JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

2:44

I think the market has downgraded him enough and I'll take that discount as opposed to pushing him down any further. It could go south as he's more at risk, but I'm not going to overvalue that risk in relation to others in the face of him being here and ramping up nicely thus far

Big Tuna

2:44

Any SP rise or fall for you because of schedule? Reds (easiest in the league)? Angels (toughest)? Etc

Paul Sporer

2:45

Favoring the central, particularly the strong-to-solid teams in the mega-central (so all but PIT, KC, DET)

But I won't go toooo far and ignore good SPs in the East, for example

Dominikk85

2:45

Many say a WS this year would come with an asterisk. Doesn't that depend a bit on the team?

Paul Sporer

2:46

Nah, I don't think it matters. It's a 60-game season, it has to come with an asterisk noting that it was 60 games. Still counts, but it's unquestionably different

RMR

2:47

What do you think of Senzel's stock right now in dynasty formats? I feel like the industry has soured on him pretty quickly and there's still a lot to like there.

Paul Sporer

2:48

Agreed that things have soured which creates a buying opportunity. I understand the frustrations with his health thus far, but this is still a mega talented bat and I'm open to buying, especially in dynasty leagues

John

2:48

What do you think Wander Franco's draft value will be next year if he does not play at all this season? I have the opportunity to stash him on my bench this year and get him as a $2 keeper next year and $3 the following year in a 12 team H2H league

Paul Sporer

2:49

Even if he doesn't play this year, I could see him being a $5-7 player next year on the hype so I can see stashing him if it fits your team

RMR

2:49

How much should we downgrade arms on these teams that are saying their starters will only throw 3-4 innings the first couple times through the rotation? I really liked guys like Fried and Paxton, but I can definitely see both limited on innings the first couple times through with what's being said.

Paul Sporer

2:50

I could see making it a tiebreaker but it seems like it could be a widespread issue so I'm not plummeting these types down the rankings

Dominikk85

2:51

If it was the astros or dodgers the RS would have been a glorified warm up anyway

Paul Sporer

2:52

Ya but if the Dodgers win it, you know people will clown them for not being able to win it in a full season (though there's no much logic there because it's not like they don't make the playoffs in full seasons). Bottom line, though, this is just SUCH a different season that there's no way we could pretend a title this year is the same as a normal, non-pandemic year

Nuke LaLoosh

2:52

Ottoneu H2H Points - Harper ($47)/Correa ($33)/Kela ($7) or Keller ($15)/Adell ($3)/Lux ($3). Money involved balances the transaction. Which side you got in Keeper?

Paul Sporer

2:53

That feels like a contend-now v. build-for-future trade so I think that's the decider for me depending on where you're at in the win curve. It's definitely fair, IMO

RMR

2:53

I'm assuming a positive COVID test is a much bigger deal for arms at this point than bats since this is directly going to effect their ability to quickly build up their innings?

Paul Sporer

2:55

Ya I'd agree that it's a bigger deal for arms with symptomatic positives. You can follow things on this spreadsheet made by Jon Becker: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WA37lkF6DNpjw_t_e_Sq08RyBYiTSK...

RMR

2:56

Does Kendrick get anything resembling full-time PT this year with Zimmerman opting out? Love the bat and positional eligibility, but unsure if he'll get enough PAs.

Paul Sporer

2:57

Yes I think he's damn-near a full-timer now with the DH and his ability to bounce around the diamond. Sign me up! Dude is just a badass hitter

Guest

2:57

Rank and tier these back back ends starters

Paul Sporer

2:58

https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/top-100-sp-for-a-60-game-season/

Martin

2:58

would you grade my offense in the chat or is that lame?

Paul Sporer

2:58

I can do it. Make sure you include league settings (teams, roto/h2h, etc...)

RMR

2:59

How quickly does Braun get 1B eligibility this year (if at all)?

Paul Sporer

3:00

Needing 5 games? I'd think probably the first month. I imagine he'll primarily play DH

Big Tuna

3:00

What are you doing with hitters who have already tested positive like Kingery?

Paul Sporer

3:01

I'm focusing on whether or not they're symptomatic or not. If not, I'm not really moving them. Otherwise, I gotta bounce 'em down a couple rounds

Bilbo

3:01

If you have $5 to fill a UT position, do you go Ryan Braun or Nick Solak?

Paul Sporer

3:01

I'm a sucker for Solak, buuuuuttt his best case is likely to put up something akin to what Braun's already BEEN doing so I gotta go for Brauny

Martin

3:02

16 team 6x6 (OPS) roto

C - Jansen
1B - Bell
2B - Mous
3B - Suarez
SS - Manny
OF- Yelich
OF - Pham
OF - Braun
Util - J Turner
Util - Hoskins
BN - Ces

Paul Sporer

3:03

For 16 teams, that's really nice! Balanced across the positions. Light on speed, but that's where I'm OK being light if I have to have a weakness heading into the season. This group will rake

Big Tuna

3:04

Are there any categories that you prioritize more in drafts than you would have in a full season?

Paul Sporer

3:07

Not one of the standard 5x5, but rather PA. Playing time is a focus for me even more so than normal as I'm open to taking someone without a starting job at the beginning of a normal season because of his skills profile figuring that the cream will rise to the top. In this season, I'm trying to gain an edge via volume and think it's more possible than in a standard 162

RMR

3:10

How would you value injured arms like Sale, Severino and Syndergaard in dynasty formats at this point? With such a short season, holding those guys on the IL becomes a lot easier. Trying to figure out how to rank them going forward. I feel like Severino's health is the scariest at this point given he had multiple issues and not just the elbow, but I guess it could be a total coin flip depending on who comes out of surgery best,

Paul Sporer

3:10

Ya I think going forward, I've got them Sale, Thor, Sevvy

Bilbo

3:11

You have Carlos Carrasco and Rich Hill ranked lower than I expected. What is the reasoning behind those ranks? Thanks!

Paul Sporer

3:11

Carrasco was because his status was uncertain when I made those and Hill's health profile still makes him a risk, even in a 60-game season. In fact, if he misses a few starts in a season like this, it's even more damaging

Duchess

3:11

How we feeling about Aaron Judge? Last window to sell at something close to his normal value?

Paul Sporer

3:12

Love the talent, but I'm not sure I see him all of sudden finding health and putting up a buncha full seasons. He's already 28, too, so yeah I'd say the window is closing to get big returns for him

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