JotCast | Trade Rumors Front Office Chat

Trade Rumors Front Office Chat

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Anthony Franco

2:32

Yankees, Red Sox, Phillies, Mets, Cardinals, Giants, Dodgers, Astros, Twins, Mariners all make sense to me. Oakland shouldn't have any issue finding suitors for those guys

Jays fan

2:33

over/under $50mil AAV to resign Semien and Ray?

Anthony Franco

2:35

I'll go under, unless one takes a shorter than expected deal to maximize AAV. I think it's closer to $45MM per year between the two if they both land five years

pawpaw

2:35

What's the hold up on a Freddie Freeman deal?

Anthony Franco

2:35

Just money, it seems like

https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2021/09/braves-rumors-freddie-freeman-e...

2:36

I think they'll get it done eventually, with the team narrowly topping the Goldschmidt deal

Nomar was better than Jeter

2:36

Do the Red Sox try to extend Boegarts this offseason before he exercises an opt-out end of 2022? What would it look like? 8 yrs/$25 AAV?

Anthony Franco

2:39

I'd go over on that. If he were a free agent, I think Bogaerts would be looking at Rendon money (7/$245MM)

RayOrCole

2:39

Who is winning the 2021 AL Cy Young award?

Anthony Franco

2:40

The last few weeks still matter because it's neck and neck, but right now I'd give it to Ray

2021>2020

2:41

See anything obviously wrong with Keibert Ruiz? He seems overmatched so far. But looks jumpy too, maybe anxious to make his mark.

Anthony Franco

2:41

Completely unconcerned. It's only been eight games

2:42

He's chased a lot and you might be right that he's pressing a little to make a strong initial impression, but he'll figure it out

Guest

2:42

Who do you think will have the better career? Croneworth or India

Anthony Franco

2:43

Man, good question

2:44

My first instinct was Cronenworth and I'll stick with that because he's got better bat-to-ball skills and more defensive value

But they're both really good, and my confidence level in Cronenworth > India is like 55-45

Ross Atkins

2:44

I think I need another weekly poll on my biggest priority this off-season, Robbie Ray or Marcus Semien?

Anthony Franco

2:45

There's not enough people in the FO chats to conduct polls unfortunately. Going to have ask Mark again on Sunday haha

I think I've answered this before, but I'd rather bet on Semien given the more consistent track record personally

Crash

2:45

With the jays catching prospects, and the marlins young pitching depth, what could a possible trade look like?

Anthony Franco

2:46

I feel like the Jays would be more willing to trade Kirk than Moreno. (No inside info there, but teams really don't like trading top ten caliber prospects).

2:47

I wonder if something around Kirk and Pablo López would work. López has missed the past month with a shoulder issue, but he's rehabbing now and hoping to make it back for a start or two this season

2:48

If he does and he looks like he's at peak form, then we're talking about three arbitration years of a guy with a 3.24 ERA/3.16 FIP over the past two seasons

2:50

It's borderline ace-level production, but with basically average swing-and-miss numbers and velocity

2021>2020

2:50

What would Pete Alonso get on the FA market this offseason if were available?

Anthony Franco

2:52

I'll assume he stays 26 years old in this scenario. 7/$140MM?

Guest

2:52

Do you think Jose Ramirez gets traded this off-season? If so, where are you thinking?

Anthony Franco

2:54

I probably would trade him this offseason, but I'm less sure they actually do

Twenty-plus teams would be if they made him available, but the Rays and Mariners stand out as teams with loaded farm systems who are already contending

Nathan

2:55

If Rizzo and Freeman re-sign with the Yankees and Braves then who would be most eager to acquire Matt Olson?

Anthony Franco

2:57

Red Sox, Giants if they don't re-sign Belt, maybe even Detroit if they believe Spencer Torkelson can stick at third for two years

2021>2020

2:58

Could you envision a Juan Soto extension happening this offseason? If it were to happen, what would he get? I'm thinking 14 years at 450M with a player opt out after 5 years and 7 years

Anthony Franco

3:00

It'd be the largest guarantee ever, and I think your general framework feels about right

Captain Dunsel

3:00

Considering the Trevor Bauer and Marcel Ozuna cases as prime examples, shouldn't teams with players on MLB ordered administrative leave be allowed to deduct their salaries from their luxury tax liability? I understand why the players are paid until an actual suspension is levied, but it does seem unfair to the teams who have to replace them and are charged for both players' salaries. Do you think this issue will be addressed in the next CBA? Thanks.

Anthony Franco

3:01

I don't see much downside to striking a player's CBT number from the ledger while they're on paid administrative leave, so I could see this being changed sure

3:02

I'm also not sure it's a frequent enough occurrence to move the needle in talks though. The luxury tax is only relevant for about half or a third of teams in the league to begin with, and it's an extremely small percentage of players around the league who wind up under that kind of investigation

Whose was worse

3:03

Who.had the worse rookie year as a big time prospect Steve Avery in 1990 or Kelenic this year

Anthony Franco

3:03

Oddly specific question, haha. Kelenic's year is worse

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