JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

2:03

OK sorry about that, had some technical issues, think we're good to go

Greg

2:07

What do you think about Dustin May this year? Is he locked into a rotation spot?

Paul Sporer

2:10

He's got one right now, but normal Dodger shenanigans plus the short 2-mo. season tells me he won't necessarily get 30+ starts. I'd tab him closer to 23-25.

Ryan

2:10

Are you on the Zac Plesac hype train?

Paul Sporer

2:11

I feel pretty good about him. I wrote some things about him here: https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/2020-fastball-usage-decliners/ I'm not sure I'm going top 20 all the time, but I'm not too far off

Nick Burkett

2:11

I love all the SP's the Marlins are rolling out, tell me I'm crazy.

Paul Sporer

2:12

You're not, but I just worry about the rising ADPs on guys like Lopez, Sixto, and Alcantara, but I believe in the whole trio tbh

2:12

Who are the best

Paul Sporer

2:12

We are!

Henry

2:12

Bauer to the Dodgers pushes who out of their rotation?

Paul Sporer

2:12

The aforementioned May

AJ Deer

2:12

When are ATC projections going to be posted ???????

Paul Sporer

2:12

Not sure, tbh. Would have to ask Ariel on that

2:13

I just got word that they'll actually be going in tonight!

Donald

2:20

More likely to eclipse 450 ABs and 15 HRs: Yandy or Benintendi?

Paul Sporer

2:20

Beni!

2:21

I put the ! but I'm not that geeked about him tbh

2:26

Alright my sincere apologies, I had a deluge of things at once but y'all have my attention now

Guest

2:26

Thoughts on Rhys Hoskins in 2021? He was solid before getting hurt last year. How would you rank him against say.. Rizzo and Goldy?

Paul Sporer

2:32

Yeah he still had a strong 139 wRC+ so healthy Hoskins still rakes. I think I'd favor him over the other 2 because they're more expensive while I see the trio as quite close. Rizzo & Goldy ADP'ing in the top 100 while Hoskins is in the 170s. Gimme the discount.

Steve

2:32

You think Kyle Tucker is for real? Some scouts hated his swing, but ZiPS and Steamer seem to like him...

Paul Sporer

2:33

I love Tucker. I think he's a power-speed stud with 25/25 potential in a full season. He'll have that full season opportunity this year and I'm excited for it

Tim

2:33

Best center fielder free agent

Paul Sporer

2:34

I'd say JBJ. Elite defense and an inconsistent bat, but we've seen flourishes multiple times

AGN

2:34

When the Brantley deal is official, which OF (or OFs) are the Jays trading?

Paul Sporer

2:36

Impossible to say. Gurriel and Teoscar have more value than Grichuk on the market, IMO.

Kelder23

2:36

Am I the only one worried about Darvish? Sooooo inconsistent in his career, and injuries, and 34....

Paul Sporer

2:39

You're probably not the only one, but I think your reasoning is flawed. He's definitely not sooooo inconsistent. In fact, his injury riddled 2018 was the only thing close to a bad season and this new efficient approach that started in the 2019 2H has him pitching his best ball ever. Yes he's older and has a history of injuries, but the health risk is inherent in pitching so it's really about the age. As a multi-leaguer, I tend to look at players in terms of shares of them and while I wouldn't stock up on Darvish, I'm certainly open to making him my ace in a league or two.

Kelder23

2:39

I am way down on Pete Alonso. I don't think he's as good as Dom Smith and they play the same position. He's not in my top 100 and I'm worried he's Chris Davis. Am I wrong?

Paul Sporer

2:41

The Chris Davis comp doesn't really hold up, but I'm totally fine being worried about him and I loooove Dom Smith. My primary issue w/Alonso is his price. I just can't be convinced to pay it given the aforementioned Hoskins going 100 picks later or even guys like Muncy, Olson, Rizzo, and Goldy going 30-40 picks later. Just no chance he's on my teams.

Alan

2:41

Will Kirk displace Jansen as the Jays' primary catcher? Thanks!

Paul Sporer

2:41

Only if they trade Jansen with an OF for some pitching.

Lebron James

2:41

What would you project for my batting avg if I played in mlb

Paul Sporer

2:42

Like just starting today w/no experience? Probably .150, which would actually be kind of impressive at his age outta nowhere

Jasper

2:42

Have your expectations for Musgrove increased after moving to an organization that appears to be a more competent in terms of pitching development?

Paul Sporer

2:43

I was already quite in on him and the new Pittsburgh regime had me more confident that Searage & Co. so I'd have still loved him w/PIT. I am more excited about him in SD, but the price is sooooaaarrriiinngggg

Yoan

2:44

Is this the year I really breakout or am I just OK at baseball?

Paul Sporer

2:45

Why wasn't 2019 a real breakout? He had COVID and explained that it really stayed w/him even after he returned which helps explain his 2020. There was going to be regression regardless, particularly with his BABIP, but I believe in him as a stud

Michael Brantley

2:45

Am i in toronto or not?

Paul Sporer

2:45

Not yet

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