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Travis Sawchik FanGraphs Chat
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Travis Sawchik
12:56
I'm a big Berrios guy. He'll be a 15% K-BB guy with a sub-4 ERA. He'll be the ace on a staff that will lack a true ace
Mary
12:56
With this latest arm injury is it now time to put Salazar in the bullpen permanently?
Travis Sawchik
12:56
I like Salazar as a potential Devinski multi-inning, impact reliever
Ooop All Crunchberries
12:57
Isn't Hosmer the perfect high volatility signing for a team like the Padres?  The true contenders stayed away because they didn't want to pay the premium over Duda, Adams, etc to gamble that he'd be able to change his launch angle.  However the Padres need some volatility.  If he can change his launch angle and become a true star they can exit the rebuild a little sooner.  If he can't then it was a gamble that failed, but it's not like they wasted Wil Myers prime to find out.  Given the current CBA there are only so much a team can efficiently spend on prospects so at some point, if you want to spend money to improve your team, you need to spend it on free agents.  Just like they’d rather give a rotation spot to a high-volatility fringe prospect than pay a premium for a lower-ceiling, higher-floor veteran, they’d rather spend their free agent dollars on a gamble that Hosmer has untapped potential than pay a premium for a lower ceiling, higher-floor f
Travis Sawchik
12:58
This is the case for signing Hosmer
12:59
I wouldn't have fought for it. Dave Cameron either! But it's not the worst FA signing ever and Hosmer has upside
And if Hosmer does become a swing-change monster the club has a club-friendly deal
1:00
.... I just hate to make an eight-year commitment on the hope that a player is better than he's shown to date
He Hate Me
1:00
Prediction: Dickerson changes agents to Boras and they hold out of a 6-year, 9-figure contract.
Travis Sawchik
1:00
If anyone can do it, it's Boras speaking directly to Nats ownership
bartolos_colon
1:00
What is the latest you see Boras holding out for another offer for Martinez? In an extreme case, could you foresee any top 50 FAs left not signing until a team breaks camp?
Travis Sawchik
1:01
Well, we've seen Boras clients hold out deep into a season ... but that was with little interest (Stephen Drew) ... so I think JDM will take that 5-year BOS offer if nothing else is presented before opening day
Jstodola
1:01
Will Judge be able to handle all this pressure to have a great 2nd season?
Travis Sawchik
1:01
Yes
1:02
Maybe not 50 HRs, but he'll be fine
Nicole
1:02
Over the weekend the NBA announced that it was considering changing the playoff format.  Instead of conference play the teams will be seeded 1-16.  Do you see MLB changing their playoff format like the 5 best teams in each league make the playoffs regardless of divisions?
Travis Sawchik
1:03
The 5-team divisions are kind of absurd, really, but I think MLB likes the manufactured playoff races in Sept
lloyd
1:03
prediction: dickerson shuns baseball and becomes a pastry chef
Travis Sawchik
1:03
non-zero chance
tb.25
1:03
How long until deeper fielding data is released to the public? Initial positioning, route efficiency, etc.
Travis Sawchik
1:04
I have no idea but we need a better defensive metric
Dizzy Trout is better
1:04
Is there any reasonable hope that Yandy Diaz can learn to hit flyballs to put his great exit velo to use?  I wonder if being so jacked works against him... Gabe Kapler was also yoked and it didn't help him much
Travis Sawchik
1:04
I think Yandy/Indians began addressing this a bit midway through last season. I know I spoke briefly with him about it
He has huge potential if he can get the ball off the ground
1:05
Elite exit velo guy
Matt Weiters
1:05
Is my name mentioned every time a GM is told by his team  owner that he is going to meet with Boras?
Travis Sawchik
1:05
Yours and Prince Fielder
He Hate Me
1:06
There are other cases for signing Hosmer. To wit, he has a strong reputation as a clubhouse leader, with a ring from an overachieving club to prove it. Why not sign that guy to shepherd a team full of promising young prospects into the show? Teams sign no-hit catchers all the time to bring along young pitching staffs (not for $144m, but bear with me). So while I'm sooo glad my contending team didn't sign Hoz, I can see some logic in it for SD.
Travis Sawchik
1:07
I think the clubhouse leader aspect is overblown. Those great KC teams had a lot of guys come up together and I suspect the environment was more collective that tied to one individual. And Hosmer hasn't been all that receptive to info that could help him (ask Eno)
Mike sixel
1:07
I hope they don't get rid of divisions.... Much more interesting than top five....
Travis Sawchik
1:07
Divisions don't create a meritocracy but they do create more drama
1:08
I'd like to see a two-division format in MLB with the division winners getting play-in round byes
Gavin
1:08
Corey Dickerson: Great British Baking Show contestant?
Travis Sawchik
1:08
My wife loves that show. I could tell her about Dickerson
Zach
1:08
Jayson Stark tweeted that pitch clocks are overrated because only 3 starters averaged over 20 seconds per pitch. Two things, one, doesn't this ignore that is just the average? That it would impact the entire sample of pitches that take over 20 seconds? Also, why is 20 generally accepted as the number? Why not...17-18?
Travis Sawchik
1:09
I think a lot of starters averaged well over 20 seconds but I'd have to look at our pace data
Questions Abound
1:09
Cozart is projected by PECOTA for... .4 WARP. Alonso is projected for... .1 WARP. ?!?!
Travis Sawchik
1:10
PECOTA doesn't know Alonso made a swing change ... it thinks he had an outlier season. As for Cozart, I don't know
tb.25
1:10
@ MLB playoffs and divisions. With a 2 team expansion, could there be a major reshuffling in divisions? 2 leagues with 4 divisions of 4 teams each. Back to one wildcard, where the wild card and lowest division winner play the one-game playoff (or remove wild card altogether)
Travis Sawchik
1:10
Expansion is going to help schedule-making and division realign
ment
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