Travis Sawchik FanGraphs Chat
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Travis Sawchik
12:27
This is the dream of every AL fan base. Yankee fans, he'll be a free agent one winter after Bryce Harper
Adam
12:28
Does anyone have any kind of splits leaderboards where you can view stats by opposition? For example, you could view splits for all PA's against a pitcher with a FIP- below 100. Would obviously be very difficult to build because the content would be dynamic, but would very interesting to see. At the very least could it be built once the season is complete?
Travis Sawchik
12:28
I think BaseballProspectus has a quality of competition tool
Braník Best
12:28
Wouldn't the 2009 Yankees have spent more than 17% on Arod?
Travis Sawchik
12:29
I'd have to look it up, but the Cleveland FO's study was done prior to that season
Ideally, the study supported the idea you want to spread risk. But Harper and Machado also produce such value at such an age that they are worthy exceptions to the rule
Ray Liotta as Shoeless Joe
12:30
Do you think a franchise's ultimate goal is to win championships or to make money? Obviously the answer varies (Mike Ilitch--RIP--and Jeff Loria are the extremes, in my estimation). But wouldn't a team know that a Harper or Machado fills seats and sells jerseys? You can still find Rodriguez jerseys in Dallas/Fort Worth...
Travis Sawchik
12:31
I'm sure it's different owner-to-owner on how they fall on that spectrum, but teams will try to factor in a player's total value. It's easier to quantify on-field value, and even that isn't always easy
Braník Best
12:31
Re: arod in 2009, I'm wrong. His salary was ~15%
MR
12:31
So how much do you want to blame Rizzo for the Nationals bullpen problems? He's getting killed around DC, but part of me doesn't see too many great options he had in the off-season. Or maybe he is to blame long-term for not having developed more minor league relievers?
Travis Sawchik
12:32
Felipe Rivero would look pretty good in DC, right? Another example of the danger or trading controllable years for a short-term fix
CamdenWarehouse
12:32
The Cleveland study seems to have a bit of SSS issue to draw sweeping conclusions as to how to build a roster.
Travis Sawchik
12:33
True. And maybe it went beyond WS winners. I can't be 100 percent sure about that. I looked at payroll allocation a few years ago for the Pittsburgh Trib. http://triblive.com/sports/pirates/7036813-74/payroll-rodriguez-tigers
Badger
12:34
I'd be willing to bet money Sanchez and Sano have similar production RoS.
Travis Sawchik
12:34
We should exchange PayPal information!
Charlie Skinner
12:34
How much of free agent value is determined by expected on-field production vs expected cash flows generated by the player? Obviously the two are connected, but I'd imagine there are a number of complexities in determining the answer.
Travis Sawchik
12:35
The majority is on-field production. One problem is what if a player (often a veteran) really falters? If you're factoring outside-the-lines considerations you are setting up to be hit twice
Ranger
12:35
Conforto a .270/.350 30 HR guy in your estimation?
Travis Sawchik
12:36
I think that's reasonable. And a better defender than some expected.
HP
12:36
should more MLB games start at 6:10 PM, in your opinion?
Travis Sawchik
12:37
As a former beat hack and father of a 2-year-old who struggles to make it to 11 p.m. at night before falling into REM cycle on the couch, I'd be in favor ....especially early-season games like the Indians do with game times in Cleveland
Marcus Banks
12:37
What is SSS? I keep seeing this used in chats.
Travis Sawchik
12:37
Small-sample size
Tom
12:37
I saw John Mozeliak give a q&a before Pujols became a free agent. He referenced something similar, saying the only time a team went to the World Series with I think it was 15% of their payroll in a corner infielder was the Rockies in 07 with Helton. He emphasized, and they lost.
Travis Sawchik
12:38
Mo is a good GM! I think the comp pick for Pujols was Wacha, too
Bionic Danny Hultzen
12:39
When is the super 2 deadline and is there any reason why Moncada shouldn't be up when healthy? Brinson is at least blocked by outfielders who are hitting.
Travis Sawchik
12:40
We're close. I think teams like to play it cautious when avoiding that extra year of arb. Interesting that the Indians called up Bradley Zimmer when they did
Peter
12:40
Matt Harvey's velocity has trended up since April, is there a good starter in there somewhere?
Travis Sawchik
12:40
It's certainly plausible. The velocity was encouraging, and I believe with that surgery it was expected that he might take some time for the off-speed feel to return. Now is not the time to sell on harvey
Buzz
12:41
Samardzija leads the NL in FIP, xFIP and Siera, plus is posting this best sw strike rate in years. How much ERA regression should we expect?
Travis Sawchik
12:42
It's interesting, for sure. Swinging strike is up just a point, though. And his pitch mix and velocity is within normal ranges ... so i don't know what's going on there. Worth a deeper dive
Zorn
12:43
What can you tell me about Mike Clevinger?
Travis Sawchik
12:43
Four-pitch mix, good slider, improved command a bit in 3A this spring. He's at least quality depth if not something more
Zach
12:43
What is Adam frazier?
Travis Sawchik
12:44
A left-handed hitter with an excellent compact swing and approach ... though surprisingly shaky in the field for having been a college shortstop
Byron Buxton
12:45
Am I a valuable dynasty fantasy baseball asset?
Travis Sawchik
12:45
I'm continuing to be extremely patient with you
Greg
12:46
The Braves have three 19-year-olds at Double A who are all top-100 prospects. This seems weird for a team that isn't competing. Is there something to earlier peaks and promoting players early, or is this simply them thinking they'll be relevant sooner than everyone else thinks they will?
Travis Sawchik
12:47
Braves have been aggressive with some promotions. I'm not sure exactly why. Fried skipped High-A, I believe
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