JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 1/13/20

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 1/13/20

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Ben Clemens

2:34

Hopefully he likes fishing. I tend to agree.

Chris

2:34

Will haniger get traded before the season, at the deadline or not at all?

Ben Clemens

2:35

I think there's very little chance he's traded before the season. He didn't play much last season, what with the horrifying injury and all.

2:36

So the Mariners would be selling into a depressed market. Not that you shouldn't sell into a low market (it can always go lower), but if I'm the Mariners, I want to increase my variance at the moment. One way you can get good again faster is if Haniger recovers and you get a haul for him.

Whereas if you trade him now and teams are haircutting you for the risk, it's not really moving the needle I don' think.

So I'll say deadline, but only because I think he'll be good again.

Swanson

2:37

Why do so many of the article titles try to be "cute" or funny? Eventually they just come off as tacky.

Ben Clemens

2:37

Maybe we're aiming to be tacky

Ever think of that?

2:38

I can only speak for myself, but I'm terrible at coming up with titles. After writing 1500 words or so, I'm not in the mood for being pithy usually. If you look through my archive, the articles I've written with the least editing tend to have the best titles, but I find titling an article to be very difficult.

E

2:38

Would someone like Khris Davis be the best defensive shortstop in my slow pitch softball league?

Ben Clemens

2:38

Yes.

Morbo

2:38

Have you heard any rumors of any other teams that might get caught up in the sign stealing scandal? Thought I heard the Yankees mentioned as one of the progenitors 5 or so years ago

Ben Clemens

2:38

Red Sox, Yankees, (very rumored) Brewers

Mo Money Molina

2:38

Who has higher career WAR, O'Neill, Bader or Arozarena?

Ben Clemens

2:39

Oh man. I think O'Neill/Arozarena is a good question.

But I think Bader is way ahead of them

2:40

So I'll just say Bader. I think the Cardinals have mismanaged him, but he's so good on defense that he should keep getting everyday starter PT for a long time, and he already has a big leg up.

Morbo

2:40

Whats the brewers roumor?

Ben Clemens

2:40

Eh, they have some Astros people in their front office, and Yu Darvish and Christian Yelich had a frankly adorable feud on Twitter about Yelich allegedly looking into the outfield while Darvish was on the mound.

That one's thin.

Derek

2:41

Please help a Red Sox fan (for now?) rationalize why the **** they (one of the richest teams in the sport) appear to still be seriously considering trading Mookie Betts (a consensus top 5 player in baseball) instead of just giving him some damn money to remain a Red Sock/Red Sox for the forseeable future. It is literally mind-boggling. Thanks!

Ben Clemens

2:41

Sorry bud, I've got nothing for you. It's a travesty that they're not locking Mookie up for a long time.

Dogs, etc.

2:41

Rapid fire impressions: Pugs, Favorite Euro Board Game, Mitch Keller vs. Brendan McKay long-term value (as SP).

Ben Clemens

2:41

Oh now this is right up my alley. I'm fairly indifferent on pugs as a breed.

Ruby (my dog) is a retriever/pit mix of some type, she's a rescue.

2:42

I tend to like big dogs, so pugs run a bit small for me.

Favorite Euro game: really depends on what you mean by Euro. My favorite board game of all time is probably Clank, which I highly recommend if you haven't played it. We also picked up Just One over the holidays, and it's a great party game.

And gimme Keller, though maybe not on the Pirates.

Brian CashGod

2:43

fwiw, assuming the Astros continue to win over the next couple of years, the value of two (late) first rounders and two second rounders is about $40M (per Craig Edwards), so the total economic penalty is ~$45M

Ben Clemens

2:43

Yeah, it would be cleaner if they could just fine them, but they're going after the wallet. Smart move imo.

guest

2:43

As time passes, Red Sox dealing Price seems less and less likely. Do you agree? Chances less than maybe 1 in 3?

Ben Clemens

2:44

I think that's true qualitatively, though I don't know about 1 in 3.

I think that if some team really wanted him, we'd have seen a trade. That's not to say there aren't negotiations going on but there's a conspicuous lack of smoke.

Jon

2:44

Trading Mookie makes perfect sense. He's not signing anything long term regardless and they have major roster issues that could be addressed through trades. You wouldn't do anything like the Goldschmidt deal if you were the Red Sox?

Ben Clemens

2:45

If the Diamondbacks offered Weaver, Young, Kelly, Comp B pick for Mookie, I think that trade would favor the DBacks

So, there's some fair value for him, of course.

But it would almost necessarily require the team to get worse in 2020.

And that seems weird given their construction?

Settler X

2:46

I assume you’ve played Catan? We’re late to the craze but finally found some people willing to play. Know of any other similar games we may enjoy?

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