JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 1/24/22

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 1/24/22

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Everette T Bolton

2:34

Any thoughts on Jeremy Pena?

Ben Clemens

2:34

I love him

2:35

I don't see why in the world you wouldn't give him a shot

he's 24, he looked like he belonged in AAA, just give it a try!

Farhandrew Zaidman

2:35

I say this with love as a die hard Dodger fan who saw pretty much every defensive inning that Seager has played at SS. He's a 40 glove SS with a 45-50 arm since TJ. I have to believe IKF is a better defensive option.

Ben Clemens

2:35

That doesn't sound like a great 3b either!

2:36

And IKF is certifiably premium at 3b

So my thinking was that surrounding a below-average SS with two plus defenders might beat having a below-average 3b, average-ish ss, plus 2b

But who knows

SS get more chances

2:37

It is definitely amusing that the Rangers signed two of the top three shortstops and we still have no clue who will play the position for htem

Steve

2:37

Curious how you see the TOR catching situation playing out. Do they trade Kirk? What might he bring in return?

Ben Clemens

2:37

I think they'll end up trading Jansen and McGuire for blah value over the next two years, and end up with a Moreno starter, Kirk DH/backup situation

2:38

My thinking is basically this: the Jays should have a bias towards just keeping the best two overall players among the 4 catching options

None of them has enough juice to drive a huge return (with the exception of Moreno I think)

2:39

So figure out the two you like the most, and trade the others

For me, that's Moreno (my prospect crush who is now the world's prospect crush) and Kirk

MatGermain

2:40

Rays have Jonathan Aranda, Curtis Mead, and Austin Shenton as 1B options for '23. Which of these players could supplant Ji-Man Choi at 1B?

Ben Clemens

2:41

I don't know much about Shenton

I suppose that implies I know a lot about the others, haha

My model likes Aranda! It's not the best model in the world, but that's I think a good sign. He plus Mead could make for an interesting platoon at first

So that'd be my vote

namiki

2:42

Do you think a metric like Stuff+, which evaluates pitches based on velocity and movement, is correct?

Ben Clemens

2:42

I haven't dug into the nuts and bolts that underlie Stuff+ enough to take a strong stance. I do think that the idea behind it -- quantifying stuff through measurable data -- has merit

2:43

Driveline also has a stat called Stuff+, I think

wonderfully generic name, etc.

And they had an interesting blog post last year about pitchers who have reliably over- and under-performed it

Kyle Hendricks is the head of the class there, obviously

Since he throws a college fastball and gets big league results

Appa Yip Yip

2:44

What makes you say Jansen has blah value?

Ben Clemens

2:45

I just don't see a team shelling out for an arb-eligible catcher who hasn't really handled a full year's workload

I think he's a nice player, I'm just looking for comparables in trade and not finding any obvious ones

hamothy

2:45

jays need some bullpen help, thoughts on a kimbrel for McGuire trade?

Matt Damon

2:46

MATT. DAMON.

Ben Clemens

2:47

I mean.... I guess that trade would be fine?

I like Kimbrel!

I kind of thought the Sox would be hunting bigger game in trade

But if Toronto eats his entire salary, seems like both teams get somethin they want

Liam McPoyle

2:47

Ben. I don't know if you watch tennis, but the AO is using their Hawkeye system on every point to determine if a shot is in or out (with a human voice saying "out" if it is out). Now there is virtually no argument on line calls because...who will the player argue with? A computer? It has literally changed how one watches tennis since there is none of that crazy drama with out calls, player challenges, etc. The ball is either in or out. I am encourage after watching the tennis that this could be what happens with robot umps. It is either a ball or strike, that's it. Thoughts?

Ben Clemens

2:47

I love tennis!

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