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RosterResource Chat - 11/29/24
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AvatarJason Martinez
2:48
As I mentioned a few questions ago, Jon and I both predicted NYM in last week's chat. But, realistically, why would he sign with any team other than the Dodgers, Mets, or Yankees? Phillies probably belong in that group, as well. He's going to sign a 15-year deal and he knows that those teams are going to try to win every year. Red Sox could convince him that they will do the same. Maybe the Blue Jays. Could the Nats convince him that they plan to spend $ and be competitive for the next 15 years? Maybe. But he's Juan Soto. He doesn't have to go with "maybe". He knows the Dodgers, Mets, and Yankees are going to spend every offseason to build around him.
AvatarJon Becker
2:49
That's a big part of why I don't think the Blue Jays have much of a shot unless they blow all the other offers out of the water, which I don't think is going to happen, either. The selling point is... the last year of Vlad Jr. and a potentially-closing window without much in the way of prospects on the way?
Coach73
2:49
Could You speculate on the teams that could use Gleyber torres?
AvatarJon Becker
2:50
I think there'll be pretty widespread interest in him as a bounce back option, even though he's limited to 2B and isn't particularly good at playing there, either. I mentioned the Mariners earlier but the Red Sox also make a lot of sense, and the Blue Jays are reportedly interested, too. Maybe someone like the Marlins jumps in for a one-year offer if the multi-year contract offers aren't looking great.
Blair
2:50
What SP will the Mets try to acquire via trade? Is Luis Castillo a realistic option?
AvatarJason Martinez
2:53
The Mariners are one of the few teams that can afford to trade one of their best starting pitchers so I think it's realistic. But, even then, starting rotation is the reason they're a legitimate contender every season so maybe they just don't want to subtract from that. One potential very interesting trade option, in my opinion, could be Dylan Cease if the Padres are handcuffed financially this offseason. The price for starting pitchers is crazy high and Cease would be affordable at around $13-14MM for one season.
AvatarJon Becker
2:54
I neglected to mention Cease earlier when I said they don't have a Soto-level contract/player to trade, and Cease certainly isn't that, but he would bring back quite the return. They could then turn around and sign a decent starter for half as much. Martín Pérez pitched well there after the trade, for example.
Matt
2:54
Which of Cubs ready or near-ready prospects deserve a legit shot this year?
AvatarJon Becker
2:56
Assuming health I think we'll see Matt Shaw at some point this year, maybe early on Hoerner has a setback or the offense isn't clicking. Ballesteros is another one who could get the call if Amaya/Thaiss are the two catchers and aren't hitting. On the pitching side, a healthy Cade Horton probably debuts at some point, too.
Ben
2:57
I’ve wondered this for so long but how are the power rankings measured on RR? I could never find an accurate correlation with WAR so I never knew.
AvatarJason Martinez
2:59
For batters, it's probably closer to wRC+ because there is no defense included in the formula. And then the challenging part is to balance out counting stats and rate stats so small-sample size doesn't get weighted too heavily. When I created it a long time ago, the goal was so that a reader could just get a general idea of whether a player was having a good season (overall or last 7/14 days) or not and then research further if necessary. I think it works well for that.
Eric
3:00
If the Mets sign Juan Soto, do you expect them to match their 2024 payroll in 2025 by continually adding?
AvatarJon Becker
3:01
Even if you figure Soto's at $50M/year, spending another ~$125M on top of that feels really, really hard, but not impossible. Going aggressive on the rotation (Burnes + Manaea + Flaherty, or something like that) is still only $75M or so.
Coach73
3:01
Do you see jonathan aranda making an impact this year?
AvatarJason Martinez
3:03
Yes, I do. This is his make-or-break season, in my opinion. He's out of options and the Rays haven't really given him much of an opportunity. And injuries haven't helped. As of now, I have him penciled in to the starting lineup ... https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/depth-charts/rays

I would love for the Padres to acquire him, which is possible if the Rays don't really believe in him as an everyday guy. Of course, I think the Padres are obligated to have a few players from Tijuana on their roster. Tirso Ornelas, Alejandro Kirk, and Aranda would fit that goal for me.
3:05
Gonna wrap it up now. We'll be back for another chat next Friday at the same time. Have a great weekend!
AvatarJon Becker
3:05
Thanks for stopping by, everyone!
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