JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 1/30/23

Prev Page View Full Chat

Dan

2:56

Yeah I meant 3 runs per game on the offense. Though now I'm thinking I may have made math errors not just a typo in the recap

Ben Clemens

2:57

ah 3 runs, yeah, that seems more reasonable to me

One lazy way to think of it is that replacement level is a mid-40's win total

Joe Joe

2:57

Off the top of your head, what is the player projection that you think is most off (non-injury, non-jerk reasons only)? Mine is Chas McCormick as I think he'll be in CF (i.e., he'll get more defensive opportunities without the Crawford Boxes in his way) a lot more with Brantley back and Alvarez getting a ton of PAs in LF. Biggest thing I worry about regarding his performance is not getting PAs as a CF due to manager preference.

Ben Clemens

2:58

Let's do some real-time checking here (I totally agree with you that McCormick will get a lot of CF run, btw)

okay, this is maybe being mean, but I'm a seller of Yandy Diaz posting a 138 wRC+

2:59

There's some chance I'm just picking on an errant projection there, but that strikes me as too optimistic by a bit

Guest

2:59

has any work been done in figuring out how important it is for a starter to be consistent game over game? Like the value difference between a guy who pitches 6.0 innings of 3 run ball every day, vs a guy who pitches with a 4.50 ERA but starts vary much more

Ben Clemens

2:59

It's in my list of questions to address, actually

So, maybe! But I'm going to do that work anyway

3:00

Alright, sorry to cut and run everyone, but this is all the time I have today. Thanks for jamming this hour full of great baseball questions, and I hope I answered them in a satisfying or at least entertaining way. Have a great day, everyone, and I'll talk to you next week, same time same place.

Connecting…

Message History

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Ben Clemens hosts a chat