JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 11/28/22

Prev Page View Full Chat

Ben Clemens

2:52

Beat both my and the crowd's estimates

2:53

In length and AAV

another datapoint in favor of higher deals across the baord

Daniel Bardo Pond

2:53

If TV broadcasts could incorporate one baseball metric more into the viewing experience, which one should it be in your estimation?

Ben Clemens

2:53

Ooh

This is a great question, I'm gonna ponder it really quickly

2:55

I think I'd like to see more data about pitch movement

Esoteric rate stats are just a hard sell

Explaining to people how much a ball moves relative to an 'average' fastball or whatnot is really cool

2:56

The 3-d pitch paths that show different pitches are consistent crowd pleasers. I think it's a great combination of data (we stat nerds love it) and visceral coolness. Seeing, say, a Rodon fastball overlaid with a less-explosive 4-seamer, and then the broadcaster tells you he got his last strikeout because his falls 3 inches less and so the batter swung at where he thought it would go? So cool

comish4lif

2:56

If we assume that baseball teams are smart (I know, stay with me) and baseball teams were shifting more and more each year, then shifting is working. Right? And limiting the shift (in a smart way) has to help offense at least a little bit?

Ben Clemens

2:57

I think it'll help a little. But I don't think it'll be a ton, and there's pretty good data that the total improvement wasn't huge, even as the BIP improvement was meaningful

Appa Yip Yip

2:57

Given the deals we've seen thus far, is Nimmo getting 150?

Ben Clemens

2:58

Hm, I think he'll wind up slightly short of that. I'm actually curious to see the first big-ticket signing. It's at least conceivable that the top of the market will be less buoyant than the mid-level guys we've seen so far. But 3/60 for Abreu is starting to put that to the test

James

2:58

Odds that Dusty still bats Pena 2nd with Abreu added to the mix?

Ben Clemens

2:59

I mean, probably high, he likes continuity. It's really not that big of a deal either way

Ernie Banksy

2:59

Boras says that Bellinger is only taking a 1-year deal. Given that, will the money matter much less than the situation for him? Sounds like Cody wants to get right, then hit the market again for big payday

Ben Clemens

2:59

Yeah, 100%

3:00

An extra million is not meaningful in the context of his career earnings

But finding a good landing spot, playing every day, and rebuilding his value is

Insert Witty Name Here

3:00

Have you tried the NYT Umpire Game? One of my longstanding wishes was for somehow have this at the ballpark where fans could see how hard this is in real life. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/sports/baseball/umpire-pitch-...

Ben Clemens

3:00

Yeah, it's great, highly recommend it if you haven't played

3:01

Alright, I'm gonna go start writing about Abreu. Have a wonderful week everyone

Connecting…

Message History

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Ben Clemens hosts a chat