August Fagerstrom FanGraphs Chat -- 9/13/16
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august fagerstrom
1:03
FG Audio a close second!
real company man here
1:04
putting our leading competitors product ahead of our own. sure to earn me a raise
Big Joe Mufferaw
1:05
Justus Sheffield last start “He peppered everywhere from 91-95 with tremendous life, the fastball especially explosive when thrown up in the zone. He also mixed in a good, hard slider and a solid change,”. Sounds like more than high floor to me.
august fagerstrom
1:05
High floor isn't an insult
Raindog
1:06
I asked Jeff this too, curious for your pick: after Kershaw, Verlander, and Felix, what active pitcher has best HOF chances?
august fagerstrom
1:06
I guess Hamels
1:07
He's the only other veteran guy I can really seeing getting in. Greinke's there too but obviously this year casts a pretty big cloud over his chances
Just so hard to name any young guy with any confidence, because pitchers
CC will be an interesting case too
Really have no idea how voters will see him
1:08
I'm changing my answer to CC actually
Forgot how good his peak was. His 5-year peak WAR is actually higher than Verlander and Felix, and he leads all active pitchers with 60+ FIP and RA9-WAR
1:09
42 five-year peak WAR same as Steve Carlton
tradcap
1:10
hi August -- assuming (from his ~5 WAR 2016) a normal aging curve, is Dustin Pedroia a valid choice for HoF?
august fagerstrom
1:10
we talked about this pretty in depth last week
Pedroia/Kinsler/Cano are all on a fringe-HoF trajectory, IMO. how each one ages will determine whether they get in
Help Braves Fan
1:10
Odds Matt Kemp loses weight and comes back as a 3 WAR player with passable LF defense?
august fagerstrom
1:10
incredibly low
Andrew
1:10
Does Jered Weaver get an MLB contract this winter?
august fagerstrom
1:10
very low
JD15
1:12
Relating to my earlier question about teams relying on dingers: is there a way to find out which teams have the most WPA from homers?
august fagerstrom
1:12
seems potentially play-indexable
honestly not sure, though. sorry.
1:13
if I weren't live-chatting right now I'd dive in for you, but that's the thing about live-chats
Andrew
1:13
Ben Gamel or Guillermo Heredia?
august fagerstrom
1:13
literally who
Big Joe Mufferaw
1:14
Why is J.R Richard never discussed? He is one of the most fascinating pitchers in the history of the game!
august fagerstrom
1:15
he's probably not discussed more for the obvious, tragic reason
but, yeah
J.R. Richard is a great baseball story
1:16
also, way ahead of his time as a pitcher.
remember doing a post within the last couple years where I adjusted strikeout rate for era, and Richard had a couple of the highest K%+ seasons in history
1:17
he had Corey Kluber's current strikeout rate (~26%) from 1978-1980, when the legaue-average pitcher had literally Jered Weaver's current strikeout rate (~13%)
insane
double league average
tommylasagna
1:18
what percentage would you give of puig wearing a dodger uni on opening day 2017?
august fagerstrom
1:18
20%?
Erik
1:19
Is Freddy Galvis a legitimate MLB starter? Or is he just propped up by a fluky HR/FB rate and an usually good defensive season, and will fall back to more or less replacement level soon?
august fagerstrom
1:19
I mean, he's not likely to even be a two-win player *this* year
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