JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 1/27/25

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 1/27/25

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Ben Clemens

2:00

Hey everyone. We have a light chat queue today, so I'm gonna try something new and go faster, but try to get to almost all the questions

So apologies in advance if I don't stick with it but as of now, I'm going for an hour long lightning round. Your voice will (almost certainly) be heard!

Justin

2:00

Why was Jack Suwinski pretty good in 23 and pretty awful in 24?

Ben Clemens

2:00

variancde is wild

2:01

also I think that he spiked pretty much everything at the highest percentile in '23

played way better than projections or minor league track record would suggest pretty much everywhere

sometimes you have a career year

Craig

2:01

I now see why Rooker took $60M 3 years away when Santander got $68M at the same age as a free agent

Ben Clemens

2:01

Yeah

AGreed. A bit surprised by the Santander deal

diadem

2:01

What were Yamamoto and Sasaki"s health records in Japan? Any red flags?

Ben Clemens

2:02

Yamamoto, not aware of a ton. Sasaki, extensive. You can read Eric's various reports but he had plenty of injuries and abbreviated playing time concerns

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-los-angeles-dodgers-have-landed-roki-s...

drplantwrench

2:02

padres are reportedly making Michael King available. seems like they need a LFer. would Taylor Ward for King be feasible as a foundation for a trade?

Ben Clemens

2:03

I don't think that's the kind of guy they're targeting, I think they'd want either more impact or more team control

James

2:03

How do you see the AL West shaking out, based on where the team's are right now?

Ben Clemens

2:03

Rangers/M's/A's/Stros/Angels

crying

1

drplantwrench

2:03

am i a being a naive angels fan or is it not unreasonable to talk myself into the value of a 1-3 year contract with alonso with some team options? even if that means havoc for the roster construction?

Ben Clemens

2:03

I'm writing about Alonso contract options right now

I mean... I'd do that

splat_edc

2:04

What are your go to's when looking at prospect stats (especially those in levels w/o statcast)?

Ben Clemens

2:04

I think that's too complex of a question to answer in a chat, to be honest

As a rule of thumb, the lower level and younger the prospectds are, the more I care about contact metrics

If you're striking out 30% of the time in A ball at 20, you probably can't hit major league pitching

the older and closer to the bigs they get, the more I care about power and just overall production

as for pitchers... I don't have a good heuristic

James

2:04

Why do you think Mariano Rivera went unanimously but Ichiro and Jeter fell one vote shy? Did all the writers who said they wouldn't vote for anyone from the steroid era die off?

Ben Clemens

2:05

Truly no idea and I am annoyed that this one anonymous guy gets a news cycle

what a dummy that voter is to not think Ichiro is a hall of famer

drplantwrench

2:05

oh also hi ben! hope you're doing well <3

Ben Clemens

2:05

hello! I'm doing great, wonderful week and January has been fun

Jackson

2:05

There’s no way the Phillies are done tinkering with their outfield right? The offseason pitching moves were fine, but as a contending team with a closing window I am confused as to why they think Kepler is the answer

Ben Clemens

2:05

Yeah.... I think they're done, but I don't think they should be

James

2:05

When does MLB hit the panic button on John Fisher and the A's stadium situation? There's been zero sign of investors willing to join his Vegas endeavor and I doubt he's willing/able to handle the stadium financing himself. If there is no movement by the end of the year, does MLB push him to sell?

Ben Clemens

2:06

I think that if we've learned anything in recent years, it's that baseball does not want to push Fisher to sell

like, what makes you think this would be the last straw?

Bullock's

2:06

I'm still in the bargaining stage of processing my Orioles' offseason. So: if the Orioles still had Connor Norby, would he have been enough to headline a trade for Luis Castillo? Or was Mayo always the minimum?

Ben Clemens

2:06

I think that Mayo was probably always the minimum, tbh. But I don't know how the M's feel about Norby in particular so who knows

Sodo Mojo

2:06

It feels like the Mariners either lacked a plan this off season or dramatically over valued its assets. This is the first off season I've seen from Dipoto where he appears to be just sitting on his hands. Is this an overly harsh assessment and are their reasons to hope they won't squander this window?

Ben Clemens

2:06

I think that the way this works out well for them is if they're right

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