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Travis Sawchik
12:45
An ace pitcher who is a part-time, above-average hitter could get into double-digit WAR numbers, 12 is probably pushing the max
Gus
12:45
Welcome to The Land
Travis Sawchik
12:45
Thanks! Happy to be back
Jay
12:46
So, I know the theory that clutch hitting doesnt exist and that if you're a good hitter in general, you're likely to be a good hitter most times in "clutch" situations. So, explain Roberto Perez - .202/.290/.348 in "low leverage" situations but in high leverage - 1.029 OPS. Obviously there's some fluke to it but if the theory says if youre a good hitter in general, you'll be a good hitter in clutch situations...so what is Perez?
Travis Sawchik
12:48
Interesting. It's a small sample of 60 plate appearances , though . http://www.fangraphs.com/statsplits.aspx?playerid=2900&position=C&seas...
Keith Hernandez
12:48
I think the best part of a successful Browns rebuild will be the fact that a baseball analytics guy led the way.
Travis Sawchik
12:49
Ha. Yep. NFL is way behind MLB in many ares relating how to think about value and creating competitive advantages  ... but NFL is ahead of MLB in some areas, too
Alex Cobb
12:49
Am I Tanakas replacement in the Bronx this offseason?
Travis Sawchik
12:50
I love that 2.2 GB/FB ratio in the second half, looks like you're getting back to being you
I am the walrus
12:51
What do you think Darvish gets - 5/$150? over or under?
Travis Sawchik
12:51
I think that's in the ballpark, north on the dollars
Oscar
12:51
Who do you like more as a FA this offseason, Lynn or Cobb?
Travis Sawchik
12:52
When Cobb is at his best, I love the change, curve, and two-seam combo
stever20
12:52
will what Kluber has done since June 1 make teams think about starting pitchers later in the season.
Travis Sawchik
12:53
I don't think he was right to begin the year, but perhaps have us thinking more and more about more rest perhaps equalling more efficient performances
2-D
12:54
Rockies or Twins, which do you like better to pull an upset in their respective division series if they make it in and get past the wild card game?
Travis Sawchik
12:54
Rockies with CarGo finding his swing and Blackmon and Arenado being two of the best 5-7 players in the league
12:55
And is Sano ever going to get back on the field?
StreakingIsFun
12:55
How many of Roberto Perez's 60 high-leverage PAs were during the streak? The Indians were creating more of those than usual during that stretch. Perhaps he just got hot at the right time after being dreadfully cold for most of the year?
Travis Sawchik
12:55
Those were career PAs in high leverage
Rich
12:56
Watched Scherzer get taken out (rightfully so) with the bases loaded no outs his last start and the reliever promptly served up a grand slam. Are there any adjusted ERA stats that weight the runs allowed more in line with the probability of the runs scoring. For example likely hood of those runs scoring based on situation would be charged to relieved pitcher and the rest to reliever?
Travis Sawchik
12:56
Good question. I'm not sure
McRatSandwich
12:56
More rest meaning a 6-man rotation? Yikes!!
Travis Sawchik
12:56
We're eventually going to have 6-man rotations, or piggy-back style rotations right?
The game has always evolved toward more specialization and fewer innings for arms
Dookie Howser, MD
12:57
Does price get any starts in October?
Travis Sawchik
12:57
Isn't he going to the bullpen?
Fangraphs Juggalo
12:57
With the Marlins and Reds out of contention, how is Blackmon not the run away favorite for NL MVP?
Travis Sawchik
12:58
He has a strong case
Brad
12:58
RE: The Cubs spending all that money on Heyward, other than his defense, which will start to decline, they were spending on potential hitting of a 6 yr veteran with no proven track record.  I know it was a gamble they took to win the WS, so in retrospect, isn't it worth it even though he didn't do much to help them win it?
Travis Sawchik
12:58
Heyward was also a younger, potential star FA .... so I think we all understand the attraction. Perhaps there was too much buy in on defensive metics and not enough concern about that swing
12:59
See, we still need scouts!
Edgar
12:59
Clutch hitting is a frame of mind.
Travis Sawchik
1:00
I know the numbers tell me not to think this way but I feel there has to be something to performing in high-stress environments, even if a relatively small performance change
capconstrained
1:00
It seem w/ all the Cleveland love, folks have forgotten how well the Yanks are built for the playoffs.
Travis Sawchik
1:01
If I'm Cleveland -- assuming they capture the No. 1 seed - I don't want to face NYY in the ALDS
StreakingIsFun
1:01
Re: Kluber vs. Sale. How much do you take into account Kluber's April vs. June-Present split? Kluber was awful in April before going on the DL to let his back heal up. It's amazing he's even close in WAR given that he a)missed a month and b)pitched terribly prior to missing that month
Travis Sawchik
1:01
Kluber has had the best, best period ... I'm not sure how much that should factor in.  I do think there is recency bias in voting
Kevin
1:02
What world do you play in HBD? Gleeman's? I'm in a couple worlds, but find it's much easier to focus on one team with work, life, and kids.
Travis Sawchik
1:02
I play in the BBWAA world. Yeah, I prefer to have one team for sanity purposes and to kind of live and die with it. No mulligans
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