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2016 Opening Day Live Blog
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Paul Swydan
4:57
Well, no. This is literally the second game of the year.
Shirtless George Brett
4:57
ok. could you do a WPA study or something though? See what the difference is between the call if it had stood and the call being overturned? I'm just interested what the actuall impact of replay is on the game.
Paul Swydan
4:58
Yeah, like I said, you could do it. But I'm not sure you'd find anything worthwhile. One thing that would throw it off is managers making desperate challenges when they know there's a very low percentage chance of a call going their way.
But have to do it, because they're down 3 runs in the 8th, and if they don't get this challenge, the game is basically over.
That kind of thing.
Mike Oxlong
4:58
Going with Conger for the first Donger
Paul Swydan
4:59
Another whopper for the ... copper!
Sorry, I'm full of Simpsons references today.
Sage
4:59
Any of you DFS players?
Paul Swydan
4:59
I'm not. Going to be dead in a couple of years anyway.
Filthy K on Tulo there.
Bob
4:59
You do Beat the Streak?
Paul Swydan
4:59
I did one year, but I lost interest.
Sam Clifford
5:00
In the NFL, a challenge flag is almost never thrown unless someone in the team's "booth" has already reviewed the play and is confident it'll be successful. It seems silly to me that MLB teams seem not to do the same thing.
Paul Swydan
5:00
But they do. That's what takes so long, because MLB teams have to run down the tunnel to check, as opposed to having a coach in a booth with a dedicated view of monitors.
And THEN they challenge. Usually.
Bork
5:00
Also a used challenge is more useful then not challenging at all, even if the chance a call is overturned is very low
Paul Swydan
5:01
Right, that's why an analysis of them might not show that much.
Lenard
5:01
In addition with replay, we'd still be working off just one year of data. It's possible after 5+ years there might be something interesting there, but there is just way too much noise right now, especially factoring in that managers, umps, etc. had to implement the rule during the first month or so of the season last year.
Bob
5:01
DFS wont be dead. To many of the sports teams are investors
Paul Swydan
5:02
Sorry, but sports teams don't run the world. If it doesn't end up being illegal, the interest will fade away. Death by 1,000 paper cuts. They already dropped all college DFS.
Bork
5:02
MLB teams do that. Most employ a replay reviewer that they call
Paul Swydan
5:03
I don't think they call them. I think they still run down the tunnel to talk to them. I think they're only allowed to call the bullpen.
Shirtless George Brett
5:03
You see alot of bad challenges in football too
Paul Swydan
5:03
Way worse, in my opinion. Football coaches are not great at things that aren't coaching football.
Smooth
5:03
Who wins a fight bw Florida franchise owners -- Stu Sternberg and Jeff Loria? Loria, right? He probably fights dirty.
Paul Swydan
5:04
Oh I don't think there's any question it would be Loria.
Sage
5:04
College DFS accounted for 2% of all of their revenue.
Paul Swydan
5:04
Yes but there's a perception problem there. That's not how stories like that get reported.
k_lof
5:04
why do tv announcers insist on being so anti-analysis? i'm hearing phrases like "new-fangled shifts" and "you can take all the analytics you want, i'm walking him every time there."
Paul Swydan
5:05
Because for a lot of people, once they have ascended to the top of their profession, they think they've made it and no longer need to keep learning. That's what makes people like Vin Scully so special.
Smooth
5:05
Curious whether anyone else thinks the review of the neighborhood play is going to cancel out most if not at all of the gains in player safety from the new slide rule?
Paul Swydan
5:06
I think any Pirates fan will tell you that they're happy to wait an extra five minutes now and then if it means their season isn't cut short by having one of their best hitters intentionally injured.
Sage
5:06
My dream job is the guy who holds the audio box thing for the umpires to listen to during the replay reviews.
Paul Swydan
5:06
Well, at least you're dreaming?
Sir Nerdlington
5:07
Top of the 3rd and mlb.tv suddenly gave me the unviewable, game blacked out message. Wha?
Paul Swydan
5:07
I got nothing for you, sorry. Try ESPN2.
Bork
5:07
They call. The assistant coach call the replay reviewer. At least I know its how it works for the Jays
Paul Swydan
5:07
Well OK.
Hamist02
5:07
Anyone else getting a system/feed error on their mlb tv?
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