JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 1/24/22

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Ben Clemens

2:23

Do I buy him as a 130 wRC+ hitter? If you set the line at 120 I'd take the over

So good market!

I think I'll take the under but quite close

As for a 40/40 or 30/30 season, I don't think he gets there on the steals

2:24

He's fast as hell but that's a LOT of steals for someone with a 30% strikeout rate who also hits bombs

40 homers before 30 steals, in other words

Matt

2:24

Do you think Spring Training will start on time? Will any regular season games will be missed?

Ben Clemens

2:25

I do not think ST will start on time, but I also don't think any regular season games will be missed

I've been too optimistic so far, and maybe I still am, but I don't think the owners are as unified as we normally think they are

2:26

I think the leverage that a lot of teams took out to make expansions and build out non-baseball revenue really bit them in the butt given the pandemic

Chip

2:26

I feel pretty certain the Yankees are going to play Urshela as a full time SS next year. Tell me I'm wrong.

Ben Clemens

2:26

I mean, they COULD. But I think it's far more likely, even if they sign neither of Correa or Story, that they get Jose Iglesias or something

Bort

2:27

When is prospects week, Ben?

Ben Clemens

2:27

I actually have no idea

Good question for Kevin or Eric

Nat

2:27

Have you attempted to put numbers on the various moving parts in the CBA negotiations? I.e. raising the luxury tax by $x is worth $y to the players; an international draft costs the players $z (accounting for the substitution effect on free agents); expanding the playoffs brings in $a in additional revenue but costs players $b in disincentivizing competition?

Ben Clemens

2:27

Basically no

I probably should

Sounds like a good article

Marnell

2:28

Let me throw another name out to compare with Tucker, Teoscar Hernandez or Tucker?

Ben Clemens

2:29

I'll take Tucker, I feel like Teoscar's strikeout rate means that he has to REALLY shove in every other category to keep up with Tucker

2:30

That's not to say he can't. But if you're looking for a bunch of value over many years (which is kind of what this question boils down to), I like the stability of Tucker quite a bit

Another Ben

2:30

Shouldn't the Phillies be in on Correa when the lockout is over? I haven't heard him linked to them

Ben Clemens

2:30

Yes

I did some offseason shopping lists pre-lockout and had shortstop as their priority

I dunno what the heck they're doing

Farhandrew Zaidman

2:31

The Rangers have an interesting choice on how to line up their IF defensively this year. Part of me thinks that Seager 3B, IKF SS, and Semien 2B is optimal, but you also have to think that Seager signed that big contract expecting to play short. Thoughts?

Ben Clemens

2:31

Iiiiiinteresting

I mean, IKF didn't grade out particularly well defensively at short

particularly by OAA

2:32

I think Semien 2B is a lock

I think I'd be pretty indifferent in terms of value to the club between Seager SS/DH and IKF 3b/SS

and Seager 3b IKF SS

So at that point it comes down to what makes your team happiest, and yeah, thath probably means Seager plays short

171

2:33