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RosterResource Chat - 2/12/26
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AvatarJon Becker
2:59
Not directly, but you can glean a lot from our positional depth charts, which for SP include 10+ names for most teams. People are understandably going to read a lot into who's projected for (and who ends up making) the Opening Day roster but there's often not some massive gap in projected SP5 and SP6 innings.
A Boy Named Yu
3:00
If the Cubs sign Gallen, who gets bumped from the current projected rotation?  Or do they roll with a 6-man?  Or is the answer, as usual, "these things tend to work themselves out"?
AvatarJason Martinez
3:04
They do tend to work themselves out. Unfortunately, that ends up being due to injury. But if no injuries occur and none of their 6 starters needs to ramp up slowly and begin the season on the IL for any reason, it might be Cade Horton who starts the season in AAA.

That would suck but I'm sure the conversation is that they need him completely available in October and they'll be able to limit his innings early in the season while he's in AAA. It's understandable.
millville meltdown
3:04
do you think soderstrom sticks in lf? what happens if he doesn't?
AvatarJon Becker
3:05
Yeah, absolutely. He graded out really well there and even if he falls back to below-average, he can really hit, and they've got nowhere else to play him anyway.
Yakety Sox
3:06
Do you have a sense of how the Royals will use Garcia going forward? Trying to figure out what kind of position flexibility I should anticipate in the next couple of years. Thanks as always!
AvatarJason Martinez
3:09
Not really. He's a Gold Glove 3B and they don't really have other 3B on the roster. Adding Lane Thomas and Isaac Collins make it less likely that he's needed for CF coverage. If Witt goes on the IL for any reason, maybe he plays SS.
A Boy Named Yu
3:10
I'm pretty sure this is Kevin Alcantara's last option year.  At this point, the Cubs still don't really know what they've got with him.  IYO, is it better to play him everyday at AAA to maximize development, or carry him on the big team's bench and get him exposure to MLB pitching?
AvatarJon Becker
3:11
I think by bringing McCormick and Carlson in on MiLB deals, they're showing (to me at least) that they'd rather he play every day in AAA than be on the MLB bench, though it's not like he's completely closed off from being the backup OF. But I agree that he'll be at something at a crossroads once he's out of options.
Ramblin Rod
3:12
Castellanos feels like an Athletic. Dirt cheap, formerly successful.
AvatarJason Martinez
3:14
Not really any at-bats available at corner OF/DH on that roster between Butler/Soderstrom/Rooker. And remember that he's the same amount of dirt cheap to every team. It's going to be a minimum salary so $ won't have anything to do with it. All that matters is roster fit. Dbacks, Rockies, Padres seem most likely.
M&M
3:15
Who ends the year with more innings, Messick or Melton?
AvatarJon Becker
3:15
I'm leaning Messick. Despite not being in the projected rotation he has a really good chance of making it (i.e., he's pretty clearly their SP6), whereas Melton is definitely out of the rotation to start the year assuming everyone's healthy, and he might have to leapfrog Drew Anderson as the next man up, too.
Sid the Astros Kid
3:17
I was wondering if you could breakdown why Tatsuya Imai is projected as the SP3 for the Astros in RosterResource when he seems to have better projections than the SP2 Javier? I guess I assumed in that case the Astros would want to have Imai as the SP2 and Javier as the SP3.
AvatarJason Martinez
3:20
In this case, I went with Javier as SP2 because he pitched like an ace in 2022 and then was rewarded with a contract extension. As happens with most pitchers, he's been off the radar for a while because of elbow surgery but important that he did establish himself prior to that. And he should be good to go for a full season.

Imai does have the big contract but no track record, which is why I listed him after Javier. He could very well be the better pitcher but that's TBD.
Booble miles
3:21
Who is the odd on favorite for Halo's CL l, percentage-wise: Yates, Stephenson, Romano, Hoyce
AvatarJon Becker
3:22
Joyce actually might not be too far behind in camp, like I wouldn't be surprised to see him back in May. So if I'm ordering most to fewest saves this year I'll say Joyce-Stephenson-Yates-Romano? Honestly though you could order them however and I wouldn't quibble with it too much.
Kevin
3:23
So what is Kevin McGonigle going to do this year?
AvatarJason Martinez
3:26
Most of the projection systems have him somewhere between .735-.775 OPS, 111-115 wRC+, and around 300-400 PA. Pretty darn good for a rookie. And projection systems are usually going to be conservative with rookies since a majority do struggle in the big leagues within their first few seasons. He'd be my pick to exceed his projections, though. I'd go with an .800 OPS and 500 PA, 15 HR, 30 2B.
3:28
That will do it for today. Thank you for stopping by. We'll be back next Thursday. Have a great rest of the week!
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