JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 1/11/21 | 8/23/2021

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 1/11/21

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Ben Clemens

3:19

signs with the.... Angels? I dunno that's a tough one

Jay

3:19

Giants projected .510 win pct rest of season is 8th in NL ...more a reflection of their schedule or still skeptical about roster?

Ben Clemens

3:19

More about the schedule, really. On our projected standings page, you can see what we project their ROS record to be against neutral competition

3:20

https://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=Standings

And that has the Giants at .547 ROS

Lash

3:20

Re: the question about keeping Bohm and Hayes down.. Don’t the Rays leave their good players in the minors forever? And it works for them...

Ben Clemens

3:20

I guess Franco is a recent example of that

3:21

But that was kinda different -- he was clearly good enough to play in the majors and didn't exactly have a skill to work on.

I'll take that as a counterpoint, but honestly, as much flack as the Rays catch for that, their bigger move is usually shipping guys out before arb salaries go up

Rather than leaving them in the minors two years too long

They have such a 40-man crunch that they usually can't afford to stash valuable contributors in the minors for TOO long

Excited

3:21

When I see my question pop up in blue it's pretty gratifying

Ben Clemens

3:22

Gotta love when things flash

I feel the same way whenever I "win" anything, no matter what it is

JB

3:22

But Baz and Brujan are stuck down. Then again, they are in a thick playoff race, so maybe not the best time to tinker.

Ben Clemens

3:23

Yeah. To be honest I'm not sure Brujan would fit, which is a crazy thing to say

3:24

I don't exactly get why we haven't seen Baz in the majors

There's no service time to be gained at this point

barney gumble

3:24

if the yankees do sign Correa or one of the other SS FA's, what becomes of their infield logjam? Torres to second, Lemahieu to first? Voit to DH, and Rizzo walks?

Ben Clemens

3:24

Yeah basically this

3:25

With some chance that someone gets bumped to third over Urshela

Lash

3:25

Did you )now there are 12 teams with salaries under 100MM this year, for a total of $300MM. And only 6 non-Dodger teams over $180MM, for a total of $57MM. The $100MM minimum will affect more teams for more money than the $180 cap (which is a soft cap, just treated like a hard cap by 29 teams)..

Ben Clemens

3:25

You're not looking at salary cap salary

which adds ~15 million to each team's number

If you have a BP membership, you can look at Cots' Contracts here

https://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/compensation/cots/

3:26

There are 6 teams under, if you count the Mariners (92.3mm)

9 teams over

3:27

And the teams that are under are under by a combined 145, while the teams that are over come to 233

So uh, basically no?

Jason

3:27

Have you followed Daulton Varsho recently? Any thoughts on whether his recent uptick could continue into next season?

Ben Clemens

3:27

I'm in! And not just b/c I have him in Ottoneu

Lash

3:28

im not sure what the $15MM per team is for, but felt like I must’ve been missing something, so thanks..

Ben Clemens

3:28

Benefits and such

That counts against the tax

Health insurance, per diems, all that nonsense

I don't know the exact details but it's not just what's written on contracts, it counts operating expenses for players in some ways

jaysfan9293

3:29

wrt the 'yankees add a shortstop' example above, is the best option really to lose rizzo? I'd have thought they shop voit first (which apparently they've been doing since last winter) just to keep the lefthander (need to keep the dh spot open for stanton aswell)

Ben Clemens

3:29

Yeah, they could do that too

I'm not sure how much they want ot keep Rizzo but I would be very interested in it if I were them

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