JotCast | 2021 Opening Day Chat

2021 Opening Day Chat

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Jay Jaffe

3:05

Seems like a pretty fair deal. Big number, but might have cost even more with a more representative season (his 2020 wasn't great with the bat, but there's any one of a number of reasons to wave that off). Cohen put himself in the position of needing to get it done, but he did it. It's a new era for Mets fans.

CoryMC

3:07

I was surprised how ZiPS isn't buying Teoscar's breakout.

Jay Jaffe

3:07

a 60-game season only has so much power to turn the projections for any player. I'd take the over on a 108 wRC+ and 1.8 WAR

David Laurila

3:09

And I was wrong on Boyd. He's back for the sixth on 83 pitches despite an arduous fifth.

Blue Morpho

3:09

Bieber 10k already

Fangraph's Lurker

3:10

Kim, Andrus, Simmons, or A Rosario. Who has the better year?

David Laurila

3:10

Rosario.

fake baseball fan

3:10

Acuna flies out to kick off ATL-PHI

Kevin Goldstein

3:11

Two out two on for the Twins. Woodruff has been a bit messy. Just out stuffing guys.

WIld pitch or passed ball and Twins lead 1-0.

Waffles

3:12

Is Bieber the successor to DeGrom for the zero run support crown

David Laurila

3:13

The 2021 Indians aren't exactly the 1927 Yankees, so it's quite possible.

Kevin Goldstein

3:14

Kepler RBI single to CF, Twins suddenly up 2-0. Changeup.

Drew Haugen

3:14

With Kuhl almost coming close to a Kyle Hendricks-like injury at first, I continue you to scratch my head at why in the world we still don't have a DH.

Appa Yip Yip

3:14

Teoscar's last 78 games in 2019 were just as good, so it's 138 games but projection systems are conservative and now we all get to feel smarter than dan's dumb computer

Jay Jaffe

3:14

Projection systems generally don't capture the sequencing of a season even though there may be a very real reason for a point of inflection after which a player improves or declines — injury/health, new pitch, mechanical adjustment, etc. The computer sees a full season with its modest production instead of two very different halves.

Estevão

3:14

how long until Zaidi can call the Giants his roster

Kevin Goldstein

3:14

He's there.

3:16

Woodruff outstuffs Buxton to end the inning, but it got a bit ugly there. Twins up 2-0.

Jay Jaffe

3:16

Posey, Belt, Cueto, and Crawford are all heading into their final seasons before free agency, or at least club options. The roster may look VERY different next year

biggs

3:16

what did cubs do right with hendricks and why cant they replicate it?

Kevin Goldstein

3:16

Again, it's crazy good command (not today). Tough to teach that.

5 Run Homer

3:18

What happens with Posey when his contract is up? The idea of him anywhere but SF is upsetting

Jay Jaffe

3:19

I suspect he and the Giants work something out and he'll stay, but I wouldn't be shocked if he retires. His body ain't what it used to be.

Drew Haugen

3:19

What's yall's favorite opening day moment or memory?

Kevin Goldstein

3:19

Tuffy Rhodes?

Pobrecito

3:20

Maybe they got Davies because he's Hendricks

David Laurila

3:20

Davies is underrated.

Drew Haugen

3:20

Thoughts on the magnificent kicks Bryce Harper was wearing?

Jay Jaffe

3:20

Bryce Harper has the best cleats on #OpeningDay

whoa

Kevin Goldstein

3:21

He might be, but comparing Davies to Hendriks is some serious wishcasting.

Dodger Fan

3:21

Kershaw’s CGSO and go-ahead home run is super memorable

Kevin Goldstein

3:21

Great one.

Jay Jaffe

3:21

that was a great Opening Day

Estevão

3:22

Tim Anderson and Jose Abreu will regress from what they did in 2020 (short season). how much?

Jay Jaffe

3:22

11.23456%. Again, it's really optimistic to expect that a great 60-game stretch is suddenly representative of what we can expect from a player going forward. Both will be above-average, i think, but I don't see either as being MVP candidates.

David Laurila

3:23

Bryan Reynolds just got a hustle single on a ground ball into the 3-4 hole with the 2B playing super deep

Dodger Fan

3:24

Fried hits Realmuto, and the bases are loaded in Philly

Jeremy

3:24

Phils have the bases loaded with 1 out and Bohm coming up in the bottom of the 1st.

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