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2019 World Series Game 1 Chat
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AvatarDan Szymborski
10:13
Hey, we're working!
AvatarJay Jaffe
10:14
I'll take the under. Scherzer is mostly a sure thing. Altuve better than 50%. Soto off to a great start, Correa if he stays healthy, Bregman making some fast inroads... Cole if he keeps it up... but that's A LOT that has to go perfectly
AvatarDan Szymborski
10:15
And since I'm working, no video game multitasking! So no Trails of Cold Steel III or WWE2K20 which came out today.
Tinker to Taylor to SoldiertoSpy
10:15
Strasburg and Rendon aren't potential Hall of Famers?
Hire Joe Morgan?
10:15
Soto is being born tonight.
Ben Kaspick
10:15
I can't get his ALDS Game 5 home run out of my head.
What was it, 450 feet?
Trent
10:15
Is there any concern about how Alvarez will age?  I can't recall a player so young being relegated solely to DH this early in his career.  Even Edgar Martinez, for instance, played the field for a few years.
AvatarDan Szymborski
10:15
Ortiz.
Ben Kaspick
10:15
*NLDS
AvatarDan Szymborski
10:16
Alvarez *could* play the field some, but Astros are deep OF wise
sphenreckson
10:16
Rendon is a hall of famer. I think.
AvatarDan Szymborski
10:16
I don't think Rendon gets near the counting numbers
10:17
almost NOBODY is voting on peak these days. See Johan Santana
AvatarJay Jaffe
10:17
yeah i don't see Rendon making it
AvatarDan Szymborski
10:17
I think this is the series that the Nats being cute using starters as relievers backfires.
Lunar verLander
10:18
iunno, Dan, it's not like the Astros bats have done...anything...this postseason
AvatarJay Jaffe
10:18
he's through his 20s with 27.3 bWAR and just three seasons up to par for a peak score (~6 WAR)
AvatarDan Szymborski
10:19
Lunar, if you assume the Astros bats are predictively sucky this postseason, that's *less* of a reason to use a starter in relief too
10:20
There aren't enough rest days to do a Scherzer/Strasburg/Sanchez short-rest rotation
Tinker to Taylor to SoldiertoSpy
10:21
Rendon does seem like someone who might not make 2,000 hits, though
AvatarDan Szymborski
10:21
and under 400 HRs
AvatarJay Jaffe
10:21
yup yup
AvatarDan Szymborski
10:21
Remember, *Rolen's* not getting in BBWAA and I don't see Rendon getting to 70 WAR
cat's paw
10:22
At 112 pitches, given the way the Nats operate, could Scherzer come back out?
Ben Kaspick
10:22
Maybe for one batter (Correa), then Corbin for Alvarez?
AvatarJay Jaffe
10:23
That's what I'm thinking too
AvatarDan Szymborski
10:23
As I said before, I'm kinda glad I didn't have a ballot last year because a Yankees fan might have knifed me.
Becuase I *fully* intend to game my ballot if there are more than 10 players I want to vote for.
Tinker to Taylor to SoldiertoSpy
10:24
How much higher are your chances of making the HOF if you get drafted out of high school instead of college? That's a few extra years of playing time.
PresidentsRace
10:24
Dan, how are you feeling about Soto undershooting his zips projection with a 949 ops. I think zips was shooting for a wicked. 985.
AvatarJay Jaffe
10:24
I haven't studied it systematically (it's a good idea!) but early starts are important, so edge to the high schooler for sure
AvatarDan Szymborski
10:25
Better, but ZiPS was still high. OPS+ projection of 149 vs. 138
Not enough that it was embarrassing thankfully, but it was a bit high
10:26
Now, if Bieber had imploded and had an ERA of 6, I might have had to hide ZiPS for a year out of shame.
sucramrenrut
10:26
Top World Series of the decade article reminded me Al Leiter came back out to throw 149 or so pitches. LOL METS.
Tinker to Taylor to SoldiertoSpy
10:26
Is there any merit to choosing HOFers by Wins Above Average instead of WAR? Seems like it would balance peak/longevity well, and
AvatarDan Szymborski
10:26
There is
Maggie25
10:26
One thing that is too bad about Houston moving to the AL is that we can never have an orange juice series between Houston and Tampa Bay
AvatarDan Szymborski
10:26
I still am getting used to Brewers not being in the AL East.
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