JotCast | PHR Live Chat: 6/19/24

PHR Live Chat: 6/19/24

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Josh Erickson

1:58

Um, there's nothing else going on, so let's get started...

1:59

This Dubois/WSH deal coming over the wire involves Kuemper heading to the Kings, just tossing that here. Multiple reports out there.

Looks like it's one for one, too.

2:00

Well... let's get started with the queue

What a morning, lol

Rick

2:00

Would Buffalo Sabres trade 2024 1st round pick and Jeff Skinner (50% retained) for Kevin Hayes of the St. Louis Blues? Off course all players must ok the trade.

Josh Erickson

2:01

Can't see Skinner waiving his NMC for a team that's not a playoff lock. I also think Buffalo wouldn't need to attach a first to get a deal done if Hayes is going the other way... Skinner is a massive upgrade over Hayes for not that much more cap hit if there's 50% retention

2:02

But regardless, all things are pointing toward a buyout there. I think that's what Skinner would prefer, anyways. Gives him more control over where he ends up.

Scott

2:02

Favorite for next Bluejackets Coach? Should there be a complete housecleaning? Thanks for doing this.

Josh Erickson

2:03

No insider info, gut tells me McLellan. Sure, not the most playoff success, but he does have a good track record of developing young cores in SJ and EDM.

2:04

I'd like to see Woodcroft there, too. Did some good work in Edmonton, just let down by goaltending to start the year.

Who's Fabio?

2:04

Hey Josh - this is still very fresh but I already have doubts about Jacob Markström and age related decline of goalies. How long do you think he plays at an elite level? Should the Devils have tried for a younger goalie?

LGD

2:04

Grade on the Markström trade?

Inferno

2:04

Thoughts on the Markström trade?

Phil

2:04

does the flames return for markstrom feel light given the salary retention? Or is this close to expected?

SpeakOfTheDevils

2:05

Thoughts on the Markstrom trade?

Josh Erickson

2:05

Let's get all of these out of the way, haha.

I've had the whole morning to deliberate. I think it's mostly fair.

Initial reaction was it wasn't enough for Calgary to get via return. But... he's 34, only two years left, had a full NMC (and obviously wanted to go to New Jersey), and has been quite up and down since signing his deal.

2:06

I mean, it's a massive upgrade over what they have. He was a top-10 goalie in the league this season, IMO, and he's finished top five in Vezina voting twice.

2:07

But I wouldn't call him elite. I'd put him in my Tier 3 of goalies – ones who've displayed the ability to make 50+ appearances consistently and largely have above-average performances to supplement it.

So yes, NJ did great work keeping 10th overall and not giving up a top prospect – especially with salary retained the other way. But I do also think it's not a massive blunder by Calgary to not get anything more than what they did. I'd call it fair.

2:08

Markstrom probably had the lowest trade value out of the big three (he, Saros, Ullmark)

Again, he's 34 and battled injuries last year.

2:09

But he'll be behind a good possession team in Jersey, and a healthy Hamilton will do wonders for that team. I think it works out. I won't bet on him being in the Vezina convo next year, but he should be better than what Vanecek gave them in 22-23

mike123

2:09

Will cole perfetti get traded? Is hesterkin better then hellebuyck as he's wanting like 2 million a year?

Josh Erickson

2:10

A couple of months ago, I would've said yes to your first question. Now, with Ehlers seemingly on his way out, I'm not so sure. I think dealing Perfetti away is incredibly unwise for a team losing Toffoli and maybe Monahan, too.

2:11

And no, I wouldn't have Shesterkin in a class above Hellebuyck. Better playoff performer, maybe, but that really doesn't factor into contracts as much as we think – nor should it if the cap doesn't count in the playoffs!

2:12

But I'd still expect Shesterkin's deal to come across in the low $9MM range. That would be a similar cap percentage to what Hellebuyck signed for.

rob

2:12

What's the best way for the Wild to address their top 6 forward situation, with their limited cap? Free agency, trade, or hope someone in their system rises up to help with the scoring after the top line.

Josh Erickson

2:13

Right now, their cap situation isn't as bad as it was last year. They still have $6.25MM in space with a roster size of 19. That's four spots to fill, but two of them should be league min or close to it.

2:15

Realistically, I think if you're going after someone in UFA, you can stomach a cap hit of around $4MM at the high end. I wonder about a Jason Zucker reunion.

Although I think the most impactful player they can add for that price would be Viktor Arvidsson.

rob

2:15

Marco Rossi for Trevor Zegras? Who has to add to this trade? Or which team says no?

Marco Rossi for Martin Necas? Who has to add to this trade? Or which team says no?

Josh Erickson

2:16

And much like Perfetti, I don't see the use of trading Rossi this summer. If he continues to develop as he is, he's a top-six center giving you ~60 points in the final year of his ELC. Why would the Wild even entertain moving a cost-effective point producer in their current situation? It makes no sense to me.

2:17

If he pops off and you can't afford him, trade him in 2025. If he regresses in his development, trade him in 2025. I don't think his value would be much different.

rob

2:17

Of the top 12-15 players in the draft, who's left for the Wild to pick at 13. One of the top 6 defenseman? Or will they go forward, if the top 6 dmen are gone?

Josh Erickson

2:19

Yeah, their pool is beginning to thin out. I still think forward is a need, but yeah, I'm not sure I see any of that top 6 D group slipping past 13. Yakemchuk, who I think is most likely to fall a bit, would look great in that system.

2:20

In terms of forwards, my eye would be on Cole Eiserman if he slips. That team needs another sniper, and at 13, his upside warrants the selection even with the implied risk of his one-dimensional game.

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