Travis Sawchik FanGraphs Chat
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Travis Sawchik
12:39
Interesting question...zero sum game in regard to WAR. Probably much of it is tied to variance
12:40
Maybe premium athletes are doing a better job of sticking at more demanding defensive positions? And we've seen the lack of interest teams have in paying bat-first players so there is less incentive to want to play those positions
Dan
12:40
Is Gary Sanchez the 2nd best catcher in baseball?
Travis Sawchik
12:41
I'm not ready to say that. I want to get a better read on the defense and the bat in 2017
Craig
12:42
Does Aaron Judge get his strikeouts below 30%? How valuable do you think he can be if it gets around 27%?
Travis Sawchik
12:43
If he can make a Kris Bryant-like improvement there's probably a ton of value there .... Some long-limbed guys have success reducing Ks others do not. I suspect there will be some reduction
IsIt2015Yet?
Travis Sawchik
12:44
The Seagers have a long way to go
Kenny Omega
12:44
How much of a bounceback, if any, can we expect from King Felix assuming full health? Are his 2015 numbers attainable?
Travis Sawchik
12:46
I'm really concerned about what I saw from Felix last year. If that velocity is gone, or continues to decline, the old Felix probably isn't coming back
Drew
12:47
If the Yankees hit big with their prospects, they will have a bunch of wins coming from pre/early arb guys. This puts them in a position to spend huge in FA (which will be loaded). How dangerous can you see them being in a few years?
Travis Sawchik
12:48
The Yankees are in a great spot. I like how they have positioned themselves for the 2018-19 offseason
Matt
12:48
Gonna be hard to surpass Hank and Tommie Aaron for most WAR by two brothers...and that's with Tommie being at -1.7 for his career
Mike
12:48
DiMaggios don't get a spot on top brother combos?
Best Bros
12:49
Actual best WARBros....Gaylord & Jim Perry, 137.6 WAR
Travis Sawchik
12:49
Seagers have a long way to go!
Ian Connor
12:49
Apparently the Dodgers were considering trading Alex Wood to Seattle for prospects(most likely Gohara+), then flipping them with De Leon for Dozier. Would you have done this or the 1 for 1 Forsythe deal?
Travis Sawchik
12:49
I'd rather have Dozier
MO
12:51
It seems like the scouting report on every pitching prospect is that changeup development is needed. Is that maybe why someone like Jose De Leon had success in the minors? He's basically the only one in the league who can throw that pitch, so hitters there haven't seen many?
Travis Sawchik
12:52
The Rays seem to teach changeups so well...That's the secondary pitch I would always want to focus on as an org
RJS
12:53
I've seen 1 WAR = $8mn a few times but that's a linear approximation. Shouldn't the marginal win be higher since there are a lot more 2 WAR players than 6 WAR player and a WAR curve look more logarithmic?
Travis Sawchik
12:53
I like the thought. Pass it along to Harper's agent!
baby bull
12:53
you think Mccutchen plays CF all year?
Travis Sawchik
12:54
I don't ... I could see Marte opening in CF. I'd love to see a full season of Marte in CF
Nick
12:54
Do the Yankees still have their facial hair policy? Would that actually stop Harper from signing with them?
Travis Sawchik
12:54
I'm not sure ... but I think players would adhere if they were pleased with the contract terms
v2micca
12:56
Suppose there was a play-off team that was the ultimate Stars and Scrubs roster with 4 players accounting for 26 WAR and the rest of the team contributing about 8 WAR. Ideally, what positions would you want your Stars to fill?
Travis Sawchik
12:56
Two SPs, a SS , and a C
Erik
12:57
Anecdotally, it seems as though players who reach the top early are more likely to become injury prone--thinking specifically of Harper and Griffey here. Any idea if that's actually true?
Travis Sawchik
12:58
I think if you're specializing in a sport since your youth - like Harper - then all those reps come attached with injury risk (though, Harper's injuries don't seem to be chronic or reps-oriented, I could be wrong on that). I think we're seeing it show up with the TJS spike
Maxwell
12:59
Where do you see the twins in the next 5 years?
Travis Sawchik
1:00
Are Sano and Buxton stars? It starts there for me. Would have loved De Leon there. Who is going to pitch? Lot of uncertainty
Ricky of Sunnyvale
1:01
The Dodgers' 6-10 starters are currently Wood, McCarthy, Ryu, Stewart and Stripling. With reasonable health (big if, I know), isn't this better than like 5-10 current MLB rotations?
Travis Sawchik
1:01
It's certainly not the worst! Not many teams have that kind of SP depth, even considering the health risk
LogicLiker
1:02
Harper is the 2014, 2015, & 2016 version of himself ... all added up his last 3 year track record is good for .284/.400/.515 through the ages 21-23 .. he also plays in a pitchers park and has a very OBP driven line (he's clearly #2 behind Trout)
Travis Sawchik
1:02
What is Harper going to do in Yankee Stadium in 2019?
Sal
1:03
Should the Astros move Correa to 3B and Bregman to SS? I'm not saying do it right now, but if Correa struggles a little this season, could you see them doing this next offseason?
Travis Sawchik
1:03
Nice problem to have. No reason to move Correa ... yet
Ricky of Sunnyvale
1:04
Two years, 8 mil. Blanton or Romo?
Travis Sawchik
1:04
I love both at that rate. Depends on staff construction
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