I think outlets will try to be as amenable as possible to their players but it might be hard to change league structure after being drafted

Chap

1:54

In a QS league, any way you'd draft a Pearson/Howard/Gore over Caleb Smith? You have a preferred order of the trio?

Paul Sporer

1:54

No I'm taking Smith unless any of them was someone locked into their team's rotation from day 1 (which is very unlikely). In terms of the trio on their own, I like 'em as Pearson/Gore/Howard

Martin

1:57

Do you see Renato Nunez making any gains or just a 30 dinger .780 OPS type?

Paul Sporer

1:58

I think that's kinda his level but hey there's definitely fantasy viability there. There aren't a ton of lefties in the mega-East for him to beat up on, either

Joe

1:58

With increased bullpen usage and bigger rosters, expect offense to be more at a premium? Would you draft a pitcher in the first two rounds?

Paul Sporer

1:59

I think the aces could be even MORE valuable right now so I'm definitely open to drafting an ace early if it fits with my first couple picks

\__O__/

1:59

Are we buying back on Garrett Hampson?

Paul Sporer

1:59

Yes, I'm dumb and like to continue letting the Rockies disappoint me

Lorenzo

2:02

What do expect out of Vlad Jr. this season? Solid breakout candidate to target, or more patience needed, let someone else take the gamble?

Paul Sporer

2:03

He wasn't the unmitigated superstar we hoped for last year, but he also wasn't bad. I think he builds on it and has a really strong season. I haven't been targeting him bc 3B is super deep, but I'm not averse to paying the price

2:03

Thinking of trading Trea Turner for Bo Bichette and Moncada. Should I hold?

Paul Sporer

2:03

Do that in a second!!! BOTH for Turner??? Damnnnnnnnn

HappyFunBall

2:05

I'd think this is the season for ALL the gambles. Variance will be huge, so playing conservatively probably won't help much

Paul Sporer

2:06

There isn't one set way. You can draft a ton of volatile guys and they hit the low end of their range the first few weeks and you're toast. A team of steady Eddies can absolutely compete. It's going to be a wild season, but I wouldn't push me into taking ONLY volatile guys or anything

Pharx

2:09

This is absolutely the season to make some wild sports bets though. Bet those longshots!

Paul Sporer

2:09

Oh for sure!

2:10

(but manage your bankroll responsibly and don't spend your bill money!)

BBHHI

2:10

Paul, AL-ONLY for 2021: Who are you keeping from this list:

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