JotCast | Trade Rumors Front Office Chat

Trade Rumors Front Office Chat

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Connor Byrne

2:42

granted, they'd also have to get someone with more certainty for the top of their rotation (Bauer, Stroman, Gausman)

Tim Dierkes

2:42

We talked about DJ there, but he'd have to lock in at 3B for four years. I'm not sure that's what you want.

Steve Adams

2:42

I think two lost years of injury, his age and the revenue losses will drop Kluber's earning power even on a one-year deal. $10MM doesn't seem nuts, but I wouldn't be surprise if it was lower than that with incentives up into the $12-15MM range (or higher)

Dodger Dog

2:43

Is someone gonna give Joc Pederson way more than most people expect?

Steve Adams

2:43

On Atkins/Jays: Springer.

Tim Dierkes

2:43

I think Steve thinks that's possible.

Connor Byrne

2:43

I like Joc

I think 2/16 or more is reasonable

Steve Adams

2:43

Yeah, I think someone could get stupid and give him three years or something, but a platoon corner guy coming off a brutal year is a tough profile to sell in this market.

Bds

2:43

Who will be the biggest overpay this year?

Tim Dierkes

2:44

For me it's Realmuto.

Steve Adams

2:44

LeMahieu?

Connor Byrne

2:44

could very well be Gausman, whom the Braves cut just a year ago

Tim Dierkes

2:44

That's a good one. Maybe better than JT

Steve Adams

2:44

DJLM leads MLB with opposite field HR since he moved to Yankee Stadium.

By a lot

That Baseball Fan

2:45

Will the Cubs bite on the option on Jon Lester or let him walk?

Steve Adams

2:45

And as Jeff Todd pointed out to us yesterday, his 360-ft average HR distance is..... not good.

Walk

Connor Byrne

2:45

Lester's a goner, option-wise

Tim Dierkes

2:45

I expect Lester to leave, but I suppose the Cubs could throw him a few million bucks in the spring if both sides are desperate.

Steve Adams

2:45

No way they're bringing him back at $25MM -- even with the $10MM buyout.

If they want Lester back they could probably guarantee him like $4MM.

Mr Roctober

2:45

How much did Taijuan Walker do to improve his prospects this year?

Tim Dierkes

2:46

We put him in that 2/16 contract bracket.

So, a lot from where he was, but not THAT exciting of a pitcher.

Connor Byrne

2:46

so he did do quite a bit to better his chances, but ehh

not really enthusiastic here

Steve Adams

2:46

Yeah -- the ERA is solid enough, but the underlying data isn't crazy exciting. And the injury history is big.

Mr Roctober

2:46

Given a relatively weak FA market, do you expect more MLB trades (and trade rumors) this offseason?

Steve Adams

2:46

Sure as hell hope so! Ha.

Connor Byrne

2:47

let's hope

Steve Adams

2:47

But generally, yeah, I think there will be more trade activity. And the FA class will improve when people get non-tendered.

Tim Dierkes

2:47

Hmm. Yeah same...I really would like that. Interest at the trade deadline was way down from 2019. And the FA market is not exciting.

Connor Byrne

2:47

Lindor trade rumors, please

Steve Adams

2:47

There will be ... a lot of non-tenders.

Lindor and Arenado will dominate the rumor mill.

Mr Roctober

2:47

How much is performance in the short and complicated 2020 season, especially really good or bad years relative to past performance, affecting your predictions? Will pre-2020 track record matter as much as or more than 2020 performance?

Steve Adams

2:47

Trevor Story should, too, but the Rockies won't do it because reasons.

Connor Byrne

2:48

the Rockies will win 94 games next year, that's why

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