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2025 FanGraphs Top 100 Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
1:39
Cruz (just absolutely looks the part mechanically, bodily, quality strikes) and then Kenyer (supreme athlete, monster changeup)
Matt
1:39
How close is Konnor Griffin to cracking the list?
Jv30
1:39
Can Tyson Lewis be a top 100 guy by mid season?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:41
Both these fellas are right there, the leap from HS pitching to pro pitching is huge and in most cases I wanna see them do it before they rank this high. There are so many proven players at double and triple a who will just be in the big leagues soon, and i feel it's prudent to prioritize those guys rather than recently drafted players
Skip
1:41
Zebby Matthews, not a rookie-on the roster too long, but only 37.2 IP. Would he fit anywhere on your list?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:41
Yes, close to the middle, in there with Warren and Bloss
SG
1:42
Were Emil Morales and Joendry Vargas near your top 100?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:43
Yeah, similar to the high-variance high schoolers, lots of hit tool risk with both those guys. For example, Morales had a sub-70% contact rate in the DSL.
Brady House
1:44
House is off of basically all top 100 lists now. Too much risk with the hit tool? His defense gives me hope that his value wouldn't totally tank even if he's a league average hitter
Eric A Longenhagen
1:44
You're on it. The K's are coming from a combination of both chase and plate coverage issues. I love the defense, too, he just swings inside sooooo many slider. Bryan Ramos, too. He can pick it.
Telemachus
1:45
What kept Cooper Pratt off of your Top 100 list? Is he a 50FV?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:46
Looked pretty bad on defense upon revisitation, doesn't currently have the power to support a 3B fit. Still a good prospect.
Mark
1:46
Chayce McDermott being on the list when he's age 26 and his probability is ~40% bust is interesting to me. His top 100 capsule didn't mention this and I'm wondering: Do you have any thoughts on whether he could be destined for the bullpen, and if so, could he be a late inning guy?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:47
I upped his bust % last night because of the shoulder thing. If you look at past lists, basically any of these pitchers has a high chance of busting just because of their job. There's a Rodney Dangerfield joke in there somewhere but I'm too gassed to make it.
1:48
I really like Chayce's stuff, and think he
see, i hit the enter key rather than the apostrophe, i'm wearing out
Def an impact reliever for me if he cant start
Marlins Man
1:48
Is Andrew Salas or PJ Morlando on this list next year?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:49
Morlando is a good pick to click
Ray from Tampa
1:49
Aidan Smith, fantasy darling or potential everyday player?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:50
The analytics folks seem higher on him. I think his swing is sketchy and that he's a corner fit. Definitely a prospect, but I think in his case there's some overvaluing of his ability to pull the ball.
Charles Atwater
1:50
Just popping in to say that more than the work itself (which I know is quite an accomplishment), I am most excited to hear you on EW this week. The way you discuss baseball makes me like baseball more, and I am by no means a prospect guy. It's just the effervescence in your discussion. 80-grade podcast guest.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:53
Thank you very much, and thank you to the couple hundred of you who have breezed by today. I'm a little shy of two hours of chatting and am going to call it. Please read everyone's prospect stuff, I am so appreciative that I get to do Shark Week, but baseball, for work. Please consider an ad-free sub to our site, it's about a dollar per week, and we're constantly adding new features (maybe put a college player's name in the search bar and see what happens)
I'll be on Effectively Wild this week to talk more about this stuff, and you'll get a Picks to Click and Limbo article this week, as well as an extra surprise or two.
1:54
bye bye
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