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2025 FanGraphs Opening Day Chat
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Guest
4:25
I'm guessing there are players whose modal projection is notably different from their median projection?  I understand why you go with median, but if you wanted "single best guess for what a single player does this year" how much different would it be?
AvatarDan Szymborski
4:25
Not usually terribly off. Kopech and Scott did used to have weird bimodal distros
MilwaukeeBeerJays
4:25
Reddit isn't working either. It's like the universe wants me to actually do work today. BAD UNIVERSE
Joey Caltrain
4:25
(To be clear for anyone troubleshooting — I'm listening to radio directly on my local station's app, not through MLBTV)
AvatarDan Szymborski
4:28
crap, i tried to change back to brewers yankees and my mlb.tv died
MLB.tv
4:29
“Unable to read responses from MLB media services.” That’s a new one.
AvatarDan Szymborski
4:29
IF ONLY MLB HAD A SALARY CAP THEN MLB.TV WOULD WORK
AvatarJay Jaffe
4:31
Say hey, happy Opening Day everybody! Unless you're trying to watch a game via MLB TV, that is.
AvatarDan Szymborski
4:31
Welcome Jay!
Doug
4:31
Your mileage will vary but I logged out of MLBTV and then logged back in and games reloaded....
AvatarDan Szymborski
4:31
Did nto work for me
AvatarJay Jaffe
4:31
I've got Yankees-Brewers on here from Brooklyn via my cable TV package
and hold the phone, Mabel...
AvatarDan Szymborski
4:32
technically, we just said it was an opening day chat not necessarily that it would involve baseball we could watch
AvatarJay Jaffe
4:32
i just logged out of MLB TV and logged back in and I've got live baseball from Cincinnati
AvatarDan Szymborski
4:32
Without baseball, I've had to resort to shenanigans
Dave
4:33
Seriously, 80% of this chat is complaining about MLBtv
Oddball Herrera
4:33
Chourio going for the early golden sombrero
Justin
4:33
Thank goodness for ESPN I guess?
AvatarDan Szymborski
4:33
I don't even have my office rigged for regular cable TV anymore!
Viv
4:34
So what we've learned is the Orioles are going to score in every inning and not allow a baserunner all season... right?
AvatarDan Szymborski
4:34
Sounds good to me
AvatarJay Jaffe
Adenolith
4:34
I've bribed my children to watch baseball with me promising cheddar dogs, carmel corn, and cotton candy. They're all wearing Braves gear today. They're still young enough to trick them into loving what I love - it can't go down like this!
AvatarJay Jaffe
4:35
That worked for awhile with our daughter — and to some extent still does when it comes to taking her to the ballpark. But at 8 1/2 now, she's mostly out when it comes to actually caring about the game. Sigh.
AvatarDan Szymborski
4:35
there's nothing wrong with bribing children. They gotta learn about the benefits of selling out SOME day!
RTJ
4:37
The "big inning" channel works for me but none of the individual games
AvatarDan Szymborski
4:37
I'm not even sure WHERE Big Inning is, I've never watched it befroe
MilwaukeeBeerJays
4:37
Hey Jay. Do you think Marcus Semien makes it to the hall?
AvatarJay Jaffe
4:39
I think he's building a sneaky-good case. Thanks to his defensive prowess, he's reached the 40-WAR peak threshold (best seven seasons worth at least 40 WAR); something like 76% of eligible players with that threshold get in eventually. However, he's still got work to do, as he's at 45.9 career WAR/40.6 peak WAR/43.3 JAWS , so he's about 13 points shy of the standard and he's already 33. He's gonna need at least a few more very good seasons.
AvatarDan Szymborski
4:38
His excellence isn't prolonged enough to get my vote (at least now) and I imagine I'd be one of the easiest gets
Farhandrew Zaidman
4:38
What are some of the 80 grade pitches out there right now? Devin Williams' airbender, maybe Skenes splinker, maybe Lugo's curveball, Treinen's sweeper....?
AvatarDan Szymborski
4:38
I think the movie killed airbender as a compliment
Zach
4:39
*flips on MIL@NYY*
Carlos Rodon strikes out the side!

*flips on BOS@TEX*
Nathan Eovaldi strikes out the side!

*slips on SFG@CIN*
Hunter Greene strikes out the side!

Hitting is hard.
Brian
4:39
Clase cutter = 80
AvatarDan Szymborski
4:40
snap, it let me into red sox rangers!
I'm too afraid to change it now
I like Jay's answer better than mine; I like Semien
Oddball Herrera
4:41
mlb.tv is doing a psych experiment on variable reinforcement upon the unsuspecting public
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