August Fagerstrom FanGraphs Chat -- 9/27/16
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Zonk
12:42
Tell O's fan Raindog he'll always have Chris Davis....
CamdenWarehouse
12:42
@Raindog - the sooner you accept that Machado will go elsewhere (think the Yankees) the better. You can then enjoy that for some length of time the Orioles had a great one.
august fagerstrom
12:42
:o
Eric Weinstein
12:43
How much are you rooting for the Marlins to win out and somehow leap past the Giants and Cards for a playoff spot?
august fagerstrom
12:43
I mean, that would obviously be about the most amazing thing. But their playoff odds are 0.2%
The Grinch
12:43
Guess which SS is 4th in WRC (behind Seager, Correa, Machado)
august fagerstrom
12:44
is it Aledyms Diaz still?
Ah, he doesn't qualify
Asdrubal Cabrera!
Baseball's best hitter over the last month
CamdenWarehouse
12:44
What can you tell us about Falvey?
august fagerstrom
12:44
Has a fantastic reputation inside the org. That's about all I know.
And, clearly, outside the org, too.
12:45
Indians have been like a farm system for high-ranking front office execs over the last decade. Post coming about that topic later this week,
2-D
12:45
What did you think of Paul Hoynes' heel turn from last week?
august fagerstrom
12:46
I totally respect Paul Hoynes as a person and as a journalist. He's a legend, and he's never been anything but kind to me in the press box. I also think his piece was terribly irresponsible, and deserving of most of the pushback it received.
12:47
I also think Cleveland.com's decision to follow-up with three more pieces, a chat, and a video to sell out for clicks rather than to play damage control and apologize for their reckless journalism was an even worse look than the original piece.
Guess that's the state of the business in 2016, though.
Bork
12:48
I'm surprised that you, working from home, don't have more experience typing with one hand.
august fagerstrom
12:48
heyyo!
Derek
12:48
Is there a way that we can take the RBI statistic and put it to better use? For example, could we look at the Total Number of players on base that a batter has during the season to determine a success rate? Is there a way to account for positive, neutral, and negative outcomes (ex. a hit vs. a sacrifice fly vs. a strikeout). I would really appreciate any thoughts you have on the topic.
august fagerstrom
12:49
RBI% This is something that BaseballProspectus offers (as OBI%) and which I quite enjoy: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/sortable/index.php?cid=1964735
12:50
This year's qualified leaders:

1. Daniel Murphy, 21.7%
2. David Ortiz, 21.2%
3. Nolan Arenado, 20.5%
4. Mookie Betts, 19.7%
5. Eric Hosmer (!), 18.8%
ernie camacho's specs
12:50
late to the party, but Wil Myers has 28 steals this year, too. Maybe 2 1B with 30+ steals.
august fagerstrom
12:50
this would be great
Julio Pepper
12:50
Another HOF question: how do you feel about enshrining domain excellence? For instance Luis Aparicio, or if Ozzie Smith had been such a bad hitter that he only finished with 40 WAR. Do you think there's anything to the statement "the greatest defensive SS ever should be in the Hall of Fame?" I realize you can take this line of reasoning too far, but it's just something I've been thinking about.
august fagerstrom
12:50
I think it's worth discussing.
jon
12:51
Re: Fernandez and Cy Young. He allowed really hard contact and according to Blengino's work, it wasn't a fluke, more part of his profile. His candidacy is entirely on K% as complete pitching supremacy.
august fagerstrom
Applies to Danny Salazar and a couple others, too.
ctw
12:51
can someone give me an executive summary of this hoynes business? guess I missed it and would rather not click through to whatever the original piece is
august fagerstrom
12:52
On a day that the Indians won, but lost Carlos Carrasco, he wrote a eulogy for the Indians' season, definitely declaring them dead in the headline and the lede, with no chance to advance in the postseason
12:53
I understand losing Carrasco was a huge blow, but their WS odds dropped from like 13% to 9%, and he wrote the piece as if they were at 0%, which is just blatantly irresponsible. Particularly when you look at the pitching staffs of teams like the Royals and some of the more recent Giants teams to advance.
CamdenWarehouse
12:53
Mark Belanger for HOF!!!!
august fagerstrom
12:54
Right, see, this is where that becomes an issue. You've got to provide value *somewhere* else, I think. Belanger and his 71 wRC+ aren't getting in just because he was an all-time defender
Sonny
12:54
OMAR VIZQUEL HOF!!!!
august fagerstrom
12:55
Vizquel's probably a better argument. Cleveland fans stick to "if Ozzie is in, Omar should be in," but Ozzie was also a better hitter with a better offensive peak, and, as much as childlike August doesn't understand it, every zone-based defensive metric that correctly states Ozzie as the best defensive SS of all-time thinks Omar was great, but not an all-timer.
MATT
12:56
% chance Chapman goes back to the Yankees this offseason?
august fagerstrom
12:56
15%?
Tony
12:56
More impressive drought. Cubs 107 years without a title, or 70 years without a pennant? I've always contended that the 70 years without even MAKING the World Series is a more impressive display in futility.
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