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August Fagerstrom FanGraphs Chat -- 2/9/16
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Ryan
12:53
Multiple references to Chris Cotillo in your article, you buy him as a legitimate source?
august fagerstrom
12:53
yeah
12:54
plus he's been chasing Gallado the most, so those were the tweets that popped up when I twitter searched "Gallardo"
Bork
12:54
How high are you on Tulo's durability this year?
august fagerstrom
12:54
as high as ever, which is not much
at least one 15-day DL stint should be expected
Alan
12:55
Hey August, can you rank who you think will be the top 5 pitching performers for the NL east this year (in order)
august fagerstrom
12:55
well Kerhsaw
then...... Fernandez, Arrieta, Scherzer and the 5th one is tough. I'll go with Syndergaard
also think I just got tricked into a fantasy question
Guest
12:55
Why does war hate dh's?
august fagerstrom
12:56
because they're only like 60% of a full player
doc ellis
12:56
does kevin kiermeier ever significantly progress as a hitter, or is this what he is? is he a MVP candidate as a 110 wRC+ bat?
august fagerstrom
12:56
I think he is what he is, and no he's not
he is super good, though
but voters would never seriously consider someone who hits as little as he does for MVP, no matter how good the glove/base running is
Chad
12:57
At what age/year of experience do we have enough data/knowledge to confidently predict someone as a plus or minus outfield defender? In Soler's case, what is the chance he has to improve to a average/plus defender?
august fagerstrom
12:57
well generally you want 3 years, or ~3000ish innings
but it's not like you can't use the eye test, too
12:58
scouts never liked Soler's glove, and he hasn't *looked* good, and the first year's worth of numbers are bad enough to where it would take a lot of squinting to see an average defender
12:59
What he's done so far has just backed up what scouts expected him to do, and I don't think many eyes would disagree with the numbers. Makes it a little easier to buy into 1 year's worth of defensive data. It's when the numbers disagree with the eyes/scouts that you want more data before you draw a conclusion
kp
12:59
Which two teams ( one AL one NL) do you feel more strongly about than most others this coming season?
august fagerstrom
12:59
Think I still like the Dbacks more than most in the NL, and it's hard to get a gauge for how the general population feels about the Red Sox but I like them more than any other team in the AL East
Hero
1:00
Do you see Danny Salazar taking another step forward in 2016 or did we see his peak this past seasons? Furthermore, would you say he has a "safe" floor? Thank you
august fagerstrom
1:02
I'm personally higher on Salazar than most, and think he puts himself up near the Kluber/Carrasco company this year. Maybe this is a bias that comes from being around the team every day, but he's really a student of the game, and changed so much about the way he pitched last year, and the way he *thought* about pitching, that it makes it easier to see him taking another step forward. I'm sure you could say that about plenty of pitchers, which is why I admit my bias that comes from being around him more than others, but he really impressed me both on and off the field last year
Big Salazar fan
And yeah, the swing-and-miss stuff he's got keeps his floor pretty high
Justin
1:02
You said something about the most exciting trade being "the Javy Baez one". Know something that we don't'?
august fagerstrom
1:02
nope, just answered the question with the first thing that came to mind
Harry Arrieta
1:03
I think the Cubs should lead off with Bryant and Schwarber who get on base and will hit for plenty of power but also strike out a bit, and follow them with Rizzo, Heyward, and Zobrist who aren't likely to strand too many runners and will also get on base at high clips. I seem to be the only Cub fan I know that is thinking this way. Does it make sense or would you go with the traditional line of thought for their lineup?
august fagerstrom
1:03
Think you'd "waste" too much power leading off Bryant or Schwarber. Lead off Zobrist and get a similar OBP and not as many "empty" solo homers
Heyward, rather
Guest
1:03
Wait cespedes is a chain smoker?
august fagerstrom
1:04
yes he smokes cigarettes in the god damn tunnels between innings
Riley
1:04
Im sorry, I hate to be this guy, but syndergaard, conforto and wheeler for trout who says no?
august fagerstrom
1:04
everybody all at once and me too, right now
NO
GSon
1:04
As a golden flash and former resident (half a house on college st).. It doesn't seem to be a wise financial decision to be moving to the down town area of the north coast.. have you had a concussion or are suffering from concussion-like symptoms?
august fagerstrom
1:05
gets me a block away from the stadium, which is essentially my office
Commuting 45 minutes every day was a bitch last year
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