JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

1:40

Gooooood afternoon, y'all!

Hooha

1:41

Am I crazy for thinking Trent Grisham should be a top 35 player in OBP leagues for 2021?

Paul Sporer

1:43

I can't get behind that, especially as top 35 overall, though even top 35 hitter is tough for someone who we can't quiiiite trust vL just yet. I like Grisham as a power-speed combo, but not as much as you

Pete A

1:44

Paul I can seem to find the Ariel Cohen Beat the Shift podcast on iTunes. Where can I find it?

Paul Sporer

1:45

It might not be on iTunes yet, you can ask Ariel directly on their Twitter acct for the show https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/beat-the-shift-podcast-teaser/

stonecold

1:45

I feel like you've said you have DeGrom as your 1.01, is that still true for you?

Paul Sporer

1:45

I'm OPEN to taking him 1.1, but he's not my universal choice. I'm still leaning hitter more often than not, but if I get #1 pick in multiple drafts, deGrom will be one of my picks

Jim Leyland Palmer

1:45

As a Tiger fan, what the H do you think is going on with them this offseason? Is it as simple as just being cheap? We already had a really low payroll last year AND now have $31 mil shaved off after Zim and Fielder contracts expired last year.

Paul Sporer

1:46

They should be smart about where they spend, but also players have to be interested in Detroit, too. Sure, Dahl for $3 mil is a great deal and they should've been in on that, but if preferred Texas to Detroit, not much they can do

stonecold

1:46

What are you doing with Evan White this season?

Paul Sporer

1:48

Slotting him into CI or UT on some squads. His price is so cheap and I'm not convinced that he's trash based on the poor debut. I think he's a good buyback with the price tanking

Jon

1:48

Hey Paul - I'm in a 8 keeper 12tm $260 roto league. Need to pick two of these four, which would you go with and why? Grisham $5, Judge $28, Torres $18, Vlad $18. Thanks in advance.

Paul Sporer

1:49

Grisham and Torres for me. Vlad is the easy elimination. I'm not fully out on him becoming a star, but I just can't justify that price given the others available. Judge at $10 more than Gleyber makes him tough to choose w/his stark injury issues.

Bob Villar

1:49

Jose Berrios for Matt Olson in a dynasty seem about right?

Paul Sporer

1:49

Yeah, I don't have any issues w/that. I'm going for Olson between the two, but if needs align, it's perfectly fine

Eric

1:49

Are you worried about Corbin's down year? Think he can get back to being a top 15 SP?

Paul Sporer

1:51

I think he can rebound, maybe not back that high, but I'm reluctant to fully jump out. Alex Fast has swayed me to keep an eye on him and consider the discount

@_mattywood_ @RobSilver You’re out? @AlexFast8 has me leaning toward busted season that can be ironed out with some normalcy

Curtis

1:51

How likely do you think a top FA or high profile trade is in the cards for the Dodgers? If so, who?

Paul Sporer

1:52

Remarkably high. They're always involved. Identifying what actually happens is damn near impossible, but they'll be making moves and tooling up for a defense of their title

Billy Bathhouse

1:52

I need Muncy to play 10 at 2B to regain eligibility. Think he makes it?

Paul Sporer

1:53

Need to see how their offseason goes before saying yes with any confidence. There's a pretty solid chance tbh

Billy Bathhouse

1:55

What do you expect from Syndergaard this season?

Paul Sporer

1:57

I could see some 2H usefulness, but I'm not drafting him at all. I don't mess w/TJ returners as a general rule except in situations where they are coming back after 14-15 (or more) months off, but the standard year-plus means they'll be working through it in real time and I'm not interested in that volatility

Duchess

1:58

Think Shed Long shows us anything this year or nah?

Paul Sporer

2:03

I could see a 20 HR/15 SB season if he performs well enough to maintain a starting role. He was pretty sold in '19 and wretched in '20, both small samples.

Curtis

2:05

Will defense ever be a part of a 5x5(x1?) scoring league? If so, has the metric been invented yet?

Paul Sporer

2:06

I know some leagues try to incorporate it, but I'm not sure it'll become the standard any time soon. Not sure there's one category that is conducive to fantasy

Bob Villar

2:06

Will Dom Smith continue the trends from last season and be a top 1B option?

Paul Sporer

2:13

I think so, yes. I really like him for the Mets. I still think NL DH gets done, but even if not, they gotta play him in LF and make sure that bat is in the lineup

Anonymous

2:13

is *this* the year to jump ship on Zack Greinke? getting kind of silly now

Paul Sporer

2:14

I understand that everyone is nervous to be left holding the bag, but I really don't see reasons for major concern. Plus, even if he doesn't fully rebound, I don't think he's dropping a full season of a 5.00+ ERA on us. I feel like maybe a 4.50ish ERA w/a still solid WHIP would be the healthy downside.

Jim Leyland Palmer

2:14

I'm looking into acquiring a top-end arm this winter. The most gettable in my league seems to be Gerrit Cole. What's your general outlook for him for the next, say, 3 years? Any extra reason for concern with him compared to his peers at the top of the pitching heap?

Paul Sporer

2:15

I can't find anything to suggest he won't be in prime contention as the game's best SP for the coming seasons

Daulton

2:15

Do you think Daulton Varsho will be good enough to start at OF or should he only be a catcher this year (for fantasy)

Paul Sporer

2:16

Oh he can definitely hold his own in the OF. In fact, this could be his last C-eligible year so enjoy it while you can. That said, he's got the bat and speed to be a legit fantasy OFer, too. I'm pretty high on him, though the market seems to be, too, so you gotta be confident to invest

Kate

2:16

Maybe it's just me, but it feels like people are automatically trashing Nate Lowe just because he was traded away by the Rays as if everyone they let go is terrible. That seems like a lazy analysis, no? I am kind of concerned by some of what I read from Eric, but to just assume the Rays traded so he must suck seems silly.

Paul Sporer

2:20

It's definitely lazy to assume oh TB traded him, he's trash. Jake Cronenworth begs to differ. In fact that trade was a disaster for TB last yr, though Xavier Edwards can definitely make it better in the coming seasons.

Pablo

2:21

Keep 4 in OBP (hitting) league: K. Lewis, Hoskins, Didi, Arozarena, K. Jansen, Blackmon, J. Urias (LAD), Corbin.

Paul Sporer

2:23

Hoskins, Lewis, Arozarena, and Blackmon. Urias is close, too, I really like him

Kate

2:25

Which of Brinson or Monte Harrison would you be more interested in taking a flier on at this point?

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